Minnesota Timberwolves at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Atlanta Hawks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Atlanta Hawks (14-15) welcome the Minnesota Timberwolves (14-13) to State Farm Arena Monday. Tip-off is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Timberwolves vs. Hawks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; split last season 1-1

The Timberwolves lost to the Golden State Warriors 113-103 Saturday, closing as 4-point home favorites. G Anthony Edwards had 19 points on 6-for-20 shooting to lead Minnesota, which has dropped 2 straight games. Despite the back-to-back losses, the Timberwolves are still 6-3 straight up (SU) and 5-4 against the spread (ATS) in their last 9. Minnesota is 11-16 ATS on the season.

The Hawks, who were without their leading scorer in G Trae Young (heel), lost 128-112 as 1.5-point underdogs vs. the visiting Memphis Grizzlies Saturday. Atlanta is on a 3-game SU/ATS skid. It is 7-4 SU and 5-6 ATS in its last 11 games. The Hawks are 11-18 ATS on the season.

Timberwolves at Hawks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 9:55 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Timberwolves -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Hawks +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves -3.5 (-115) | Hawks +3.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 222.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Timberwolves at Hawks key injuries

Timberwolves

  • None

Hawks

  • G Bogdan Bogdanovic (leg) questionable
  • C Onyeka Okongwu (knee) out
  • G Trae Young (heel) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Timberwolves at Hawks picks and predictions

Prediction

Timberwolves 115, Hawks 109

Moneyline

PASS.

The Hawks could get Young back, but he’ll still be nursing his heel injury. Atlanta has struggled as of late and isn’t worth taking as a home underdog. With Minnesota (-175) better played on the spread, avoid the moneyline.

Against the spread

BET TIMBERWOLVES -3.5 (-115).

The Timberwolves are 5-3 ATS in their last 8 games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 on the road. Minnesota’s defense has allowed 92 or fewer points in 6 of its last 9 games, so it should be able to limit the Hawks enough to cover Monday.

The Hawks were destroyed without Young and didn’t have that go-to option Saturday. They have lost 3 straight and started the season losing 7 of their first 11. Without an early-season 6-game win streak (Nov. 27-Dec.6), they would be far worse record-wise. Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games and 0-3 ATS in its last 3 at home.

Play TIMBERWOLVES -3.5 (-115).

Over/Under

BET OVER 222.5 (-115).

The Hawks play at a rapid pace and defend little. They have allowed 130.5 points per game over their last 2 games and given up at least 128 points in 4 of their last 6. Atlanta is 4-2 O/U in its last 6 games and 19-10 O/U on the season.

The Wolves are 13-14 O/U on the season and 2-3 O/U in their last 5 games, scoring at least 106 points in 6 of their last 8. Despite their strong defense, expect tempo to be the bigger factor for the Hawks, who are the 3rd in the NBA in pace.

Back OVER 222.5 (-115).

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Minnesota Timberwolves at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Atlanta Hawks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Timberwolves (1-1) and Atlanta Hawks (1-2) meet Monday. Tip-off from State Farm Arena is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Timberwolves vs. Hawks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting; Minnesota won 2-0 last season

Minnesota cruised to a 106-90 win at home Saturday vs. the Miami Heat, covering as an 8-point favorite. C Naz Reid came off the bench to score 25 points while also grabbing 8 rebounds. It was a total team win as Minnesotay had 6 players score 12 or more points, including 4 of the 5 starters.

Atlanta cruised to a 127-110 win Sunday at the Milwaukee Bucks Sunday, covering as a 6-point underdog. Atlanta saw 8 players score a dozen or more points, including all 5 starters. The Hawks won the rebounding battle 46-39 and the assist battle 32-22. Atlanta held superstar G Damian Lillard to 6 points on 2 of 12 shooting from the field.

Timberwolves at Hawks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:04 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Timberwolves -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Hawks +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves -2.5 (-105) | Hawks +2.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 234.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Timberwolves at Hawks key injuries

Timberwolves

  • Jaden McDaniels (calf) questionable

Hawks

  • Not yet submitted

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Timberwolves at Hawks picks and predictions

Prediction

Hawks 115, Timberwolves 107

Moneyline

LEAN HAWKS (+110). 

