Oklahoma City Thunder at Golden State Warriors odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Oklahoma City Thunder at Golden State Warriors odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Oklahoma City Thunder (13-4) match up against the Golden State Warriors (12-5) Wednesday at Chase Center. Tip-off is set for 10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Thunder vs. Warriors odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Warriors lead 1-0.

OKC dethroned the Sacramento Kings with a 130-109 road win Monday as 3.5-point favorites. G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander held it down with 37 points and 11 assists, while G Jalen Williams added 28 points. The Thunder have won 2 straight and are 6-4 over the last 10 as they deal with some significant absences.

The Dubs have dropped 2 straight after a 128-120 clunker as 13-point home favorites against the Brooklyn Nets Monday. G Stephen Curry did all he could with 28 points on 8-for-16 from distance. They just lacked a presence in the paint with F Jonathan Kuminga (illness) out.

Key afternoon injury update: Curry is listed as out for Wednesday night.

Thunder at Warriors odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 3:56 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Thunder -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Warriors +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Against the spread: Thunder -4.5 (-105) | Warriors +4.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 226.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Thunder at Warriors key injuries

Thunder

  • G Alex Caruso (hip) out
  • C Chet Holmgren (hip) out
  • F Jalen Williams (hamstring) out

Warriors

  • G Stephen Curry (knee) out
  • F Jonathan Kuminga (illness) questionable
  • G De’Anthony Melton (knee) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Thunder at Warriors picks and predictions

Prediction

Thunder 121, Warriors 113

Moneyline

I like the Thunder (-190) here. They’re playing a little better than the Warriors (+155). Playing at Chase Center is no longer a “gimme” for OKC, but I prefer the spread over the -190 ML.

Instead, take Thunder C ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 25.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS+ASSISTS (-105). His last two games lines are as follows: 19 points, 10 boards and 4 assists; 13 points, 14 boards and 3 assists.

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Against the spread

BET THUNDER -4.5 (-110). The Warriors beat the Thunder 127-116 in OKC Nov. 10 — Golden State was a 6.5-point underdog and the Over (228.5) cashed. However, the Thunder had won 3 straight vs. the Warriors before that loss — including 2 at Chase.

Over/Under

The Over is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings between these teams. OKC is 11th at 115.2 points per game; Golden State is 6th at 117.7. They are 5th and 6th in pace, respectively.

This is a hittable number. TAKE OVER 226.5 (-110).

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Oklahoma City Thunder at Golden State Warriors odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Oklahoma City Thunder at Golden State Warriors odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Oklahoma City Thunder (1-4) visit the Golden State Warriors (4-1) Saturday. Tip-off from Chase Center is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Thunder vs. Warriors odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Warriors are expected to bounce back from their first loss of the season against a team they beat earlier in the week. Led by two-time MVP PG Stephen Curry, Golden State’s chief concern has been turnovers and depth.

The Thunder covered the 10-point spread in their earlier meeting with the Warriors, losing by just 8 at home. Three Warriors went for at least 20 points in the 106-98 Golden State victory, although it was really Thunder PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander who stole the show as he dropped a game-high 30.

The Thunder are coming off their first win of the season with a 123-115 defeat of the short-handed Los Angeles Lakers Wednesday.

Thunder at Warriors odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Thunder +600 (bet $100 to win $600) | Warriors -1000 (bet $1000 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Thunder +12.5 (-112) | Warriors -12.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 216.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Thunder at Warriors key injuries

Thunder

  • Klay Thompson (right Achilles tendon) out
  • James Wiseman (right knee) out

Thunder

  • None affecting gambling odds

Thunder at Warriors odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Warriors 110, Thunder 102

Money line

PASS on the money line.

There is no way that betting a -1000 favorite has any great upside, even in a parlay. While the Thunder odds do give some value given how well the Warriors have been playing, I’d really only consider the points.

Against the spread

BET on the THUNDER +21.5 (-112) as the best bet in this game. The Warriors were down double-digits against the Thunder at Paycom Center last week, and it could’ve gotten out of control for the road team.

With SGA standing 6-foot-6 and Lu Dort at 6-foot-3 215 pounds an extremely aggressive defender, the Thunder should be able to limit Golden State’s backcourt.

They did that earlier this week, and while they may not win, they should be able to limit it again. Along those lines, the Warriors have been struggling with turnovers.

Combine their struggles with the fact that F Mike Muscala will be back in action and able to help space the floor, and the Thunder should be able to keep the game close.

While Golden State’s hot start is no luck and they are true title contenders, they should struggle against OKC.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the UNDER 216.5 (-107) as the better side of the total. However, we’re getting to this party way late. It started at 221.5 and has drastically come down.

More than 80 percent of the money is on the Under according to pregame.com. With the Warriors ranked seventh in defensive rating and the Thunder bottom ten in PACE, the Under is the better play.

The Thunder still are in the bottom three in points per game despite their firepower, and while Golden State is better, they’re not a top-five side. I expect a low-scoring game in this one.

