Texas Rangers at New York Yankees Game 1 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Texas Rangers at New York Yankees Game 1 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Texas Rangers (54-61) and New York Yankees (68-48) will play Game 1 of a doubleheader Saturday. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is at 1:05 p.m. ET (ESPN+/MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Rangers vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Rangers won 4-3 in 2023

Friday’s series opener was washed out due to the remnants of Tropical Storm Debby passing through the NYC Metropolitan area.

The Rangers have struggled all season after winning the World Series in 2023. Since its 4-game sweep of the lowly Chicago White Sox in late July, the Rangers are just 3-9 in the past 12 games, while the Over is 10-2 in the impressive span.

The Yankees were stunned earlier in the week by the Los Angeles Angels, dropping 2 of 3 games against a team which is 14 games under .500. As a result, the Bronx Bombers enter the doubleheader a half-game out of 1st place in the AL East behind the Baltimore Orioles.

New York enters play with the best run differential in the majors at plus-113. Despite the tremendous overall record, the Yankees are just 30-26 in front of the home fans while going an impressive 38-22 on the road. They’re just 4-7 in the past 11 games at home.

Rangers at Yankees projected starters

RHP Nathan Eovaldi vs. LHP Carlos Rodon

Eovaldi (8-5, 3.62 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 117 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 5 ER, 7 H (2 HR), 1 BB, 7 K in 7-2 home setback vs. Boston Red Sox Sunday
  • 2024 road splits: 2-3, 4.57 ERA (41 1/3 IP, 21 ER), 1.40 WHIP, .275 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 14 BB, 36 K in 7 starts
  • Career vs. Yankees: 4-4, 3.45 ERA (101 2/3 IP, 39 ER), 1.10 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 in 20 appearances (17 starts)

Rodon (12-7, 4.37 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 125 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 3 H (1 HR), 2 BB, 8 K in 8-3 home victory vs. Toronto Blue Jays Aug. 3
  • 2024 home splits: 6-2, 3.76 ERA (52 2/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.01 WHIP, .202 OBA, 14 BB, 61 K in 9 starts
  • Career vs. Rangers: 1-1, 4.70 ERA (30 2/3 IP, 16 ER), 1.34 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 in 5 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Rangers at Yankees Game 1 odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rangers +132 (bet $100 to win $132) | Yankees -156 (bet $156 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers +1.5 (-160) | Yankees -1.5 (+132)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -122 | U: +100)

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Rangers at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Rangers 4

Moneyline

The YANKEES (-156) are actually not priced out of line against the Rangers (+132) in the front end of this double dip.

Eovaldi gets a crack against his former team, and it could be a higher-scoring nail-biter. He has been shaky on the road, posting a losing record with an ERA north of 4, while Rodon has been so-so, and he has struggled at times against Texas in his career.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re a little more on the conservative side, and you’d like some insurance, playing RANGERS +1.5 (-160) isn’t terribly expensive.

The Yankees -1.5 (+132) are just 4-7 in the past 11 games at home, so buying a little insurance on the road team isn’t a terrible idea.

Over/Under

OVER 8 (-122) is the lean in Game 1 of this twin bill.

The Over has been on fire for the Bronx Bombers lately, going 14-3 in the past 17 games. For the Rangers, the total has ended up going high in 10 of the previous 12 outings.

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Texas Rangers at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Texas Rangers at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Texas Rangers (54-61) and New York Yankees (68-48) open a 3-game series Friday. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rangers vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Rangers won 4-3 last year

The Rangers have lost back-to-back games after falling 6-4 against the Houston Astros Wednesday as +116 home underdogs. SP Jose Urena allowed 2 earned runs in 4 innings and recorded the loss.

The Yankees have also dropped 2 straight after losing 9-4 against the Los Angeles Angels Thursday, failing to cash as -223 home favorites. SP Nestor Cortes allowed 6 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings to pick up the loss.

Rangers at Yankees projected starters

LHP Cody Bradford vs. LHP Carlos Rodon

Bradford (3-0, 3.96 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 0.92 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 25 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 7-4 home win against Boston Red Sox Saturday
  • Never faced Yankees before

Rodon (12-7, 4.37 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 through 125 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 8-3 home victory against Toronto Blue Jays Saturday
  • Career vs. Rangers: 1-1, 4.70 ERA (30 2/3, 16 IP), 1.34 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 in 5 starts — last outing in 2018

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Rangers at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rangers +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Yankees -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers +1.5 (-145) | Yankees -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Rangers at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 7, Rangers 4

Moneyline

PASS.

