Timberwolves Mavericks odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Minnesota Timberwolves at Dallas Mavericks Game 4 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Timberwolves look to avoid a sweep by the Dallas Mavericks Tuesday in Game 4 of the best-of-7 Western Conference Finals. Tip-off from American Airlines Center is set for 8:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Timberwolves vs. Mavericks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Dallas took a 3-0 series lead with Saturday’s 116-107 win as a 1.5-point home favorite. The Mavs were led by the G duo of Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving, who each scored 33 points, Dallas shot 55.9% from the field and 50% (14-of-28) from deep in the victory.

Minnesota F Karl-Anthony Towns continues to struggle in this series as he put up only 14 points on 5-of-18 shooting from the field, including 0-of-8 from 3 in the loss. KAT is only 3-for-22 (13.6%) on 3-point attempts this series, and 4-for-32 on 3-‘s (12.5%) in his last 5 playoff games.

Timberwolves at Mavericks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 6:51 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Timberwolves +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Mavericks -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves +2.5 (-115) | Mavericks -2.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 209.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Timberwolves at Mavericks key injuries

Timberwolves

G Mike Conley (Achilles) questionable

Mavericks

G Luka Doncic (knee, ankle) questionable
C Dereck Lively II (neck) doubtful

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Timberwolves at Mavericks picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 107, Timberwolves 106

Moneyline

LEAN MAVERICKS (-130).

Dallas is cookin’. After being tied 2-2 in its last series vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, Dallas has rolled off 5 consecutive wins and is 8-2 in its last 10 games.

The Mavericks are also 4-1 in their last 5 home games, including 2-0 at home when they can clinch a series.

This is only a lean because there is always a risk when betting against a team as good as Minnesota that is not only facing elimination, but is a loss away from getting swept.

Against the spread

LEAN TIMBERWOLVES +2.5 (-115).

Minnesota is a very good team on both sides of the ball, making each game in this series very competitive. Expect that to continue here with Minnesota’s season on the line.

This is a very slight lean because Minnesota is 0-3 ATS in this series and because of how bad KAT has looked the last 3 games. If his struggles continue Tuesday, the Timberwolves’ season will end and it’s unlikely they cover.

Over/Under

BET OVER 209.5 (-115).

The Over has hit in 2 of Minnesota’s last 3 road games and has hit in back-to-back home games for Dallas. The Over also has cashed in every game of this series.

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Minnesota Timberwolves at Dallas Mavericks Game 3 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Timberwolves and Dallas Mavericks meet Sunday for Game 3 of their best-of-7 Western Conference Finals series, which the Mavericks lead 2-0. Tip-off from American Airlines Center is set for 8 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Timberwolves vs. Mavericks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Timberwolves have dug themselves into an 2-0 hole, losing both games on their home floor. The Mavericks took the series opener 108-105 as 5-point underdogs, and took Game 2 as 6-point dogs 109-108 when superstar G Luka Doncic sank a game-winning 3-pointer with 3.1 seconds left.

The Mavs erased an 18-point deficit in Game 2, and Doncic was a huge part. He ended up with 32 points, 13 assists and 10 rebounds. Dallas was able to complete its 3rd-biggest playoff comeback with his assistance.

The Timberwolves are still alive, barely, but they have dropped 5 of the past 7 games, while going just 2-5 against the spread (ATS) in that span. The Over is on a 5-2 roll for the Wolves.

Timberwolves at Mavericks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:27 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Timberwolves +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Mavericks -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
Against the spread: Timberwolves +2.5 (-110) | Mavericks -2.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 207.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Timberwolves at Mavericks key injuries

Timberwolves

G Mike Conley (Achilles) questionable

Mavericks

G Luka Doncic (knee, ankle) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Timberwolves at Mavericks picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 108, Timberwolves 103

Moneyline

The MAVERICKS (-140) are worth playing straight up if you’re a little more on the conservative side, but wish to bet this game. It’s a big price to pay compared to playing the spread where Dallas needs to win by 3 points or more. But if you don’t want to fiddle around with the points, have at it as the Mavs play their 1st game at home in this series.

