Thunder Nuggets odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Oklahoma City Thunder (7-0) travel to face the Denver Nuggets (4-3) Wednesday. Tip-off from Ball Arena is set for 9 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Thunder vs. Nuggets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Thunder leads 1-0

Oklahoma City beat the Orlando Magic 102-86 on Monday while covering as a 12.5-point favorite. The Thunder have allowed under 100 points in back-to-back games and are the only undefeated Western Conference team.

Denver escaped with a 121-119 win over the Toronto Raptors Monday while failing to cover as an 11-point favorite. C Nikola Jokic put up a 28-14-13 triple double in the win. The Nuggets have won back-to-back games and have topped 120 points in both wins.

Thunder at Nuggets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 1:18 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Thunder -275 (bet $275 to win $100) | Nuggets +220 (bet $100 to win $220)
Against the spread (ATS): Thunder -6.5 (-110) | Nuggets +6.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 223.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Thunder at Nuggets key injuries

Thunder

C Isaiah Hartenstein (hand) out

Nuggets

F Vlatko Cancar (ankle) out
F Aaron Gordon (calf) out
G Jamal Murray (concussion) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Thunder at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Thunder 114, Nuggets 96

Moneyline

PASS.

Oklahoma City is the much better and hotter team, especially with Denver’s injuries, so the Thunder will pick up the win here. But the Thunder are not worth the risk of betting on as -275 favorites, so look to the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

BET THUNDER -6.5 (-110).

Oklahoma City is 6-1 ATS and has covered in each of its last 3 games. These teams met to open the season and the Thunder won 102-87. With Gordon and Murray out, the Thunder should win Wednesday just as comfortably.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 223.5 (-110).

The Under has hit in back-to-back games and is 5-2 for the Thunder. OKC’s defense also allows just 95.9 points per game, best in the league. That, combined with neither of these teams being anything special offensively, makes the Under a safe bet here.

Be aware that the Over has hit in 5 straight games for Denver.

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Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets open their seasons Thursday. Tip-off from Ball Arena is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Thunder vs. Nuggets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Thunder won 3-1 last season

The Thunder finished last season with a 57-25 record, tied with the Denver Nuggets for the most wins in the Western Conference. They cruised past the Pelicans in the 1st round of the playoffs with a 4-game sweep before falling 4-2 against the Dallas Mavericks in the semifinals.

Denver made quick work of the Los Angeles Lakers in the 1st round of the playoffs last season with a 4-1 series win before falling 4-3 to the Minnesota Timberwolves in the semifinals.

Thunder at Nuggets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 11:31 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Thunder +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Nuggets -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Thunder +2.5 (-115) | Nuggets -2.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 227.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Thunder at Nuggets key injuries

Thunder

C Isaiah Hartenstein (hand) out
G Nikola Topic (knee) out
F Jaylin Williams (hamstring) out

Nuggets

None

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Thunder at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 17, Thunder 112

Moneyline

PASS.

There is better value on the Nuggets (-135) spread.

Against the spread

BET NUGGETS -2.5 (-105).

Denver has a distinct advantage in this early-season matchup between the top 2 teams in the West in 2023-24; it is opening up the season in front of its home crowd and faces an Oklahoma City team that is riddled with injuries.

While Oklahoma City is still a solid team, it will be exceedingly difficult to best C Nikola Jokic and company without its full squad. With a slim spread, a Nuggets win points to a high likelihood of a cover.

Over/Under

BET OVER 227.5 (-110).

Expect this game to feature a lot of scoring and a fast pace. With the Nuggets rallying off the energy of its home crowd, they will look to distribute the scoring, while the Thunder have a young team that finds success in pushing the ball. In a nationally televised matchup, Jokic and the Nuggets will carry this to the Over.

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Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Oklahoma City Thunder (22-24) battle the Denver Nuggets (33-13) Sunday. Tip from Ball Arena is set for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Thunder vs. Nuggets odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Thunder lost to the Sacramento Kings 118-113 Friday, pushing as a 5-point road underdog. Oklahoma City is 29-16-1 against the spread (ATS) this season and is 7-0-1 ATS in its last 8 games. It is just 8-15 straight up on the road. OKC’s strength is offense, ranking 8th in points per game (116.9).

The Nuggets have been dominant at home, posting a 22-3 straight-up record. They are 25-21 ATS on the season. Denver is coming off a 134-111 win over Indiana at home, covering as a 6-point home favorite. The Nuggets’ strength is offense, ranking 1st in FG percentage (51.2%) and 1st in 3-point FG percentage (39.9%).

