Tag: Tigers Reds odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

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The Detroit Tigers (41-48) and Cincinnati Reds (42-47) meet Sunday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is set for 1:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Detroit leads 2-0

Detroit picked up the 5-3 win over Cincinnati Saturday while covering as a +144 road underdog. The Tigers scored all 5 of their runs in the 9th after being down 2-0. Detroit has won back-to-back games after winning 5-4 in Friday’s series opener.

Reds SP Hunter Greene pitched 7 scoreless innings (3 H, 2 BB, 7 K). Reliever Fernando Cruz pitched for only 1/3 of an inning, but allowed 3 ER, 2 H, 1 BB and took the loss.

Tigers at Reds projected starters

LHP Tarik Skubal vs. RHP Graham Ashcraft

Skubal (9-3, 2.45 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 0.93 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 103 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 7 K in a 5-3 loss at Minnesota Twins Tuesday
• First career start vs. Cincinnati

Ashcraft (5-4, 5.45 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.47 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 72 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Win, 5 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 3 K in a 5-4 win at New York Yankees Tuesday
• First career start vs. Detroit

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Tigers at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:48 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Tigers -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Reds +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers -1.5 (+125) | Reds +1.5 (-150)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Tigers at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 4, Reds 3

Moneyline

LEAN DETROIT (-140).

The Tigers are 3-1 in their last 4 road games while the Reds have dropped each of their last 4 home games. Detroit has also won 3 straight vs. Cincinnati and is 4-2 in the last 6 meetings in Cincinnati.

This is only a lean because despite 2 wins in this series, Detroit is only 4-6 in its last 10 while the Reds are 6-4 across that same span.

Run line/Against the spread

BET REDS +1.5 (-150).

Cincinnati is 49-40 ATS this season and 27-19 ATS when following a loss this year. Detroit is 40-49 ATS on the year and 15-26 ATS at home.

Cincinnati is also the slightly better team to me, so I expect them to put up a hard fight before conceding its 4th consecutive loss to the Tigers.

Over/Under

PASS.

The Over is only 4-5-1 in Cincinnati’s last 10 games and 5-4-1 in Detroit’s last 10 overall. The Under 9 hit Saturday after the teams pushed on the O/U of 9 in the opener. With the Over/Under being so even for both teams in recent matchups, stick to the moneyline and run line.

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The Cincinnati Reds (42-45) welcome the Detroit Tigers (39-48) to Great American Ball Park Friday. First pitch to kick off the 3-game series is set for 7:10 p.m. ET (Apple TV). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Reds won 2-1 last year

The Reds, who are just 20-23 at home this season, swept the New York Yankees on the road in their last series Tuesday through Thursday. Cincinnati beat New York 8-4 in the finale and covered in all 3 games. They are 4-2 straight up and 5-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 6, closing as underdogs in each game. Cincinnati is 48-39 ATS on the season.

The Tigers are coming off a 12-3 loss to the Minnesota Twins Thursday and will be playing their 8th straight game on the road. Detroit is just 2-5 in its last 7 away games and 20-26 on the road this season. The Tigers are 2-2 ATS over their last 4 yet are one of the worst covering teams in the majors at 38-49 ATS.

Tigers at Reds projected starters

RHP Reese Olson vs. RHP Carson Spiers

Olson (2-8, 3.32 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 89 1/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 9 K in 6-5 loss in 10 innings at the Los Angeles Angels Saturday
• 2024 away splits: 0-4, 3.33 ERA (46 IP, 17 ER), 1.22 WHIP, 3 HR, 8.4 K/9 in 9 starts
• Career vs. Reds: 1-0, 1.50 ERA (6 IP, 1 ER), 2 H, 4 BB, 7 K in 1 start, an 8-2 home win Sept. 14, 2023

Spiers (2-1, 3.13 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 37 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER (2 R), 3 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 9-4 road win over St. Louis Cardinals Saturday
• 2024 home splits: 1-0, 2.82 ERA (22 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.25 WHIP, 6.9 K/9 in 1 start and 4 relief appearances
• Never faced Tigers before

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Tigers at Reds odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:51 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Tigers -102 (bet $102 to win $100) | Reds -116 (bet $116 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Tigers -1.5 (+150) | Reds +1.5 (-182)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Tigers at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 5, Tigers 3

Moneyline

BET REDS (-116).

Having come on in relief in his first 5 appearances, Spiers has been a starter over his last 3 games. He has pitched 6 innings each time and has 4 or fewer ER in each of those. Couple that with the Reds who are on fire after a sweep over the Yankees and have finally found their rhythm offensively, having scored 16 runs in the 3-game series, and Cincinnati is a strong play here.

The Tigers are just 23-24 following a loss as well and have struggled immensely over the last few road series. Detroit is just 13-21 straight up as a road underdog. Considering those trends, back REDS (-116).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The odds just aren’t favorable to wager on here. The Reds are run-line underdogs and too expensive at almost double your money. Detroit is too risky, especially considering its recent road play.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 9 (-110).

The Reds have alternated going Over and Under in their last 9 games and are primed for the Under. They have allowed 4 or fewer runs in 7 straight games and scored 5 or fewer in 6 of those.

Cincinnati is the 5th-worst Over-hitting team at home with a 17-24-2 O/U record. The Tigers are 5-4 O/U in their last 9 but are facing a pitcher that is starting to find his groove.

Back UNDER 9 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Fantasy baseball help from BaseballHQ.com:
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