Against the spread

It’s a little concerning to see Doncic carrying a questionable tag into Game 3, but there is little worry that the Dallas superstar won’t be able to go.

Back DALLAS -2.5 (-110) at home and feel confident in doing so as Dallas looks to build a commanding 3-0 series lead, pushing the young Timberwolves to the brink of elimination.

Over/Under

OVER 207.5 (-110) is a strong play in Game 3 in the Metroplex.

These teams haven’t had end-to-end action, putting up giant scores so far in this series, but the Over has inched across the finish line in each of the first 2 battles in the Twin Cities. There is no reason to believe that suddenly the defenses will take over and slow things down as the series shifts to the southwest.

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Minnesota Timberwolves at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Timberwolves (30-29) and Dallas Mavericks (31-27) meet Monday at American Airlines Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Timberwolves vs. Mavericks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Timberwolves failed to cover the spread as 6.5-point underdogs Friday in a 128-107 loss at the Memphis Grizzlies. G Jaylen Nowell scored a team-high 21 points for the Timberwolves, who have won 6 of their last 10. Minnesota is 6-0 against the spread (ATS) in its last 6 games after failing to cover in its previous contest.

The Mavericks failed to cover as 1-point favorites Saturday in a 133-128 overtime loss at the Sacramento Kings. G Kyrie Irving finished with 28 points as Dallas’ 3-game win streak came to an end. The Mavericks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games after a road trip of 7 or more days.

This is their 3rd meeting this season. Minnesota covered as a 6-point home underdog in a 116-106 win Dec. 19 and Dallas covered as a 2.5-point road favorite with a 104-99 win Dec. 21.

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Timberwolves at Mavericks odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:43 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Timberwolves +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Mavericks -260 (bet $260 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves +6.5 (-110) | Mavericks -6.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 232.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Timberwolves at Mavericks key injuries

Timberwolves

F Kyle Anderson (back) questionable
C Rudy Gobert (groin) questionable
C Karl-Anthony Towns (calf) out

Mavericks

F Tim Hardaway Jr. (hamstring) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Timberwolves at Mavericks picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 117, Timberwolves 107

Moneyline

PASS.

The Mavericks (-260) should win, but there is no need to risk more than 2 1/2 times your potential profit on the moneyline when Dallas should win by margin. Bet the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

BET MAVERICKS -6.5 (-110).

The Mavericks have performed above expectations since acquiring Irving. Dallas won its first 2 games straight up as an underdog after the trade and should be able to bounce back after a tough overtime loss at the Kings in Irving’s first game with G Luka Doncic. Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 5 games and should be able to win by margin vs. a Timberwolves team that is just 6-10 ATS as an away underdog.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 232.5 (-110).

The Under is 4-1-1 in Minnesota’s last 6 games after failing to cover in its previous contest and 6-2-1 in the Timberwolves’ last 9 after allowing more than 125 points. The Under has hit in Dallas’ last 4 games vs. teams with a winning record and is 4-1 in the Mavericks’ last 5 after failing to cover in their previous contest.

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Minnesota Timberwolves at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Timberwolves (42-30) are on the road Monday night to face the Dallas Mavericks (43-28) in a battle for playoff seeding. Tip-off is 8:30 p.m. at American Airlines Center. Below, we look at the Timberwolves at Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Timberwolves have won four consecutive games and 10 of their last 11. They blew out the Milwaukee Bucks 138-119 at home Saturday. They hold the No. 6 seed in the Western Conference, but have the same record as the Denver Nuggets. They are 1.5 games behind the No. 5 Mavericks.

The Mavs, after winning eight of nine games, have dropped their last two. They lost their last game 129-108 to the Charlotte Hornets Saturday on the road. They are 1-1 against the Timberwolves this season. The Mavs trail the fourth-place Jazz by two games.

Timberwolves at Mavericks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:54 a.m. ET.

