Tag: Texas State Bobcats betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Texas State at Baylor odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Texas State at Baylor odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Baylor Bears (1-1) welcome the Texas State Bobcats (1-1) to McLane Stadium Saturday with kickoff set for noon ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Texas State at Baylor odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Sun Belt has had an impressive few weeks, and Texas State will look to keep that success alive after Marshall beat Notre Dame and Appalachian State beat Texas A&M.

The Bobcats lost their first game of the season, a 38-14 blowout against Nevada, and then beat FIU 41-12. They’re led by QB Layne Hatcher, but it was starting RB Calvin Hill who erupted against FIU, rushing for 195 yards.

Baylor is coming into this match needing to remain perfect the rest of the way for any playoff aspirations. It went to BYU and lost a hard-breaking game 26-20. It took down Albany 69-10 in its opener.

The Bears use their dominant run game to their advantage, averaging 205.5 yards in 2 games. Baylor is led by redshirt sophomore QB Blake Shapen.

Baylor is No. 19 in the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

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Texas State at Baylor odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 9:01 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Texas State +1500 (bet $100 to win $1,500) | Baylor -5000 (bet $5,000 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Texas State +29.5 (-108) | Baylor -29.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 52.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Texas State at Baylor picks and predictions

Prediction

Baylor 35, Texas State 13

Money line

PASS.

No value here. Carry on.

Against the spread

BET TEXAS STATE +29.5 (-108).

The Bobcats didn’t look great against Nevada, but Hill never truly was able to make an impact. He ran for 15 yards on 9 carries as opposed to getting 25 carries against FIU.

Playing from behind early, Hatcher was forced to throw 51 passes. Texas State hung with Nevada and was down 14-7 at half. The Bobcats have the personnel to keep this close, and the Sun Belt has typically rewarded betters in this game.

The Bears have a solid run defense, but its offense didn’t look electric against BYU. Baylor had just 137 passing yards and used 4 running backs. It is the definition of running back by committee.

It’ll want to keep this clock moving with its run game and topping a 30-point spread with a run-heavy attack against a competent opponent isn’t something I’m interested in backing. Taking TEXAS STATE +29.5 (-108).

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 52.5 (-108).

Simply put — this is going to be a run-heavy game.

Hill is the star for the Bobcats, and Baylor has many key players in its run game. Shapen hasn’t looked good late, and he may have difficulty stringing together lengthy, scoring possessions.

The Bears’ defense, limiting the Cougars’ run game to just 83 yards, is good enough to assume they’ll tame the Bobcats. Couple it all together, and I’d prefer UNDER 52.5 (-108).

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Texas State at Coastal Carolina odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Texas State at Coastal Carolina odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Texas State Bobcats (3-7, 2-4 Sun Belt) visit the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (8-2, 4-2) Saturday at Brooks Stadium in Conway, S.C. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Texas State vs. Coastal Carolina odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

The Bobcats put up a good fight last week but eventually fell 38-30 to Georgia Southern as the Over easily connected. After a promising start, including a 4OT win over South Alabama, the Bobcats are just 1-4 SU across the past five, and 1-3 ATS in the previous four.

The Chanticleers were outlasted 42-40 by visiting Georgia State last week. The loss of QB Grayson McCall hasn’t helped, but that wasn’t why the Chants lost last week. The defense just had no answers for the Panthers.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Texas State at Coastal Carolina odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Texas State +1000 (bet $100 to win $1000) | Coastal Carolina -2500 (bet $2500 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Texas State +24.5 (-115) | Coastal Carolina -24.5 (-107)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 60.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Texas State at Coastal Carolina odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Coastal Carolina 46, Texas State 20

Money line

Coastal Carolina (-2500) isn’t going to lose a second straight game, especially at home, but I am not risking 25 times my possible return, and you shouldn’t either.

PASS.

Against the spread

COASTAL CAROLINA -24.5 (-107) is the lean here as the Chanticleers should be plenty angry. After a tough week of practice, Jamey Chadwell’s group will be running around like a chicken with its head cut off. OK, that was a Chanticleer pun, and totally intended.

CCU was 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS at Brooks until last week’s setback. You can expect the Chants to fire out of the chute and take it to Jake Spavital’s group, who might have used their last ounce of energy last week trying to hang onto bowl eligibility. That thought is now gone, and this might be an ugly showing on the road for a Texas State team with nothing left to play for against an angry Coastal team on the rebound.