Atlanta has yet to have seen an all-star caliber game from G Trae Young, and I expect to see one here as Young has averaged 32.6 points per game and 9.9 assists per game in 10 career games against Minnesota. However, even if Young doesn’t show up, the Hawks may have found a solid backup plan in their balanced scoring attack that saw success vs. Milwaukee.

Against the spread

BET HAWKS +2.5 (-115).

The Hawks have the highest-powered offense the Timberwolves have seen this season, especially when firing on all cylinders. Minnesota’s starting 5 has not been very good or consistent offensively or defensively since trading for C Rudy Gobert last offseason, and those struggles will prove to be fatal here.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 234.5 (-110). 

In 2 games Minnesota has yet to have a game that even hits Over 200, and while that will likely change here, I do not expect this game to reach this  number. I expect the strong defense of Minnesota to continue here, but it will be harder for the Timberwolves to stop this Hawks offense than it was to stop that of Miami or Toronto, especially if Young is lighting them up.

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Minnesota Timberwolves at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Atlanta Hawks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Timberwolves (34-34) are on the road to face the Atlanta Hawks (34-34) Monday at State Farm Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Timberwolves vs. Hawks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Timberwolves fell to the Brooklyn Nets 124-123 in overtime on Friday and were unable to cover as 4.5-point home favorites. Minnesota has won 4 of its last 10 games and is the No. 7 seed in the Western Conference.

On Saturday, the Hawks failed to cover as 5-point home underdogs in their 134-125 loss to the Boston Celtics. Atlanta has gone 5-5 in its last 10 games and is the No. 8 seed in the Eastern Conference.

This will be the 1st meeting between the teams this season. Atlanta has covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games against Minnesota.

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Timberwolves at Hawks odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:42 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Timberwolves +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Hawks -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves +5.5 (-110) | Hawks -5.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 245.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Timberwolves at Hawks key injuries

Timberwolves

  • C Rudy Gobert (ankle) questionable
  • G Jaylen Nowell (knee) out
  • F Karl-Anthony Towns (calf) out

Hawks

  • G Bogdan Bogdanovic (back) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Timberwolves at Hawks picks and predictions

Prediction

Hawks 124, Timberwolves 117

Moneyline

PASS.

Even with the Hawks expected to win at home, taking them straight up at the current odds (-210) isn’t worth the risk.

Against the spread

HAWKS -5.5 (-110) is the pick with how Atlanta has performed under new coach Quin Snyder. G Trae Young has been playing better as of late, scoring 25-plus points and dishing out 7-plus assists in 4 straight games.

The Timberwolves are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings, while the Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games against a team with a losing road record.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 245.5 (-112).

There’s no doubt these teams play fast and can score points with ease, but this is a massive total. The Timberwolves and the Hawks have failed to reach 245-plus points in 7 of the last 10 meetings.

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Minnesota Timberwolves at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Atlanta Hawks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Timberwolves (22-22) play the second of a back-to-back Wednesday versus the Atlanta Hawks (18-25). The tip-off at State Farm Arena is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Timberwolves vs. Hawks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Minnesota (-4) beat the New York Knicks last night (Tuesday) in a 112-110 nailbiter. In January, the T-Wolves are 6-3 straight-up (SU), 5-4 ATS and third in adjusted net rating at plus-10.9, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Atlanta (+6.5) upset the Milwaukee Bucks 121-114 Monday at home, snapping a five-game losing skid (0-5 ATS). The Hawks are 27th in adjusted net rating at minus-8.8 and 29th in ATS margin at minus-7.1 in January, per CTG.

The Hawks (+1.5) beat the T-Wolves 121-110 in their first meeting this season, Dec. 6. Atlanta has won and covered its past four meetings with Minnesota.

Timberwolves at Hawks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Timberwolves +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Hawks -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves +1.5 (-108) | Hawks -1.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 235.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Timberwolves at Hawks key injuries

Timberwolves

  • None.

Hawks

  • SG Bogdan Bogdanovic (knee) out
  • Clint Capela (ankle) out

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Timberwolves at Hawks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Timberwolves 121, Hawks 115

Money line

BET the TIMBERWOLVES (+102) for 1 unit because it’s such a better spot for them, Minnesota has been hit by sharp money, and the T-Wolves match up very well with the Hawks.

For instance, Minnesota is 6-1-1 ATS in its last eight as road underdogs, 9-1 ATS on the road versus teams above-.500 and 7-4 ATS when playing with a rest disadvantage.