Money line: Timberwolves +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Mavericks -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves +2.5 (-108) | Mavericks -2.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 230.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

Timberwolves at Mavericks key injuries

Timberwolves

F Jaden McDaniels (ankle) out
C Naz Reid (back) probable
C Karl-Anthony Towns (arm) questionable

Mavericks

G Tim Hardaway Jr. (foot) out

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Timberwolves at Mavericks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 115, Timberwolves 110

Money line

The home team has won both games between the two teams this season. The Timberwolves are 18-18 on the road this season, but have won five of their last six games away from home.

The Mavericks are 23-12 at home and have won seven of their last nine in their own arena. They have not lost three straight games since dropping three in a row at the beginning of December.

Take the MAVERICKS (-145).

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Against the spread

Minnesota has covered the spread in nine of their last 10 games. They are 40-30-2 ATS overall and 19-16-1 ATS on the road this season.

The Mavericks are 18-17 ATS at home and are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games. They covered the spread in four straight games before dropping their last two games. They beat the Timberwolves by 12 in Dallas in December.

I expect them to win a relatively close game.

Take the MAVERICKS -2.5 (-112).

Over/Under

In their last 11 games, the Timberwolves have scored an average of 129.0 points per game, never scoring less than 110.

The Mavericks’ last 14 games have averaged a total of 216.1 points. They average the second-fewest points in the league at 104.1.

Both games between the two teams this season had totals of 216.

Take UNDER 230.5 (-115).

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Minnesota Timberwolves at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (14-15) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (15-15) Tuesday at American Airlines Center for an 8:30 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Timberwolves vs. Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

This is a second of a back-to-back between these two sides with the T-Wolves winning 111-105 at home Sunday as 3.5-point favorites. Minnesota extended its win streak to four games with its victory over Dallas.

The T-Wolves are 4-2 straight-up (SU), 4-2 ATS and 5-1 O/U over the last two weeks with the 14th-ranked non-garbage time net rating (minus-0.1 points per 100 possessions), according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Whereas the Mavs are 3-4 SU, 4-3 ATS and 1-6 O/U across that timeframe with the ninth-ranked net rating (plus-3.3 points per 100 possessions), per CTG.

The T-Wolves have beaten the Mavs in their past two meetings but that followed a five-game win streak by Dallas in their head-to-head series with Minnesota.

Timberwolves at Mavericks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:58 a.m. ET.

Money line: Timberwolves -103 (bet $103 to win $100) | Mavericks -117 (bet $117 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves +1.5 (-112) | Mavericks -1.5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 214.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Timberwolves at Mavericks key injuries

Timberwolves

PG Patrick Beverley (health and safety protocols) out
SF Anthony Edwards (health and safety protocols) out
PF Jarred Vanderbilt (health and safety protocols) out
SF Josh Okogie (health and safety protocols) out

Celtics

PF Kristaps Porzingis (toe) questionable
SG Reggie Bullock (health and safety protocols) out
PG Luka Doncic (ankle) out
PF Maxi Kleber (health and safety protocols) out

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Timberwolves at Mavericks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 108, Timberwolves 103

Money line

BET the MAVERICKS (-117) because the T-Wolves are missing more key pieces than the Mavs. For instance, Vanderbilt grades in the 95th percentile of forwards in on/off net rating, Beverley is in the 94th percentile of point guards and Edwards is in the 66th percentile of wings (CTG).

On the other hand, Luka is in the 20th percentile of on/off net rating for point guards, Porzingis — who is listed as “questionable” — is in the 46th percentile of bigs and Kleber is in the 44th percentile of bigs.

Dallas has been hit by sharp money as this game opened at a coin-flip price but the Mavs have been steamed up to the current number.

Most importantly, it’s tough beating the same team in consecutive games in the NBA — especially when the team that just lost heads home for the second meeting.

Against the spread

PASS because Dallas’s money line is only nine cents on the dollar more expensive than the Mavs -1.5 (-108) so why fuss with the points here?

