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The Oklahoma City Thunder (49-20) take on the Milwaukee Bucks (45-25) Sunday with tip-off from Fiserv Forum set for 7 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Thunder vs. Bucks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Season series: First meeting; Bucks won 2-0 last year
OKC has won 4 straight and 8 of 10 after a 123-103 victory over the Toronto Raptors Friday. G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had a ho-hum 23 points, 8 assists, 7 rebounds and 3 steals. He has not had fewer than 20 since Jan. 16, a stretch spanning 29 games.
The Bucks failed to cover as 9.5-point faves in a 115-108 win over the Brooklyn Nets Thursday. F Giannis Antetokounmpo returned from a 2-game absence with 21 points, 9 boards and 5 assists. He’s listed as probable for this one with a lingering hamstring ailment.
Thunder at Bucks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Thunder +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Bucks -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Thunder +2.5 (-115) | Bucks -2.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 232.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Thunder at Bucks key injuries
Thunder
- None
Bucks
- F Giannis Antetokounmpo (hamstring) probable
- F Khris Middleton (ankle) probable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Thunder at Bucks and predictions
Prediction
Thunder 120, Bucks 115
Moneyline
The Greek Freak is clearly not himself, and I’m all about the value with OKC here. Denver’s C Nikola Jokic may disagree, but SGA should be in major consideration for MVP. I look for him to drop 30.
Take the THUNDER +110.
Against the spread
Since we’re taking the value on the ML, I don’t see much of a reason to take the spread.
This is chalky, but it’s a layup. I’m a little surprised it’s not at 1.5, but GIANNIS ANTETOKOUMPO OVER 0.5 BLOCKS (-175) is the way. He had 2 blocks last game and has a block in 5 of 7. If Chet Holmgren goes into the paint, Giannis is going to channel his inner Dikembe Mutumbo and wag his finger.
Over/Under
OKC is 3-7 O/U over the last 10, and the Bucks are 5-4-1. The Over is 4-6 in the last 10 meetings. These teams haven’t faced one another since Nov. 9, 2022, so there’s not a lot to draw from there. OKC has dropped 115+ in 5 of 6, and the Bucks have done the same in 3 straight.
LEAN OVER 232.5 (-115).
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