Texas Tech at Baylor odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Texas Tech Red Raiders at Baylor Bears odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 19 Texas Tech Red Raiders (11-3, 1-1 Big 12) tangle with the No. 1 Baylor Bears (15-0, 3-0) Tuesday in Waco, Texas. The Big 12 battle at Ferrell Center is slated to tip-off at 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Texas Tech vs. Baylor odds and lines and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Texas Tech is coming off a key win over Kansas Saturday. The Red Raiders had 11 offensive rebounds and got to the free-throw line 22 times while shooting 50.9% from the field. Senior F Bryson Williams had 22 points and 8 boards against the Jayhawks. Williams and the Raiders have won three of their last four games.

The Bears defeated the TCU Horned Frogs 76-64 Saturday. Baylor shot 52.6% from the floor and has now registered a mark of 50% or better in six straight games.

BU is shooting 49.5% on the season which ranks 13th in NCAA-I. The Bears have been buoyed by the steady play of senior G James Akinjo, who has logged 47 points over their last two games and is averaging 14.4 points and 6.1 assists per game.

Texas Tech at Baylor odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:18 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Texas Tech +500 (bet $100 to win $500) | Baylor -750 (bet $750 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Texas Tech +11.5 (-107) | Baylor -11.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 135.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Texas Tech at Baylor odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Baylor 75, Texas Tech 62

Money line

AVOID. There’s just too much juice here.

Against the spread

The Bears are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games and are 5-2 ATS over their last seven games against TTU.

BU swept the Raiders straight up and against the spread in two meetings last season. The Bears are the better shooting team by a decent margin and the venue is a big plus for Baylor and a significant minus for Texas Tech. TTU also has a couple or three injury/illness issues among some key veteran sources of rebounds and assists.

BACK the BEARS -11.5 (-115).

Over/Under

The Over is 5-0-1 across the Bears’ last six games and is 4-2 in the last six games of this series.

Consider a partial-unit play on the OVER 135.5 (-110).

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Texas Tech at Baylor odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s Texas Tech Red Raiders at Baylor Bears odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Texas Tech Red Raiders (17-8 overall, 9-7 Big 12) tussle with the Baylor Bears (20-1, 12-1) in a Sunday matinee at Ferrell Center in Waco, Texas. Tip-off will be at 4 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Texas Tech-Baylor odds and lines, with NCAA college basketball picks and predictions.

Baylor is No. 3 in the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports. Texas Tech is 18th.

Texas Tech at Baylor: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Texas Tech +310 (bet $100 to win $310) | Baylor -400 (bet $400 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Texas Tech +8.5 (-120) | Baylor -8.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: 137.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Texas Tech at Baylor: Three things to know

  1. Baylor is coming off an 81-70 home win over Oklahoma State Thursday. The Bears committed 13 turnovers while forcing 18, marking the eighth straight game BU has won the turnover margin. Over those eight contests, the Bears have committed 10.4 turnovers per game while forcing 16.1.
  2. Texas Tech lost to Baylor 68-60 Jan. 16. The Raiders have shot 36.3% from 3-point range since that game but went just 6-for-24 against the Bears. Since playing Baylor, TTU has had two three-game win streaks (including a current one) and one three-game losing skid.
  3. The 3-point arc is very much a line of demarcation between the style in these two offenses. Baylor ranks first in the Big 12 with 24.7 triple attempts per contest. TTU ranks last in the circuit, attempting just 18.0 3-pointers per game. The frequency makes sense for both; the Bears are shooting 42.0% from distance; the Raiders are shooting 34.0%.

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Texas Tech at Baylor: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Baylor 73, Texas Tech 63

Money line (ML)

STEER CLEAR. Baylor -350 brings a sliver of value, but current prices are out of range.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The Red Raiders are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games against teams playing better than .600 basketball, and they’re 1-4 ATS over their last five road games.

Texas Tech makes its hay against lesser defensive units than the one it will see Sunday afternoon. Baylor’s ability to create turnovers and then get out and score in transition and from distance is a problem for TTU.

The Raiders aren’t an above-average defense on the perimeter. BU went just 6-for-24 from 3-point-land in the first meeting. An average shooting game (for a dialed-in Bears offense) spells a double-digit win for the home five.

BACK BAYLOR -8.5 (+100).

Over/Under (O/U)

This match-up hit the Under in the January game. The Over is 8-1 in nine BU games since. The Under is the lean but only at a tag closer to 140.

PASS.

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