Texas Children’s Houston Open odds Texas Children’s Houston Open picks Texas Children’s Houston Open predictions betting

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With the Florida swing in the books, the PGA Tour now heads to Texas before the Masters next month. The 2025 Texas Children’s Houston Open takes place this week at Memorial Park where 2 of the game’s top players will be teeing it up in one last tune-up before Augusta. The first round begins on Thursday morning.

Below, we look at Texas Children’s Houston Open odds from BetMGM Sportsbook’s odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Both Scottie Scheffler (+350), the No. 1 player in the Official World Golf Rankings, and No. 2 Rory McIlroy (+600) will be playing this week as they prepare for the Masters and they’re the clear-cut favorites ahead of everyone else in the field. The third-favorite is Aaron Rai at (+2500), followed by Davis Thompson (+3300), J.J. Spaun (+3300), Jason Day (+3300) and Tony Finau (+3300). Stephan Jaeger won this event last year and he comes into the week at +4500.

Memorial Park is one of the few municipal courses on the PGA Tour schedule, rejoining the circuit in 2020 after a renovation the year prior. It’s a par 70, but plays at 7,474 yards, making it a fairly long course. The greens are large but they run off with closely mown areas, making even the nearest misses run away from the hole.

Houston Open: Best prop bet predictions

Houston Open – Expert pick

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 6:49 p.m. ET.

Tony Finau (+3300)

As easy as it is to like Scheffler this week, he’s not worth playing at +350 – especially given his so-so form (by his standards) so far this year. Instead, Finau is a tiny bit further down the board at +3300, making him the fourth-favorite. For a guy who has finished second and first in the last 2 years here, he’s a legitimate contender despite Scheffler and McIlroy being in the field.

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Houston Open picks – Contenders

Min Woo Lee (+4000)

Lee is obviously a long hitter, which favors him at a course like Memorial Park. He also has a fantastic short game, ranking 15th in strokes gained: putting and 9th around the green. That combination makes him a threat to win anytime, but only if he can dial in his irons. This will be his tournament debut but he’s been in good enough form for that to not matter much.

Thomas Detry (+5000)

Detry tied for second last year behind Jaeger in his tournament debut, putting together a strong week. He already has a win this season at the WM Phoenix Open in a runaway victory and he’s coming off a T-22 at the Valspar Championship last week.

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Houston Open picks – Long shots

Joel Dahmen (+12500)

Dahmen has been up and down this year, posting 2 top-10 finishes with 4 other missed cuts. But he’s had 2 good showings in 3 starts here, coming in fifth in 2021 and ninth in 2022 before missing the cut last year.

Gary Woodland (+12500)

Woodland has cooled off after a strong start to the year but he’s now coming to Memorial Park where he’s finished 21st and ninth in the last 2 years.

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With the Florida Swing wrapped up, the PGA Tour heads to Texas for the 2024 Texas Children’s Houston Open. This is the 4th year Memorial Park will host the event, which is headlined by world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler.

Below, we look at the 2024 Texas Children’s Houston Open odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Having won his last 2 starts, Scheffler will look to make it 3 wins in a row this week in Houston. He’s the odds-on favorite to win at +275, by far the shortest odds of any player in the field. Wyndham Clark has the 2nd-best odds at +1200, followed by Will Zalatoris (+1800), Sahith Theegala (+2200) and 2023 champion Tony Finau (+2200).

Memorial Park is a par 70 and plays at 7,435 yards, so it’s one of the longer courses on tour. It underwent a major renovation in 2019, which is when the PGA Tour returned to this site, with everything from hole distances changing to bunkers and trees being removed. Scheffler and Finau share the course record of 8-under 62, which Scheffler shot in 2021 and Finau carded in 2022.

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Texas Children’s Houston Open – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 3:32 p.m. ET.

Will Zalatoris (+1800)

Zalatoris’ missed cut at the Players Championship was surprising, but it shouldn’t be enough to deter bettors from taking him again this week in Houston. He typically plays well when the conditions are tough, as evidenced by his major finishes, and while he’s never played this event before, it’s a good bounce-back opportunity for him at a course that emphasizes ball striking over putting.

Sahith Theegala (+2200)

Theegala finished 61st and 22nd in his 2 starts at this event, but it’s reasonable to think he’ll improve upon both of those finishes this year. He’s in the midst of his best season yet, already posting 4 top-10s and a runner-up in 8 starts with only 1 missed cut. Theegala is just the type of player who can unseat Scheffler at the top.

Keith Mitchell (+4000)

Mitchell had the Valspar Championship in his hands before collapsing in the final round with a 77 on Sunday. That dropped him from 1st to 17th on the last day of the tournament after holding a 2-shot 54-hole lead. That ending to his week will leave a bitter taste in his mouth, but it was more of a fluky performance with the driver than anything. He finished 41st here in 2021 and 9th in 2022.

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Texas Children’s Houston Open picks – Contenders

Joel Dahmen (+6600)

After missing the cut in 3 of his 1st 5 starts of the season, Dahmen has gotten back on track by making it in each of his last 3 starts – including an 11th-place finish at the Players Championship. He followed it up with a T-49 at the Valspar last week and now ranks 27th in strokes gained: off the tee and 8th in approach.

Aaron Rai (+5000)

Rai missed the cut at the Valspar Championship by a few shots but he had notched 3 straight top-35 finishes before that. His putter hasn’t cooperated, ranking 136th in strokes gained on the greens but he’s 23rd tee-to-green. This is a course he’s had success at before, finishing 7th and 19th in his last 2 starts here.

Texas Children’s Houston Open picks – Long shots

Alex Smalley (+12500)

Smalley has missed the cut in 7 of his 9 starts this season and one of his made cuts resulted in a 75th-place finish. So why bet him now? Because he finished 4th in this tournament in 2022 and 15th the year prior, so he clearly knows this course well.

Tyson Alexander (+25000)

Peter Malnati showed on Sunday that no matter a player’s odds, anyone can win at any time. Alexander is a mega-long shot at +30000, but he was the runner-up here in 2022 and already has 1 top-20 finish this season.

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