Over/Under

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 214.5 (-107) for a tiny wager — if at all — because Sunday’s Timberwolves-Mavericks game went over the total set at 214.5 yet the oddsmakers lowered the total for this game.

A vast majority of the market is also betting the Over in this one because they just saw this matchup go Over the total. Between the odd pricing and the lopsided betting market, it’s UNDER 214.5 (-107) or PASS for me.

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Minnesota Timberwolves at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Monday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Dallas Mavericks NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Minnesota Timberwolves (6-17) wrap up their five-game road trip Monday with an 8:30 p.m. ET game against the Dallas Mavericks (10-14) at American Airlines Center. Below, we analyze the Timberwolves-Mavericks NBA odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Minnesota has lost three of four on its current road trip but split a two-game miniseries with the Oklahoma City Thunder by losing 120-118 as a 2-point underdog Saturday. The Timberwolves have been a little feistier lately, going 4-0-1 against the spread with a plus-1.3 net rating in their last five games.

The Mavericks just split a two-game home miniseries with the Golden State Warriors after winning the second 134-132 as 4.5 point favorites. This will be Dallas’ third game of a seven-game homestand and they’ve been terrible at home this season. The Mavs are 3-7 at home and 2-8 ATS with a minus-11.2 ATS margin in those games.

Dallas swept the season series 3-0 straight up and ATS last season despite All-Star PG Luka Doncic having subpar performances in his two games vs. Minnesota. Doncic had a minus-11.9 net rating and averaged 21.0 points on .395/.143/.625 shooting in those two contests.

Timberwolves at Mavericks: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:40 p.m. ET.

Money line: Timberwolves +340 (bet $100 to win $340) | Mavericks -450 (bet $450 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Timberwolves +9.5 (-110) | Mavericks -9.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 225.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Timberwolves at Mavericks: Key injuries

Timberwolves

PG D’Angelo Russell (quadriceps) questionable
C Juancho Hernangomez (health and safety protocols) questionable
C Karl-Anthony Towns (health and safety protocols) doubtful
PF Jarrett Culver (ankle) out

Mavericks

Nothing affecting the betting odds.

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Timberwolves at Mavericks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Mavericks 114, Timberwolves 110

Money line (ML)

I’m going to lean TIMBERWOLVES (+340) for a one-fifth-unit for a few reasons.

First, this is going to sound crazy, but the news of Russell’s status is slightly important before placing a wager because Russell’s per-game numbers are nearly identical to Luka’s in their head-to-head meetings. There’s a solid chance Russell can pick apart this terrible Dallas defense.

Second, Minnesota attempts the fifth-highest rate of shots at the rim and Dallas’ opponents have the second-highest shooting percentage at the rim, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

Finally, the Mavericks have the worst 3-point shooting percentage in the league while the Timberwolves hold foes to the fewest 3-point attempts per game and are 16th in opponent’s effective field-goal percentage (eFG%).

(My predicted score is an honest projection but there is value on Minnesota in what should be a close game.)

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Against the spread (ATS)

Since I lean Minnesota to pull off an upset, I like TIMBERWOLVES +9.5 (-110). Dallas is a team to fade right now because the public’s approval rating of Luka and expectations for the Mavs are still too high.

According to Pregame.com, more than 80% of the money is on Dallas and there’s nothing from its recent performances that should inspire this much of the market.

Also, Dallas has one of the worst spread differentials vs. bottom-10 teams in defensive efficiency, according to CleaningTheGlass. GIMME TIMBERWOLVES +9.5 (-110) for 1.5 units.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS because I’ve used my Timberwolves-Mavericks budget on the above markets. I lean Under 225.5 (-110) because five of Minnesota’s previous six games have gone Under; however, Dallas has cashed three straight Overs and four of its last five games have gone Over.

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Also see:

NBA players react to Tom Brady, Buccaneers winning Super Bowl (Rookie Wire)
Trade rumor rankings (Hoops Hype)

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