The No. 6 Texas Longhorns (12-2, 1-1 Big 12) battle the Oklahoma State Cowboys (9-5, 1-1) Saturday. Tip from Gallagher-Iba Arena is set for noon ET (ESPNU). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Texas vs. Oklahoma State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.
Texas gave up 58 first-half points in a 116-103 loss to Kansas State Tuesday, failing to cover as an 8.5-point home favorite. The Longhorns are 5-9 against the spread (ATS) this season and 0-3 ATS over their last 3. Texas ranks No. 10 in the nation in points per game (84.1). It also just lost its head coach, Chris Beard, who was fired amid a domestic family violence charge.
Oklahoma State beat West Virginia 67-60 Monday, covering as a 3-point home favorite. The Cowboys pushed their ATS record to 8-6 with the cover and have now covered 4 in a row and 5 of their last 6. Their strength is defense, ranking No. 6 in the nation in opponents’ field goal percentage (36.8%).
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Texas at Oklahoma State odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:33 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Texas -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Oklahoma State +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
- Against the spread (ATS): Texas -2.5 (-115) | Oklahoma State +2.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 141.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Texas at Oklahoma State picks and predictions
Prediction
Oklahoma State 70, Texas 68
Moneyline
LEAN OKLAHOMA STATE (+125).
The loss of Beard is going to give the Longhorns some issues. Losing your leader is always difficult, and I would fade the Longhorns until they prove they can overcome his loss.
Oklahoma State is 6-1 at home this season and 8-5 ATS on the season. The Cowboys lost to No. 3 Kansas by just 2 last Saturday and have won 3 of their last 4 games.
Oklahoma State has the 6th-most efficient defense in the nation, and without Beard captaining Texas, the dominant Cowboys defense should cause the Longhorns enough issues for the home side to come out on top.
Back OKLAHOMA STATE (+125).
Against the spread
PASS.
I would rather play the plus-money moneyline here.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 141.5 (-115).
The Cowboys are 5-8-1 O/U this season, and they are 0-3-1 O/U in their last 4 games. Oklahoma State has held 6 straight teams to 70 points or fewer and even held Kansas to just 69.
Oklahoma State averages 71 per game. Texas is 8-5-1 O/U, and it is coming off a massive game with 219 combined points. That should make the Over the more popular side.
However, while Texas is efficient offensively, on the road against an elite defense, I would back the Cowboys’ strength as the better side in this battle. That suggests fewer points to be scored. Texas gives up just 66.5 points per game as well.
Back the UNDER 141.5 (-115).
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