Houston Astros at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Houston Astros at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Houston Astros (12-24) and New York Yankees (25-13) close out a 3-game series in the Bronx Thursday. The opening pitch at Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 5:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 6-0

Houston got off to a shaky start this season, and that start included the Astros getting swept at home by New York in a season-opening 4-game set. Now, after Tuesday and Wednesday losses at Yankee Stadium, Houston heads into the Thursday series finale looking to avoid a 2024 0-for against the Yanks.

New York has not lost since last Thursday. Over their last 11 games, the Yankees are 8-3 with a plus-31 run differential.

Astros at Yankees projected starters

RHP Ronel Blanco vs. RHP Marcus Stroman

Blanco (3-0, 2.09 ERA) is lined up for his 7th start. He has a 0.96 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 38 2/3 innings.

  • Owns a 3.71 ERA across 97 career IP
  • Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 5-3 win vs. Seattle Mariners Friday

Stroman (2-1, 3.41 ERA) is making his 8th start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 4.9 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 37 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 5 BB, 3 K in 2-1 win vs. Detroit Tigers Friday
  • Career vs. Astros: 3-1, 2.50 ERA (36 IP, 10 ER), 36 H, 9 BB, 38 K in 6 starts
  • Has walked 10 batters over his last 9 1/3 IP

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Astros at Yankees odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:54 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Astros +118 (bet $100 to win $118) | Yankees -138 (bet $138 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros +1.5 (-176) | Yankees -1.5 (+146)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Astros at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, Astros 4

Moneyline

Aside from a three-game stretch April 27-30 that saw the Astros score 30 runs, Houston has scored just 2.91 runs per game since April 21. But Houston has been quite good against ground-ball types, and Stroman has walked 10 batters over his last 9 1/3 innings.

Blanco has an attractive surface ERA of 2.09. But that figure has been buoyed exceedingly fortunate rates around the margins.

Figure the YANKEES (-138) ML action as having just the slightest in lean in this contest.

Run line/Against the spread

Better relative value can be found on the ML: PASS.

Over/Under

There is some fade-Yankees-pitching lean snowballing with a play-the-Astros-offense lean. Add in some fade on the Blanco side of the equation also.

Now add Stroman being a ground-baller, and the Astros being a club that has thus far bashed such types.

The Over has cruised to 2 easy wins so far in this series and is 5-2 over the last 7 series meetings at Yankee Stadium.

TAKE THE OVER 8.5 (-110) in this series finale.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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Houston Astros at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Houston Astros at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Houston Astros (12-22) and New York Yankees (23-13) meet Tuesday, as they open a 3-game series in the Bronx. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 4-0

Houston got off to an awful start this season, one jumpstarted by the Astros getting swept at home by New York in a season-opening 4-game set. They had gone 5-1 from April 27-May 3 but then dropped back-to-back games to the Seattle Mariners Saturday and Sunday.

The Yankees are coming off a weekend sweep of the Detroit Tigers. Despite some intermittent slumps of late, New York is 6-3 with a plus-19 run differential since April 27.

Astros at Yankees projected starters

RHP Justin Verlander vs. RHP Luis Gil

Verlander (1-0, 2.08 ERA) is tabbed for his 4th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 17 1/3 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 7 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 3-2 loss vs. Cleveland Guardians Wednesday
  • Career vs. Yankees: 10-9, 3.41 ERA (171 1/3 IP, 65 ER), 160 H, 50 BB, 157 K in 27 starts

Gil (2-1, 3.19 ERA) is making his 7th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 5.8 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 in 31 innings.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 2-0 win at Baltimore Orioles Wednesday
  • Has never faced Astros before
  • Has lived dangerously with a low rate of 1st-pitch strikes, which has fed into the high walk rate; a .224 batting average on balls in play has been his salvation

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Astros at Yankees odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 9:25 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Astros +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Yankees -118 (bet $118 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros -1.5 (+162) | Yankees +1.5 (-196)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Astros at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 5, Yankees 4

Moneyline

The ASTROS (+100) are 4-1 across their last 5 series lid-lifters; the Yanks are 1-3 in their last 4.

Gil’s control is too much of an issue to make him a likable play against a good Houston offense that does not strike out much. Dating back to last season, the Astros have lost 7 in a row to New York. All 7 of those games have been in Houston; the Astros took 2 of 3 from the Yankees last time they were in the Bronx (Aug. 4-6).

Per ESPN, current New York batters own an aggregate .558 OPS against Verlander. The veteran righty is backed by an Astros relief corps that got a much-needed off day Monday. And figure those bullpens — a New York strength and Houston weakness on paper — as being way more even in talent and in analytical production.

BACK THE ASTROS (+100).

Run line/Against the spread

Better relative value can be found on the ML: PASS.

Over/Under

The Under went 3-0-1 in the earlier series in Houston. Look for some pushback by the bats in this one. There is some fade-Yankees-pitching lean snowballing with play-the-Astros-offense lean.

TAKE THE OVER 8 (-115).

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

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