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Oklahoma City Thunder at Golden State Warriors odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Oklahoma City Thunder at Golden State Warriors NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Oklahoma City Thunder (21-46) take on the Golden State Warriors (34-33) on the road for the second time in three nights. Tip-off is 10 p.m. ET in Chase Center. Below, we analyze the Thunder-Warriors odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

The Thunder are mired in a five-game losing skid and have only one win in their last 20 games. They lost 118-97 to the Warriors Thursday night.

The Warriors finish the rest of the regular season at home, where they are 20-11. They have won three of their last four games and are in eighth place in the West, four games out of the six seed, which avoids the play-in games.

Thunder at Warriors: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:11 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Thunder +700 (bet $100 to win $700) | Warriors -1100 (bet $1100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Thunder +14 (-110) | Warriors -14 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 222.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Thunder at Warriors: Key injuries

Thunder

  • SG Luguentz Dort (hip) probable
  • SG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (foot) out
  • Mike Muscala (ankle) out
  • PF Aleksej Pokusevski (knee) out

Warriors

  • SG Damion Lee (health and safety protocols) out
  • PF Eric Paschall (hip) out
  • SF Kelly Oubre Jr. (wrist) out

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Thunder at Warriors: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Warriors 110, Thunder 103

Money line (ML)

The money line isn’t even worth a look unless you are considering picking the Thunders with the upset.

The last two times the Warriors have played consecutive games against the same team, they won the first and lost the second. If you think that trend will continue, then bet the Thunder.

However, considering the Thunder have only one win in their last 20 games, that would be an unwise wager. Move on to the spread and the total.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Golden State covered the 13.5-point spread against the Thunder Thursday night. They are 18-13 ATS at home but 2-2 ATS in their last four home contests.

The Thunder, despite their recent struggles, have covered the spread in two of their last three games overall and in three of their last five road games.

The Warriors won’t lose the back end of these two games in a row against the lowly Thunder, but it will be closer. Take the THUNDER +14 (-110). 

Over/Under (O/U)

The Warriors’ last four games have gone Under the total and they have the second-lowest Over percentage in the league at 38.8%. Oklahoma City is 12-21 O/U on the road.

Take UNDER 222.5 (-105). 

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Oklahoma City Thunder at Golden State Warriors odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Thursday’s Oklahoma City Thunder at Golden State Warriors NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Oklahoma City Thunder (21-45) open a four-game road trip Thursday night with a visit to the Golden State Warriors (33-33). Tip-off is at 10 p.m. ET at Chase Center. Below, we analyze the Thunder-Warriors odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

The Thunder are eliminated from playoff contention and have lost four games in a row. They have only one win in their last 19 games and lost 147-109 to the Warriors at home April 14.

The Warriors open a six-game homestand to close out the regular season. They are playing for a play-in game as they are ninth in the Western Conference. They are 4.5 games behind the Los Angeles Lakers for the sixth seed and a guaranteed playoff berth.

Thunder at Warriors: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Thunder +650 (bet $100 to win $650) | Warriors -1000 (bet $1,000 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Thunder +14 (-110) | Warriors -14 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 228.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Thunder at Warriors: Key injuries

Thunder

  • SG Luguentz Dort (hip) questionable
  • SG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (foot) out
  • Mike Muscala (ankle) out
  • PF Alexsej Pokusevski (knee) out

Warriors

  • SG Damion Lee (health and safety protocols) questionable
  • PF Eric Paschall (hip) questionable
  • SF Kelly Oubre Jr. (wrist) out

Special NBA Betting Promotion!

Place a $1 bet on either team’s money line, WIN an additional $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a 3-pointer during the game today. Promotion available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, TN, VA and WV. PA residents, don’t miss BetMGM‘s risk-free, first-bet offer!

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Thunder at Warriors: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Warriors 115, Thunder 109

Money line (ML)

With only one win in their last 19 games, the Thunder have been awful for the last month.

The Warriors are a solid 19-11 at home.

With the odds what they are, it doesn’t make sense to bet the money line. The Thunder are a terrible bet to win and the Warriors offer no value at all, while having to wager 10 times what you can win.

PASS and look to the spread and the total.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Golden State and Oklahoma City have almost identical ATS records. The Thunder are 30-35-1 ATS while the Warriors are 31-35 ATS. The Thunder covered in five of their last nine games and are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as double-digit underdogs.

The Warriors are 2-3 ATS in their last five games.

With a big spread for Thursday’s game, take the THUNDER +14 (-110).

Over/Under (O/U)

The Warriors have the league’s second-lowest Over percentage at 39.4%. Seven of their last 10 games went Under the total.

The Thunder have a 50% over percentage and are 5-6 O/U in their last 11 games.

Take UNDER 228.5 POINTS (-110).

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Additional NBA sports coverage:
HoopsHype | Celtics Wire | LeBron Wire | Lonzo Wire | Nets Wire | Rockets Wire | Sixers Wire | Thunder Wire | Warriors Wire | Rookie Wire | List Wire

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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