There is better value on the Yankees’ run line. The Yankees are 7-3 in their last 10 games, while the Rangers are 3-7 in the same span.

Run line/Against the spread

BET YANKEES -1.5 (+120).

Fourteen of the Rangers’ last 15 losses have been by 2 or more runs, including each of their last 8. They have also lost 3 of their last 4 games on the road with each loss coming by 4 or more runs. Two of the last 3 Yankees wins have been by 3 or more runs, and New York has won 3 of its last 5 at home.

Over/Under

BET OVER 9 (-105).

The Rangers and Yankees have both hit the Over in 8 of their last 10 games overall. Texas has scored 4 or more runs in 4 of its last 6 games and allowed 4 or more in 8 of its last 10. New York has scored 4 or more runs in 9 of its last 10 games and allowed 4 or more in 6 of its last 9.

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Texas Rangers at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Texas Rangers at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Texas Rangers (47-29) and New York Yankees (42-35) clash in the Sunday rubber match of a 3-game set at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is slated for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Rangers vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rangers lead 4-2

Texas and New York have thus far split a pair of pitcher’s duels in this series. The Rangers broke a 2-2 tie with a pair of 10th-inning runs to win 4-2 Friday. Texas then scattered 8 hits and went 1-for-9 with runners in scoring position — with that runner being tagged out on a throw home — in a taut 1-0 loss on Saturday.

Despite coughing up 10 runs to the Seattle Mariners Thursday, Yankee pitching has compiled a 2.54 ERA over its last 5 games. The club owns a 2.06 ERA over its last 9 games in the Bronx.

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Rangers at Yankees projected starters

RHP Nathan Eovaldi vs. RHP Gerrit Cole

Eovaldi (9-3, 2.80 ERA) is tabbed for his 16 start of the season.  He has a 0.99 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 99 2/3 innings.

  • The former Yankees pitcher (2015-16) ranks 4th in MLB in innings pitched
  • Tossed a complete-game shutout against New York on April 29, but current NY batters own an aggregate .764 OPS against him
  • Looking to rally from logging a 5.12 ERA over his last 3 starts

Cole (8-1, 2.64 ERA) makes his 17th start of the season. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 99 innings.

  • Ranks 5th in MLB in innings pitched
  • Owns a 3.02 ERA at Yankee Stadium across the last 3 years
  • Has registered a 1.78 mark over his last 4 starts
  • Faces a Texas club that owns an aggregate .825 OPS against him

Rangers at Yankees odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:55 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Rangers +102 (bet $102 to win $100) | Yankees -120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers -1.5 (162) | Yankees 1.5 (-196)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Rangers at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Rangers 5, Yankees 4

Moneyline

The Rangers are 6-1 in their last 7 games after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. The Yankees are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a victory.

There is some lean against the pitching in this game — on both sides in the starters department. That’s not to say Eovaldi and Cole are not quality hurlers, just that their surface stats are overselling that quality in the betting market.

From a team won-loss perspective, the Yanks figure as a tad overcooked (lucky) so far, and the Rangers may actually be a couple games under where they should be. Texas is also the healthier club overall and has the more rested bullpen, especially at the back end.

Figure the Rangers as a small lean. PASS on the current offering, but consider Texas as a partial-unit value at +106 or better.

Run line/Against the spread

The Over is a likable play in this game, but we should want at least +170 if looking to back the Rangers. STEER CLEAR.

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Over/Under

The Over is 7-1-1 in the Rangers’ last 9 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Cole threw 105 pitches in his last effort, and that was in a high-stress game the Yanks felt they had to have in stopping a losing streak. The veteran righty has had some next-time out trouble after earlier pitch counts of 108 and 104.

Texas owns solid numbers against Cole; New York has good numbers against the scuffling-of-late Eovaldi.

On a warm, humid afternoon at Yankee Stadium, and with a New York bullpen likely looking to make due without its best arms, BACK THE OVER 7.5 (-105).

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Texas Rangers at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Texas Rangers at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Yankees (41-35) welcome the Texas Rangers (47-28) to Yankee Stadium Saturday for the 2nd of a 3-game set. First pitch is set for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rangers vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Texas leads 4-1.

The Yankees have lost 6 of their last 8 games, dropping the first of the 3-game series 4-2 Friday evening. New York is 23-19 at home, though, sitting 3rd in the AL East.

The Rangers have won 5 of their last 6 and are sitting atop the AL West. They are a strong 23-15 on the road this season and 6.5 games ahead of Houston for the lead in the division.