On the other hand, Atlanta is 0-7 ATS following a win, 4-8 ATS when playing with a rest advantage and 1-11 ATS both in their last 12 as a favorite and at home.

Also, the T-Wolves have two strength-on-weakness edges in fast-break basketball and perimeter shooting.

Minnesota gets out in transition at the seventh-highest frequency and is ninth in fast-break points per game (PPG). But, Atlanta has the worst defensive efficiency in transition and ranks 20th in fast-break PPG allowed.

Furthermore, the T-Wolves are third in adjusted effective field goal shooting (eFG%) this month while the Hawks have the worst defensive eFG%.

Finally, I see this Timberwolves-Hawks game playing out differently than the previous one because Minnesota is a little healthier, and Atlanta has a couple of injuries to key players.

In fact, Minnesota was missing both starting guards in PG Patrick Beverley and  D’Angelo Russell. Both are crucial to Minnesota’s operation: Russell grades in the 98th percentile of guards in adjusted on/off net rating at plus-15.4 (per CTG).

On top of that, Hawks big Clint Capela is still sidelined with an injury, and he’s one of the better rim-protecting and rebounding bigs in the Association.

BET the TIMBERWOLVES (+102).

Against the spread

PASS because the Timberwolves +1.5 (-108) doesn’t offer much insurance for our Minnesota money line wager.

Over/Under

PASS with a heavy “lean” to the OVER 235.5 (-112) because the total has been steamed up too far. The Timberwolves-Hawks total opened around 232.5 before all the Over money pushed it up to the current price.

However, the Hawks should be able to hang with the T-Wolves thanks to their strength-on-weakness edge in getting to the charity stripe.

For example, Atlanta is seventh in offensive FTA/FG rate while Minnesota is dead-last in defensive FTA/FG rate.

Plus Minnesota is 16-6 O/U on the road, and the Over has cashed in six of the past eight Timberwolves-Hawks meetings.

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Minnesota Timberwolves at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Monday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Atlanta Hawks NBA betting odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Atlanta Hawks (5-7) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (3-8) Monday at State Farm Arena. The Martin Luther King Day tip-off is scheduled for 2:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Timberwolves-Hawks NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Minnesota has lost four of its past five (3-2 against the spread), including a 118-107 home loss to the Memphis Grizzlies Wednesday. The Timberwolves were outscored 38-17 in the fourth quarter to blow the game and their biggest issue surfaced again—interior defense. Minnesota was outscored in the paint 80-44 by Memphis and is allowing the most points in the paint in the league.

The Hawks also dropped their last game—a 112-106 loss at the Portland Trail Blazers Saturday—and have lost six of their last seven (straight-up and ATS). It was another poor shooting night for a Hawks team that is second-to-last in field-goal percentage and 23rd in effective field-goal percentage. Atlanta was 6-for-30 from behind the arc against Portland and PG Trae Young was 30.4% from the field and made no 3’s in the second half.

These teams split last season’s series (straight-up and ATS) with the road team each winning a game. The Hawks are 3-1 straight-up and ATS vs. the Timberwolves since drafting Young in 2018.

Timberwolves at Hawks: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 8:01 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Timberwolves +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Hawks -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Timberwolves +7.5 (-110) | Hawks -7.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 229.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Timberwolves at Hawks: Key Injuries

Timberwolves

  • PF Juancho Hernangomez (COVID-19 health and safety protocols) out
  • F/G Josh Okogie (hamstring) probable
  • Ricky Rubio (COVID-19 health and safety protocols) out
  • Karl-Anthony Towns (COVID-19 health and safety protocols) out

Hawks

  • SG Bogdan Bogdanovic (knee) out
  • SF Danilo Gallinari (ankle) doubtful
  • SG Cam Reddish (knee) questionable

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Timberwolves at Hawks: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Timberwolves 116, Hawks 111

Money line (ML)

Atlanta is one of the worst shooting teams in the league, and the biggest weakness of the Timberwolves—interior defense—the Hawks probably won’t be able to exploit. The Hawks are middle of the pack in drives per game and last in field-goal percentage on drives.

Also, Minnesota’s backcourt—PG D’Angelo Russell and SG Malik Beasley—are both averaging 20-plus points per game and I give the Timberwolves the edge on the perimeter. It’s more of lean because I like Minnesota plus points, but let’s put a tiny wager on TIMBERWOLVES (+260).

