Thunder Spurs odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Oklahoma City Thunder (11-3) and San Antonio Spurs (6-8) meet Tuesday for NBA Cup group play. Tip-off from Frost Bank Center is set for 9:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Thunder vs. Spurs odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Thunder lead 1-0

The Thunder are coming off a 121-119 loss as 7-point favorites to the visiting Dallas Mavericks Sunday with the Over (225.5) hitting. The loss snapped a 3-game win streak for Oklahoma City, which has not lost back-to-back games all season.

The Spurs failed to cover as 14.5-point underdogs in a 110-93 loss at the Mavericks Saturday as the Under (229) cashed. San Antonio has lost back-to-back games and is on an 0-3 against-the-spread (ATS) skid.

In an Oct. 30 meeting, the Spurs covered as 12.5-point underdogs in a 105-93 loss at Oklahoma City while the Under (221) hit. Thunder G Luguentz Dort had a game-high 20 points, and F Chet Holmgren added 19.

Thunder at Spurs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 12:09 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Thunder -450 (bet $450 to win $100) | Spurs +340 (bet $100 to win $340)
Against the spread: Thunder -9.5 (-110) | Spurs +9.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 222.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Thunder at Spurs key injuries

Thunder

C Isaiah Hartenstein (hand) out
F Chet Holmgren (pelvic fracture) out
G Isaiah Joe (calf) out

Spurs

F Jeremy Sochan (thumb) out
C Victor Wembanyama (knee) doubtful

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Thunder at Spurs picks and predictions

Prediction

Thunder 117, Spurs 102

Moneyline

The Thunder (-450) were 18-10 after a loss last season, and now they’re facing a sub-.500 Spurs team which will likely be without its franchise player in Wembanyama.

While most people don’t like betting heavy favorites — and they shouldn’t because the bid-ask difference is usually too high — I wouldn’t be against playing the Thunder at -400 or cheaper.

At this price, though, PASS.

Against the spread

This number is reasonable. You only have to lay 9.5, and you get the much better team, the best player on the floor in Thunder G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and the game’s on national TV — so motivation shouldn’t be a concern for the Thunder.

While we have seen NBA teams play better for 1-2 games when a star player goes down, the Spurs played even worse than expected at Dallas Saturday, so it’s unlikely that they turn it around in their second game without Wembanyama Tuesday.

BET THUNDER -9.5 (-110).

Over/Under

I’m on the fence for this one. The loss of Wembanyama means fewer points for the Spurs, but also allows Oklahoma City to score easier at the rim. I believe the bigger impact is to the Spurs’ offense, but this number is not high enough for me to confidently bet the Under in this spot.

LEAN UNDER 222.5 (-110).

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Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Oklahoma City at San Antonio odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Oklahoma City Thunder (20-48) visit AT&T Center Wednesday to take on the San Antonio Spurs (26-43). Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Thunder vs. Spurs odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Spurs are coming off a 149-139 home loss against the Timberwolves, failing to cover as 3.5-point underdogs. San Antonio has struggled to cover lately and is 2-6 against the spread (ATS) over its last 8.

San Antonio is 10-6 ATS as a home favorite, the fifth-best covering rate in the league. The Spurs are led by G Dejounte Murray who is averaging 20.8 points and 9.4 assists per game.

As for Oklahoma City, it is 22-11 ATS as a road underdog which is the second-best covering record. Only the Heat (11-5 ATS) cover at a higher rate in that situation. The Thunder are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games.

OKC’s G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is questionable. Since his Feb. 24 return he’s averaged 30.4 points and 7.4 assists per game so wait to bet until his status is officially announced.

Thunder at Spurs odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:01 a.m. ET.

Money line: Thunder +700 (bet $100 to win $700) | Spurs -1200 (bet $1200 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Thunder +13.5 (-110) | Spurs -13.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 231.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

Thunder at Spurs key injuries

Thunder

G Lu Dort (shoulder) out
G Josh Giddey (hip) out
G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (ankle) questionable

Spurs

SF Doug McDermott (ankle) out
SF Keita Bates-Diop (back) out

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Thunder at Spurs odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Spurs 120, Thunder 108

Money line

PASS.

The Thunder are just too short-handed to predict an upset, and at -1200 the Spurs have absolutely no value as they’re just 13-22 straight up at home this season.

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Against the spread

LEAN to the THUNDER +13.5 (-110).

This is uncharted territory for the Spurs. While they were 10-point favorites once against Detroit and covered, they’ve yet to be more than 10-point favorites this season.

They’re just 26-43 straight up and 34-34-1 ATS. As for the Thunder, they’re still among the best covering teams in the NBA at 39-25-4 ATS. That said, the line clearly has considered SGA potentially missing this game.

That will give more opportunity for players like F Darius Bazley and G Theo Maledon to show their ability to score.

Despite their injuries, the Thunder do rank 16th in defensive rating, so it’s possible they slow down a high-pace Spurs team. OKC also ranks 12th in turnover rate.

It’s certainly a lean, but I like the Thunder to at least test San Antonio at home.

Over/Under

BET on the UNDER 231.5 (-108).

This is more a knock on the Thunder than anything else.

Unless SGA is a surprise play (an ankle injury for a non-contending team in mid-March seems to be prime time to get your star rest), the Thunder will be down their 3 leading scorers.

