The No. 20 Missouri Tigers (13-2, 2-1 SEC) head to the Reed Arena in College Station on Wednesday to take on the Texas A&M Aggies (10-5, 2-0). Tip off is set for 8:30 p.m. ET (SEC Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Missouri vs. Texas A&M odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
After 2 straight wins against ranked opponents (Illinois, Kentucky), Missouri dropped a road game to No. 13 Arkansas 74-68 and then bounced back with a 85-82 home win over Vanderbilt as an 8.5-point favorite.
Mizzou’s 87.1 PPG this season leads the SEC and is 2nd overall in the nation. However, Mizzou allows the most PPG (75.1) on defense in the SEC as well. The Tigers make up for the amount of points allowed by forcing a lot of turnovers (18.9 per game, 1st in SEC, 10th in nation).
Texas A&M dropped 3 games in December (Boise State, Memphis, Wofford), but bounced back to win 4 straight, including a 66-63 win over Florida on the road and Saturday’s 69-56 home win over LSU, covering a 5.5-point spread.
The Aggies’ 74.6 PPG is 6th in the SEC while their defense allows 67.4 PPG (9th in SEC). A&M also commits quite a few fouls — its 19.5 fouls per game leads the SEC.
Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.
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Missouri at Texas A&M odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:11 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Missouri +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Texas A&M -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Missouri +4.5 (-115) | Texas A&M -4.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 150.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Missouri at Texas A&M picks and predictions
Prediction
Missouri 78, Texas A&M 74
Moneyline
Mizzou’s only 2 losses have come against current KenPom top-10 teams (Kansas, Arkansas). The Tigers do a great job shooting 3s (37%, 2nd in SEC) and forcing a lot of turnovers (G D’Moi Hodge averages 2.8 steals per game, tied for 6th in the nation). G Kobe Brown is also rolling with 22.5 PPG over his last 4 games.
The Aggies have some good wins under their belt over the last couple of weeks and are playing great defense, allowing just 59.2 PPG in their last 4 matchups. G Wade Taylor IV is the team’s leading scorer at 15.4 PPG while F Julius Marble has played well lately at 17 PPG in his last 2 contests.
This game will come down to how the Tigers shoot — on the road or at neutral locations Mizzou averages 79.2 PPG compared to 90 PPG at home. However, Mizzou’s offense on the road is still much better than A&M’s, which has a great defense, but is not as good of a shooting team. I’d lean toward Mizzou to control the tempo in this matchup and leave College Station with a close win.
BET MISSOURI +150.
Against the spread
If you’re not quite feeling Missouri on the road, know that they’ve played teams close this year (except Kansas) with 3 of their last 5 matchups being decided by 6 or fewer points. The Tigers should be able to at least keep up with the Aggies like they did against Arkansas on the road last week.
BET MISSOURI +4.5 (-115).
Over/Under
These teams are a combined 18-12 on the Over this season. Adding their PPG averages makes this go well over 150 points, and although A&M plays good defense, Mizzou rarely scores below 75 points and its defense allows an average of 75 PPG. It’s a risky bet, but look for this to slightly hit the Over.
LEAN OVER 150.5 (-115).
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