Against the spread (ATS)

To be honest, it’s hard to make a pro-Timberwolves case, but I’m looking to fade the Hawks as much as possible. I get Atlanta has a plus net rating and Minnesota has the worst net rating, but the Timberwolves have played the third-toughest schedule so far and the Hawks just 15th.

Furthermore, the Hawks have been a bad bet at home this season and are just 1-4 ATS as a home favorite. Atlanta isn’t a tough environment pre-COVID and the Timberwolves beat the Hawks on their home floor last season.

GIMME TIMBERWOLVES +7.5 (-110) for 1.5 units.

Over/Under (O/U)

lean UNDER 229.5 (-110) for a quarter-unit because Atlanta has a 2-10 O/U record and its opponents have the third-lowest effective field-goal percentage. However, since both teams are so inconsistent, the Over has cashed in five straight Timberwolves-Hawks games and I have a stronger grasp of the sides, I wouldn’t wager much on the total.

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Minnesota Timberwolves at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Monday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Atlanta Hawks NBA betting odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Atlanta Hawks (5-7) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (3-8) Monday at State Farm Arena. The Martin Luther King Day tip-off is scheduled for 2:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Timberwolves-Hawks NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Minnesota has lost four of its past five (3-2 against the spread), including a 118-107 home loss to the Memphis Grizzlies Wednesday. The Timberwolves were outscored 38-17 in the fourth quarter to blow the game and their biggest issue surfaced again—interior defense. Minnesota was outscored in the paint 80-44 by Memphis and is allowing the most points in the paint in the league.

The Hawks also dropped their last game—a 112-106 loss at the Portland Trail Blazers Saturday—and have lost six of their last seven (straight-up and ATS). It was another poor shooting night for a Hawks team that is second-to-last in field-goal percentage and 23rd in effective field-goal percentage. Atlanta was 6-for-30 from behind the arc against Portland and PG Trae Young was 30.4% from the field and made no 3’s in the second half.

These teams split last season’s series (straight-up and ATS) with the road team each winning a game. The Hawks are 3-1 straight-up and ATS vs. the Timberwolves since drafting Young in 2018.

Timberwolves at Hawks: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 8:01 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Timberwolves +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Hawks -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Timberwolves +7.5 (-110) | Hawks -7.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 229.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Timberwolves at Hawks: Key Injuries

Timberwolves

  • PF Juancho Hernangomez (COVID-19 health and safety protocols) out
  • F/G Josh Okogie (hamstring) probable
  • Ricky Rubio (COVID-19 health and safety protocols) out
  • Karl-Anthony Towns (COVID-19 health and safety protocols) out

Hawks

  • SG Bogdan Bogdanovic (knee) out
  • SF Danilo Gallinari (ankle) doubtful
  • SG Cam Reddish (knee) questionable

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Timberwolves at Hawks: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Timberwolves 116, Hawks 111

Money line (ML)

Atlanta is one of the worst shooting teams in the league, and the biggest weakness of the Timberwolves—interior defense—the Hawks probably won’t be able to exploit. The Hawks are middle of the pack in drives per game and last in field-goal percentage on drives.

Also, Minnesota’s backcourt—PG D’Angelo Russell and SG Malik Beasley—are both averaging 20-plus points per game and I give the Timberwolves the edge on the perimeter. It’s more of lean because I like Minnesota plus points, but let’s put a tiny wager on TIMBERWOLVES (+260).

Against the spread (ATS)

To be honest, it’s hard to make a pro-Timberwolves case, but I’m looking to fade the Hawks as much as possible. I get Atlanta has a plus net rating and Minnesota has the worst net rating, but the Timberwolves have played the third-toughest schedule so far and the Hawks just 15th.

Furthermore, the Hawks have been a bad bet at home this season and are just 1-4 ATS as a home favorite. Atlanta isn’t a tough environment pre-COVID and the Timberwolves beat the Hawks on their home floor last season.

GIMME TIMBERWOLVES +7.5 (-110) for 1.5 units.

Over/Under (O/U)

lean UNDER 229.5 (-110) for a quarter-unit because Atlanta has a 2-10 O/U record and its opponents have the third-lowest effective field-goal percentage. However, since both teams are so inconsistent, the Over has cashed in five straight Timberwolves-Hawks games and I have a stronger grasp of the sides, I wouldn’t wager much on the total.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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