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Rangers at Yankees projected starters

RHP Jon Gray vs. RHP Luis Severino

Gray (6-2, 2.96 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 through 76 IP.

  • Gray gave up 6 earned runs in 2 1/3 innings against the Blue Jays June 18, his last time on the mound.
  • The Rangers are 8-5 with Gray on the mound this season and have won 7 of his last 8 starts

Severino (0-2, 6.30 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.57 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 30 IP.

  • The 2-time All-Star is off to the worst start of his career and has a career-high ERA
  • The Yankees are 3-3 in Severino’s 6 starts

Rangers at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rangers -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Yankees +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers -1.5 (+125) | Yankees +1.5 (-150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Rangers at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Rangers 3

Moneyline

PASS.

Texas has been great this season, but it hasn’t played as well as a road favorite, just 11-7 straight up this season. Gray is also coming off one of his worst showings of the year.

The Yankees are 3-3 straight up as a home underdog. While the value is there to play New York on the moneyline, I would prefer the juiced spread.

Run line/Against the spread

BET YANKEES +1.5 (-150).

The Yankees are 4-2 on the run line as a home underdog. New York is also 17-9 as a run line as an underdog, and with a 2-time All-Star pitcher on the mound, it should be able to stay close.

The Yankees have won 6 straight games on Saturdays as well, so this is a day they typically play well on. Overall, back YANKEES +1.5 (-150) given their ability to cover at home and as an underdog.

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Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8.5 (+100).

The Under has hit in the teams’ last 4 meetings in the Big Apple. The Rangers are 1-2-1 O/U in their last 4 games and 1-3-1 O/U in games against the Yankees this season. The Yankees are 33-41-2 O/U this season and 1-5 O/U in their last 6.

Take UNDER 8.5 (+100).

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Texas Rangers at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Texas Rangers at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Texas Rangers (46-28) and New York Yankees (41-34) will open a 3-game series on Friday night at Yankee Stadium. First pitch will be at 7:05 p.m. ET from the Bronx. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rangers vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rangers lead 3-1

The Rangers took 2 of 3 games from the Chicago White Sox in their most recent series after going 2-1 against the Toronto Blue Jays and winning 4 of their last 5 has given them a 5 1/2-game lead in the AL West. They lead MLB with 451 runs scored this season and despite being without SP Jacob deGrom, they own the 7th-best ERA (3.79).

After getting swept by the Boston Red Sox, the Yankees bounced back by taking 2 of 3 from the Seattle Mariners. They’re still 9 1/2 games back in the AL East but they’re hanging around thanks to some strong pitching (6th-best ERA at 3.76).

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Texas Rangers at New York Yankees projected starters

RHP Dane Dunning vs. RHP Clarke Schmidt

Dunning (6-1, 2.78 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 5.4 K/9 in 64 2/3 innings.

  • Has pitched at least 5 innings in his 8 starts this season, allowing more than 3 ER just once
  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 6 H, 2 ER, 1 BB, 3 K in 4-2 victory over the Blue Jays on Saturday

Schmidt (2-6, 4.65 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 71 2/3 innings.

  • Has a 3.38 ERA in June, allowing 6 ER in 16 IP
  • Yankees are 0-5 in his last 5 starts and 4-11 overall

Rangers at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rangers -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Yankees -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers -1.5 (+145) | Yankees +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Rangers at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Rangers 6, Yankees 3

Moneyline

The Rangers have been good on the road this season (22-15) and just won 2 of their 3 games in Chicago last series and I expect that sort of success to continue with Dunning on the hill. They’re a solid value at -115 to beat the Yankees outright. BET RANGERS (-115).

Run line/Against the spread

The Rangers have been winning games convincingly as of late, which is no surprise given their league-leading offense. Each of their last 7 wins have been by at least 2 runs, with their last 3 wins coming by a total of 10 runs. The Yankees haven’t exactly kept games close, with each of their last 4 losses coming by at least 3 runs – including losses by 8 and 10 runs.

BET RANGERS -1.5 (+145).

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Over/Under

The Rangers could do most of the heavy lifting themselves Friday with Schmidt on the mound. Texas has scored at least 5 runs in each of their last 4 games, including an 11-run outburst against the Blue Jays.

The Yankees haven’t scored more than 4 runs in any of their last 4 games, but they may not need to plate many against the hot-hitting Rangers for this bet to cash.

BET OVER 8.5 (-115).