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Thunder at Nuggets odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:21 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Thunder +195 (bet $100 to win $195) | Nuggets -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Thunder +6.5 (-115) | Nuggets -6.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 239.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Thunder at Nuggets key injuries

Thunder

None

Nuggets

G Bones Hyland (finger) questionable
C Nikola Jokic (hamstring) questionable
G Jamal Murray (hip) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Thunder at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 125, Thunder 115

Moneyline

PASS.

The Nuggets should come out on top with ease, but at this value, nothing is worth playing on the moneyline.

Against the spread

BET NUGGETS -6.5 (-115).

Denver is 15-9-1 ATS at home and 18-14-1 ATS against conference opponents. It has an MVP hopeful on its team and is incredibly efficient offensively.

The Thunder have consistently covered, but they rank 11th in opponents’ 3-point FG percentage (35.4%) and 20th in opponents’ points per game (115.9). The Nuggets should be able to abuse those weaknesses.

OKC snapped a 4-game winning streak with a 5-point loss to Sacramento, and with the Thunder standing on the road, back NUGGETS -5.5 (-118), as their league-best offense should dominant Sunday.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 239.5 (-105).

The Thunder have gone Over in 7 of their last 10 games, and they have scored at least 112 points in 5 straight games. Oklahoma City averages 116.9 points per game as well, so it should want to push the pace. OKC is 27-19 O/U this season.

The Nuggets are 22-24 O/U this season. They have gone Over in 2 of their last 4 and have scored at least 115 in their last 9 games. Ultimately, considering both offenses are efficient and should provide points, back the OVER 239.5 (-105).

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Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Oklahoma City Thunder (21-52) open a two-game road trip Saturday against the Denver Nuggets (43-31). Tip-off is 9 p.m. ET at Ball Arena. Below, we look at the Thunder vs. Nuggets odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Thunder snapped a 10-game losing skid Wednesday with a 118-102 home victory over the Orlando Magic 118-102. They are 4-18 in their last 22 games and have dropped four in a row on the road. Oklahoma City has been eliminated from playoff contention.

The Nuggets are coming off a 140-130 loss to the Phoenix Suns Thursday. Their game against the Thunder wraps up a four-game homestand. Denver is 1-2 in the first three games of the homestand and has lost three of its last four games and five of its last eight. The Nuggets hold a half-game lead for the sixth seed in the Western Conference over the Minnesota Timberwolves.

Thunder at Nuggets odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

Money line: Thunder +850 (bet $100 to win $850) | Nuggets -1800 (bet $1,800 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Thunder +15.5 (-115) | Nuggets -15.5 (-107)
Over/Under (O/U): 229.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

Thunder at Nuggets key injuries

Thunder

G Lu Dort (shoulder) out
F Derrick Favors (back) out
G Josh Giddey (hip) out
G Shai Gilgeous-Alexnder (ankle) questionable
G Ty Jerome (sports hernia) out
C Mike Muscala (ankle) out
C Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (foot) out
F Kenrich Williams (knee) out

Nuggets

F Vlatko Cancar (foot) out
G Jamal Murray (knee) out
F Zeke Nnaji (knee) out
F Michael Porter Jr. (back) out

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Thunder at Nuggets odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 125, Thunder 116

Money line

PASS on the money line.

The Thunder only have four wins in their last 22 games and they are 10-27 on the road. Their only win in the last 11 games was against the 20-win Orlando Magic.

Meanwhile, the Nuggets are 21-15 at home and very much in the playoff picture. The Thunder are a bad bet to win and the Nuggets line is too steep to wager.

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Against the spread

The Thunder have been very good against the spread this season, especially on the road. They are 44-25-4 ATS on the season and 25-11 ATS on the road. They have covered the spread in five straight games and seven of their last 10.

The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four contests and are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games. They have been a bad ATS bet at home this season, where they are 14-22 ATS.

It won’t be a close game, but the line is too large to comfortably bet on Denver. Take the THUNDER +15.5 (-115).

Over/Under

The Nuggets have averaged 118.5 points per game since Feb. 6. They have allowed 119.2 points per game to their opponents over their last 11 outings.

The Thunder have averaged 111.9 points per game over their last 14 contests.

Take OVER 229.5 (-112).

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Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Oklahoma City Thunder (19-42) visit the Ball Arena Wednesday to take on the Denver Nuggets (36-25). Tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Thunder vs. Nuggets odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Thunder are coming into this game following an embarrassing 21-point home loss to the Kings. OKC failed to cover as 5.5-point underdogs.