Over/Under

The OVER 60.5 (-120) is the lean here, and I don’t think Coastal is going to have trouble scoring. The biggest concern with the play is whether Texas State can replicate the success Georgia State had on offense last week. My initial thoughts are no, they will not.

CCU had allowed single-digit totals to the opposition in three of the six games before Georgia State. And TSU averages just 23.2 PPG, 102nd in the country, and 348.6 total yards per game, 105th overall. Still, as long as the Chants hit the 40’s, this one should inch across the finish line as an Over result.

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College Football Best Bets: 3 best small-school picks for Week 11

Looking at the 3 best small-school picks and predictions for Week 11 of the college football season, based on the odds and lines at Tipico Sportsbook.

We’re heading down the final stretch of the college football regular season, and it’s a fun time of the year with MAC action in the middle of the week. It leaves us with fewer small-school games to pick, but there are still plenty of values. Below, we look at the best bets for three small-school college football winners in Week 11, with expert college football picks and predictions.

Every week we target three smaller schools that are good bets to cover the spread and win big money – it doesn’t really matter the size of the school, it’s winners that matter.

This weekend we’ll focus on a trio games from Conference USA and the Sun Belt Conference.

Small-school college football best bets of Week 11

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 7:30 a.m. ET.

Georgia Southern at Texas State -2.5 (-105) (Saturday at 3 p.m. ET)

Georgia Southern (2-7, 1-5 Sun Belt) heads down to San Marcos, Texas, for a Sun Belt showdown with Texas State (3-6, 2-3), a team that is playing much better under head coach Jake Spavital this season. In fact, the Bobcats have been a tough out each week lately.

The Bobcats are all alone in second place in the Sun Belt’s West Division behind ranked Louisiana. While Texas State was no match for the Ragin’ Cajuns in Lafayette, La., Oct. 30, it has a respectable 3-2 ATS mark across the past five games, with three of those outings one-score games.

Meanwhile, the Eagles are on a four-game losing streak, and 0-3 ATS mark, showing no signs of life. Last season you could rely on GASO to be competitive with QB Shai Werts, but once he hit the transfer portal, he seemed to take a lot of talent and cohesiveness with him.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll, powered by USA TODAY Sports.

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FAU -6.5 (-117) at Old Dominion (Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET)

FAU (5-4, 3-2) lost a key game last week at home against Marshall, falling out of first place in the C-USA East Division. They’ll be looking for a bounce-back game on the road against a poor Old Dominion (3-6, 2-3) side.

While the Monarchs have shown some improvement lately, putting one on FIU last week by a 47-24 score in Miami, while going 3-1 ATS across the past four, the Owls are a tough matchup.

QB N’Kosi Perry have had a rather balanced offensive attack, and it will look to take advantage of an ODU D allowing 29.3 PPG. The Owls are also 11-5 ATS in the past 16 road games, and the favorite is 4-0 ATS in the past four in this series.

Arkansas State at UL Monroe -2.5 (-120) (Saturday at 5 p.m. ET)

Arkansas State (1-8, 0-5 Sun Belt) travels to meet UL Monroe (4-5, 2-4), a team that was expected to struggle. Now, the Warhawks are in position to at least qualify for bowl eligibility, while it’s the Red Wolves who are in the basement and the only winless team in the Belt.

When head coach Blake Anderson left for Utah State, and QB Logan Bonner followed him, the Red Wolves weren’t left with much talent in the cupboard. It has shown, as not only is Ark State 1-8 SU, but it is 1-4 ATS across the past five games, losing by 18 or more points in four of those five outings.

Monroe was tripped up at aforementioned Texas State last week but has two straight wins at home against a decent South Alabama team and a good Liberty side. The Warhawks are 3-1-1 ATS in five home dates and will improve upon that number on Senior Day at Malone Stadium.

Last week’s recap

Things started off well with a no-doubt winner from North Texas on the road against a bad, bad Southern Miss team. It’s the worst Golden Eagles team in years, so take advantage of their futility. Things went south with ULM at Texas State, two teams actually featured above. And I had a feeling UNLV wasn’t going to go winless, and it picked up its first win at New Mexico last week, a team that has struggled defensively. I should’ve known better, but backed the boys from ABQ anyway.

Let’s build that bankroll back up this week! We have just this week, and next week, and then I must bid you adieu for the season.