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Texas Rangers at New York Yankees odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Texas Rangers at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Texas Rangers (55-96) and New York Yankees (85-67) meet Wednesday at 7:05 p.m. ET at Yankee Stadium. Let’s analyze the lines around the Rangers vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Taylor Hearn is the projected starting pitcher for the Rangers. Through 40 games (nine starts), Hearn is 6-5 with a 4.52 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 and 3.6 BB/9 in 93 2/3 IP.

  • Has been in the Texas rotation since Aug. 17. Has posted a 5.45 ERA over that stretch. That includes coughing up 7 ER across 3 1/3 IP versus the Chicago White Sox on Friday.
  • Facing a New York club that prefers hitting against lefties. The Yankees headed into Tuesday night with a .717 OPS vs. right-handed pitchers and a .751 mark against southpaws.

RHP Corey Kluber is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees. He is 5-3 with a 3.68 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 and 4.1 BB/9 in 71 IP over 14 starts.

  • Tossed a no-hitter against Texas on May 19. Kluber walked one and struck out nine in that game.
  • Owns a 5.60 ERA over four starts since returning from injury (shoulder) in late-August. Has averaged just over 4 innings per start over that span.

Rangers at Yankees odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rangers +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Yankees -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Rangers +2.5 (-130) | Yankees -2.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Prediction

Yankees 6, Rangers 3

Money line (ML)

The YANKEES (-300) has taken the first two games of this series, winning back-to-back contests for just a second time since Sept. 3.

The Rangers have lost six of their last seven games. A slugging Texas offense owned a paltry .541 OPS through the fist six games of that stretch.

Conversely, the Yanks have been hitting the baseball with authority of late. Across 10 games before Tuesday’s 7-2 victory, the Bronx Bombers hit 24 home runs and logged an .814  OPS.

Kluber’s last start likely gives Yankees bettors a shot of confidence. But the price here is too lofty: PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

CONSIDER A YANKEES -2.5 (+105) PLAY. The back of New York’s bullpen is rested headed into this game. The Yanks do get embroiled in a lot of 1- and 2-run games, but the Rangers are a different kind of opponent. They are the headed-for-100-losses kind of opponent.

Look for a rolling New York offense to lead the way in a Wednesday night rout.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Over is the lean but only on a neutral price. STEER CLEAR.

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Texas Rangers at New York Yankees odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Texas Rangers at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Texas Rangers (55-95) and New York Yankees (84-67) tangle Tuesday  at 7:05 p.m. ET at Yankee Stadium. Let’s analyze the lines around the Rangers vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Dane Dunning is the projected starting pitcher for the Rangers. He is 5-8 with a 4.28 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 through 107 1/3 IP spanning 24 games (22 starts).

  • Rejoins the starting rotation after making two relief appearances and hasn’t started a game since Aug. 20. Allowed 10 base runners and 5 runs over 4 2/3 IP at the Boston Red Sox.
  • Owns a 6.65 ERA and 1.73 WHIP on the road.
  • Has been undone by a .344 BABIP.

LHP Jordan Montgomery is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees. He is 5-6 with a 3.63 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 9.3 K/9 and 2.9 BB/9 through 144 IP over 27 starts.

  • Struck out a season-high 12 batters while allowing 1 run over 5 2/3 IP Thursday at the Baltimore Orioles. Owns a 15.1 K/9 over his last three starts.
  • Has posted a 3.25 ERA and 1.13 WHIP at Yankee Stadium.

Rangers at Yankees odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3:05 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rangers +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Yankees -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Rangers +1.5 (+105) | Yankees -1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Prediction

Rangers 5, Yankees 4

Money line (ML)

New York defeated Texas 4-3 in Monday’s series opener and sent the Rangers to their fifth loss in their last six games. A slugging Texas offense owns a .541 OPS over that stretch.

The Yankees have gone just 8-15 over their last 23 games with a 4.58 team ERA over that stretch. Over their last 10 games, though, the Bronx Bombers hit 24 home runs and logged a .814 OPS.

There is some downside to relying much on Dunning, but there is some expected-ERA lean toward him and away from Montgomery. The Yankees lefty threw 99 pitches in his last outing. His next-time-out starts after 95-plus pitches are not too sharp.

The price here is attractive enough to warrant a play on TEXAS (+230).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the run line. Shoot for the full outright reward for the best leverage.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Texas offense is woeful and that’s been due, in large part, to a terrible .651 road OPS. But the Rangers have posted a solid .728 OPS over their last 15 games away from Arlington.

Add to that — and the Yankees’ offense of late — unimpressive analytics on both bullpens: take the OVER 8.5 (-102).

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