While Bazley and Maledon may be able to score some, this team getting to 110 seems unlikely. They’ll have to control the game defensively and with their slower pace.

The Spurs rank No. 2 in turnover rate and No. 4 in pace.

Both teams have been hitting the Over recently, but the Thunder are 31-35-2 O/U this season and just won’t have the firepower to get into a high-scoring battle with the Spurs down SGA.

The Thunder already rank last in shooting efficiency, so it’s doubtful they find much success offensively.

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Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Oklahoma City Thunder (14-29) visit the Alamo City Wednesday for an 8:30 p.m. ET game against the San Antonio Spurs (16-28) at AT&T Center. Below, we look at the Thunder vs. Spurs odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

OKC has lost seven of its eight games but is 6-1-1 ATS in those contests, which includes a 104-102 loss at the Dallas Mavericks Monday as 11.5-point road underdogs.

The Thunder are 28-14-1 ATS and 18-25 O/U.

San Antonio is 2-8 straight-up (SU) and 3-7 ATS this month with the latest being a 121-107 blowout loss at home versus the Phoenix Suns as 4-point home underdogs. The Spurs are 23-21 ATS and 22-20-2 O/U.

The Thunder (+3.5) upset the Spurs 99-94 in their first meeting this season, Nov. 7. In fact, OKC is 3-0 SU and ATS in the last three meetings with San Antonio and the Under has cashed in four straight Thunder-Spurs games.

Thunder at Spurs odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:30 p.m. ET.

Money line: Thunder +225 (bet $100 to win $225) | Spurs -290 (bet $290 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Thunder +6.5 (-102) | Spurs -6.5 (-122)
Over/Under (O/U): 220.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Thunder at Spurs key injuries

Thunder

SG Kenrich Williams (health and safety protocols) out

Spurs

None.

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Thunder at Spurs odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Spurs 114, Thunder 109

Money line

PASS with a heavy “lean” towards the Thunder (+225) because I like OKC plus the points and generally will sprinkle on an underdog’s money line when betting them to cover the spread. But, this line is really fishy.

First of all, there’s reverse line movement (RLM) in the ATS market as a vast majority of the action is on OKC’s spread but San Antonio is getting pricier. It’s a red flag whenever sportsbooks make the more popular side cheaper.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the THUNDER +6.5 (-102) because I cannot dissect the RLM and this is just too many points for the Spurs -6.5 (-122) to be laying.

San Antonio lost outright and ATS as 7.5-point home favorites Jan. 12 to the lowly Houston Rockets and is 1-2 ATS when laying 5-7 points.

On the other hand, OKC is 7-3-1 ATS when getting 5-7 points, 9-3 ATS on the road versus teams with a losing record and 4-0 in its last four as a road underdog.

It’s only a “LEAN” to the THUNDER +6.5 (-102) because of the suspicious line movement and the Spurs are 6-3 ATS as a home favorite this season.

Over/Under

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 220.5 (-110) for a small wager, if at all, because there’s not a big discrepancy between my prediction and the projected score. Also, OKC is 17-24 O/U as an underdog and 9-12 O/U on the road.

But, the Spurs are 15-5-1 O/U with the highest total margin at plus-6.8 and the Thunder have gone Over the total in their past four games versus teams winning less than 40.0% of their games.

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Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Thursday’s Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Oklahoma City Thunder (14-21) travel to meet the San Antonio Spurs (18-13) on Thursday for a 9 p.m. tip-off at AT&T Center in San Antonio. Below, we analyze the Thunder-Spurs odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Thunder at Spurs: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:45 a.m. ET.

Money line: Thunder +210 (bet $100 to win $210) | Spurs -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Thunder +6 (-110) | Spurs -6 (-110)
Over/Under: 219.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Thunder at Spurs: Key injuries

Thunder

SF Trevor Ariza (personal) out
SG Hamidou Diallo (groin) out
PG George Hill (thumb) out
SF Darius Miller (stomach) questionable

Spurs

C LaMarcus Aldridge (illness) questionable
SF Rudy Gay (COVID protocols) out
SG Devin Vassell (COVID protocols) out
PG Derrick White (COVID protocols) out

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Thunder at Spurs: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Spurs 97, Thunder 93

Money line (ML)

The Spurs (-250) have three key members who will remain sidelined due to COVID safety protocols while Aldridge is apparently dealing with a non-COVID illness and a question mark to play. Even shorthanded, the Spurs should have enough to get by the Thunder, but risking two-and-a-half times your potential return is not a good choice. This will be a narrow win with plenty of worry backing the favorite straight up. AVOID.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The THUNDER +6 (-110) are underdogs by three buckets, and that makes OKC a good play. They haven’t been playing well lately, but they are at least healthy. OKC won on its home court, 102-99, in the previous meeting against the Spurs -6 (-110) Feb. 24 as one-point underdogs. Look for OKC to keep it close, perhaps losing a one-possession game.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 219.5 (-110) is the best play on the board here. OKC posted a dismal 78 points in a loss to Dallas Wednesday, and they have scored 96 or fewer points in two straight, and three of the past five. San Antonio is shorthanded, and they will have trouble scoring the basketball, especially if Aldridge is held out.

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Also see:

Hoops Hype rumors: Thunder | Spurs

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