OKC is 4-4-2 against the spread (ATS) over its last 10 and 10-21 straight up (SU) on the road, which is better than the Thunder’s 9-21 SU home record. OKC is 36-21-4 ATS this season, the second-highest covering rate.

Denver has been hot lately, coming off a 32-point win over the Trail Blazers. The Nuggets are 7-3 ATS over their last 10 and have covered 3 of their last 4.

Led by reigning MVP C Nikola Jokic, the Nuggets are just 17-10 SU at home. They’ll be huge favorites as they welcome the Thunder Wednesday.

Thunder at Nuggets odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 2:27 p.m. ET.

Money line: Thunder +800 (bet $100 to win $800) | Nuggets -1600 (bet $1,600 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Thunder +14.5 (-107) | Nuggets -14.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 225.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Thunder at Nuggets key injuries

Thunder

G Lu Dort (shoulder) out
G Josh Giddey (hip) out
F Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (foot) out
F Aaron Wiggins (ankle) out

Nuggets

G Jamal Murray (knee) out
F Michael Porter Jr. (spine) out

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Thunder at Nuggets odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 116, Thunder 104

Money line

PASS.

There is no playable side here. The only way to consider playing the money line is in OKC’s favor at +800, but that’s far too risky to put any faction of a unit on.

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Against the spread

BET on the THUNDER +14.5 (-107).

The Nuggets are the far superior team here, but they haven’t covered well this season when given a spread this large. When double-digit favorites, the Nuggets are just 1-3 ATS.

OKC and Denver have played twice, both in Oklahoma City. Denver won by 4 and lost by 14.

OKC is 21-10 ATS this season as a road underdog, and with G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander healthy and a key playmaker, the Thunder should have the offensive firepower to hang close.

The Thunder also have the 10th-ranked defense in the NBA. Coupling that with the Nuggets’ 19th-ranked pace, OKC should be able to keep this game within 15 points.

Over/Under

BET on the UNDER 225.5 (-110).

The crew chief for this game is Courtney Kirkland. He is in his 22nd NBA season and has a 13-27 O/U record this season and the average total of a game Kirkland officiates is 215.0 points per game.

OKC already doesn’t have a high-octane offense outside of SGA. It ranks 30th in offensive rating. The Nuggets rank 27th in free throw attempt rate while the Thunder sits 29th.

All signs point to the Under being a great play.

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Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Friday’s Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Oklahoma City Thunder (10-14) head to Mile High City for a Friday night tilt with the Denver Nuggets (13-11) in a Western Conference showdown. Tip-off from Ball Arena will be at 9 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Thunder-Nuggets NBA odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Thunder at Nuggets: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 11:55 a.m. ET.

Money line: Thunder +525 (bet $100 to win $525) | Nuggets -770 (bet $770 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Thunder +11.5 (-105) | Nuggets -11.5 (-115)
Over/Under: 225.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Thunder at Nuggets: Key injuries

Thunder

SG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (knee) out
PG Theo Maledon (health and safety protocols) out
C Isaiah Roby (foot) questionable
PG George Hill (thumb) out
SF Trevor Ariza (personal) out

Nuggets

SG Gary Harris (thigh) out
PG P.J. Dozier (hamstring) out

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Thunder at Nuggets: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Nuggets 119, Thunder 110

Money line (ML)

With this being a lopsided affair, the money line isn’t exactly appetizing for the favored Nuggets. At -770, there is a minimal reward, but a lot of risk involved with betting on them to win straight up – especially considering the Nuggets are just 1-3 in their last four games.

While I like the Nuggets to win this one, I’d PASS on the money line for both sides and instead turn to the spread.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The Thunder are just 10-14 straight up, but they’ve been much better against the spread. They’re 13-10-1 ATS and are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last five road games.

The Nuggets, on the other hand, are just 2-4 ATS in their last six games. With Harris still out for the Nuggets, I like the THUNDER +11.5 (-105) to cover by staying within 11 points on the road.

Over/Under (O/U)

The total has gone Over in five of the Nuggets’ last six games and five of the Thunder’s last seven. Denver’s offense is one of the best in the NBA, even without Harris, while OKC ranks among the worst in the league in scoring average.

Neither team is particularly strong defensively, sitting in the bottom half of the NBA in points per game allowed.

I like the OVER 222.5 (-110).

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Also see:

Horford: Williams impressed early, is ‘mature beyond his years’ (Thunder Wire)
MVP Race: Jokic, Embiid and James remain at the top (Hoops Hype)

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