The Oklahoma City Thunder (17-23) drops by the State Farm Arena for a 7:30 p.m. ET game against Atlanta Hawks (20-20) Thursday. Below, we analyze the Thunder-Hawks odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.
Oklahoma City has split its previous four games since the All-Star break 2-2 SU and ATS with the most recent contest being a 123-102 blowout loss at the Chicago Bulls.
The Thunder beat down the Hawks 118-109 at home, Feb. 26, as 5.5-point underdogs.
Atlanta has won six straight (4-1-1 ATS), all of which coming after they replaced former head coach Lloyd Pierce with interim coach Nate McMillan March 2.
Over that span, the Hawks are 4th in net rating, 5th in rebounding percentage and 10th in effective field goal shooting.
Thunder at Hawks: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:45 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Thunder +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Hawks -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Thunder +7 (-110) | Hawks -7 (-110)
- Over/Under: 225.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Thunder at Hawks: Key injuries
Thunder
- SF Luguentz Dort (toe) questionable
- PF Darius Bazley (shoulder) questionable
- SG George Hill (thumb) out
Hawks
- C Clint Capela (heel) questionable
- PF Onyeka Okongwu (groin) questionable
- SF De’Andre Hunter (knee) out
- SG Cam Reddish (Achilles’) out
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Thunder at Hawks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Thunder 118, Hawks 111
Money line (ML)
Oklahoma City PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander did a splendid job in his head-to-head matchup against Atlanta PG Trae Young in the first Thunder-Hawks meeting this season.
Young is 3rd in the Association in free-throw attempts per game yet SGA held Young to zero free throw attempts and minus-18.5 net rating while SGA had a plus-10.8 net rating in the game.
Finally, the Hawks are due for a loss, and Thursday is a good spot to fade them. Following this game, Atlanta heads on an 8-game road trip with the next two being in the Staples Center against both Los Angeles basketball teams.
OKC is a live ‘dog in this one and I lean THUNDER (+230) for a one-fifth-unit because I like them to cover.
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Against the spread (ATS)
This is a good spot for OKC, which is surprisingly feisty on the road. The Thunder have the 3rd-highest cover rate as a road team with a plus-4.4-point ATS margin.
Additionally, OKC has covered three of the past four meetings with Atlanta and is 10-3 ATS this season on the road vs. winning teams.
GIMME THUNDER +7 (-110) for 1.25 units.
Over/Under (O/U)
PASS with a lean on the Over 225.5 (-110) because OKC has gone Under in three of its past four games, Atlanta three of its last five and the Over has cashed in the last seven Thunder-Hawks contests.
I’m passing because I prefer the sides more than the total in this game.
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Also see:
- Woj: Thunder trade Trevor Ariza to Heat for Meyers Leonard, draft pick (Thunder Wire)
- Hoops Hype rumors: Thunder | Hawks
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