Last Week: 1-2
Season Total: 16-14

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Baylor at Texas State odds, expert picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Baylor at Texas State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Baylor Bears and Texas State Bobcats meet Saturday at Bobcat Stadium in San Marcos, Texas. Kickoff is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET and the game can be viewed on ESPN+. Below, we look at the Baylor vs. Texas State odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

The Bears managed just two victories in nine tries during the COVID-19-shortened 2020 campaign. Expect Baylor to bounce back in a big way, as it has a trio of impressive wideouts in Gavin Holmes, R.J. Sneed and Tyquan Thornton. QB Gerry Bohanon has been handed the keys to the car as the Week 1 starter.

Texas State head coach Jake Spavital has managed just five wins in 24 tries over the last two seasons but six of the 10 losses last season were by 10 or fewer points. TSU isn’t that far off from turning it around. The Bobcats were good for 27.7 points per game last season, and they could improve again. QB Brady McBride is serviceable, and WR Marcell Barbee could be a star.

Baylor at Texas State odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:05 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Baylor -600 (bet $600 to win $100) | Texas State +420 (bet $100 to win $420)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Baylor -13.5 (-120) | Texas State +13.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 52.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Baylor at Texas State odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Baylor 31, Texas State 20

Money line

Baylor (-600) will cost you six times your potential return, and that’s risky business with a new quarterback under center and a road game to boot.

AVOID.

Against the spread

TEXAS STATE +13.5 (-105) is a decent play, as it managed to hang around in plenty of games in 2020. The Bobcats didn’t convert many of those chances to wins, but they gained valuable experience as a unit. TSU has the tools to make a game of it in the first half, but expect the Bears to pull away in the final 30 minutes.

Texas State should do well in the Sun Belt Conference slate, but it’s not quite up to snuff against a middle-of-the-road Power 5 side. At least not yet.

Over/Under

UNDER 52.5 (-110) is the lean as Baylor has nine starters back on defense. Yes, the Bears allowed 29.2 PPG last season, but head coach Dave Aranda and defensive coordinator Ron Roberts should be able to whip this group into shape, and DL Siaki Ika is a tremendous injection of talent via the transfer portal.

Texas State also has eight starters back on D, and CB Jarron Morris is a special player who will make a difference.

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Coastal Carolina at Texas State odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Friday’s Purdue Boilermakers at Minnesota Golden Gophers sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (8-0 overall, 6-0 Sun Belt) visit the Texas State Bobcats (2-9, 2-5) in a Saturday 3 p.m. ET Sun Belt battle at Bobcat Stadium. Below, we analyze the Coastal Carolina-Texas State college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

The Chanticleers are ranked No. 17 in the Amway Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Coastal Carolina at Texas State: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 8:48 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Coastal Carolina +-715 (bet $715 to win $100) | Texas State +490 (bet $100 to win $490)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Coastal Carolina -16.5 (-115) | Texas State +16.5 (-106)
  • Over/Under: 58.5 (O: -106 | U: -115)

Coastal Carolina at Texas State: Three things to know

  1. Coastal Carolina has allowed just 43 combined points over its last four games. On the season, the Chanticleers rank 12th in FBS in points allowed (17.1 PPG), 17th in total yards allowed (322.8 YPG) and 10th in passing yards allowed (178.9 YPG).
  2. Texas State is coming off a 47-45 win over Arkansas State despite being outgained 654 yards to 505. For the season, TSU ranks 113th in points allowed (37.2 PPG) and 120th in yardage allowed (490.3 YPG). The Bobcats have yielded more than 7.0 yards per play in three of their last five games.
  3. The Chanticleers’ efficiency on both sides of the ball has created a hidden advantage of some 150 YPG in the form of field position. CCU’s average drive start has been its own 36-yard line; the Chanticleers’ opponents have been setting up shop at their 25. Those figures rank fifth and 10th, respectively.

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Coastal Carolina at Texas State: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Coastal Carolina 42, Texas State 17

Money line (ML)

PASS. Coastal (-715) is the lean in principle, but the tag here isn’t worth investigating.

Against the spread (ATS)

Coastal Carolina is 12-4 ATS over its last 16 road games. The Chanticleers are much the better team on both sides of the ball. On offense, they stay ahead of the chains and produce a good number of big plays. That they do so with particular efficiency in the passing game is a big difference maker in this matchup. Back COASTAL CAROLINA -16.5 (-115).

Over/Under (O/U)

The Over is a robust 14-7 in CCU’s last 21 road games. Games against Appalachian State (34 points scored) and Georgia State (51) and those teams’ better defenses would indicate 42 points as a solid base line for the Chanticleers in this matchup at Texas State.

Some rain and breezy weather could be in the offing, though, and this total is well-made by the public. Tag this one with only the slightest of leans on the OVER 58.5 (-106).

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