Texas at Kansas State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Texas at Kansas State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Texas Longhorns (5-3, 3-2 Big 12) travel to Manhattan to battle the  Kansas State Wildcats (6-2, 4-1) Saturday at 7 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Texas vs. Kansas State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Kansas State is No. 14 in the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY sports and No. 13 in the initial College Football Playoff rankings.

The last time we saw Texas on the field, they blew a big lead in losing 41-34 at Oklahoma State. After a bye week to recover, Texas goes back on the road to visit Kansas State.

Since taking over at Texas last season, coach Steve Sarkisian is 1-6 in true road games. Kansas State is a good team and funny things can happen to teams who visit.

Kansas State  looks to win this game and stay on pace with TCU for a hopeful playoff berth to finish off a miraculous season. Transfer QB Adrian Martinez has not been the sparkplug many had hoped for. With him ailing last week, the team turned to Will Howard, and he led them to a 48-0 win against Oklahoma State.

It is unknown who will start for the Wildcats this week. But if Martinez is not fully healthy, common sense suggests that Howard should start. With his spark and the ability of Deuce Vaughn, Kansas State has a real chance of sending Texas to a 2nd straight road loss.

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Texas at Kansas State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 9:53 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Texas -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Kansas State +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Texas -2.5 (-115) | Kansas State +2.5 (-107)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 55.0 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Texas at Kansas State picks and predictions

Prediction

Kansas State 28, Texas 24

Moneyline

BET KANSAS STATE (+120).

The Wildcats come into this game with something to really play for. They need to win out to gain a berth in the Big 12 Championship game. While Texas still has a path, it is much more convoluted.

I like the Wildcats in this spot, and they should not be underdogs at home. Kansas State +120 is my favorite play in this game.

Against the spread

AVOID.

The underdog Wildcats should win this game. I would rather take them on the ML then split the wager between the 2.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 55 (-115).

Both teams in this game can score. But this scoring has come against mediocre defenses. When faced with a more challenging matchup, both teams tend to turtle up. While both teams will get to 20-plus points, I do not see both getting to 30. So, I lean to the Under 55 (-115).

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