Over/Under: Projecting Tennessee Titan’s QB Ryan Tannehill’s stats

Projecting Ryan Tannehill’s 2020 passing statistics and how they match up with the over/under betting odds.

Looking forward to the 2020 NFL season, it’s time to start breaking down how individual players will do statistically. Below, we focus on Tennessee Titans QB Ryan Tannehill’s projected passing numbers and how they match up against futures odds at BetMGM sportsbook.

Ryan Tannehill’s stats history

Signed last offseason to back up QB Marcus Mariota, Tannehill took over midway through the 2019 campaign to lead the Titans to a 7-3 record in 10 starts and make it all the way to the AFC Championship Game. The former eighth overall pick of the Miami Dolphins enjoyed a career year with a 70.3% completion rate, throwing for 2,742 yards and 22 touchdowns against just six interceptions in his first season in Music City.

He continued his strong play through three playoff games, as he passed for 369 yards and five touchdowns with only one interception. Tannehill, who turns 32 in July, was rewarded this offseason with a four-year, $118 million contract extension. He’s expected to lead the Titans for years to come following his breakout 2019 campaign.


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Ryan Tannehill’s projected stats and odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Odds last updated Tuesday, April 28 at 1 p.m. ET.

Passing Yards: 3,449.5 / OVER: -110 / UNDER: -110

There was no Passing Touchdowns line posted at the time of publishing.

Tannehill’s 228.5 passing yards per game in 2019 included two relief appearances of Mariota. However, he didn’t attempt a single pass in a 43-13 Week 1 blowout of the Cleveland Browns, and he completed 13 of 16 passes for 144 yards in a 16-0 loss to the Denver Broncos in Week 6 before getting his first start the following week.

Those 228.5 passing yards per game, despite being lower because of the two abbreviated outings, would extrapolate to 3,656 yards over a full season.

The Titans improved their defense through free agency and the 2020 NFL Draft, and didn’t add a single pass-catching option for Tannehill. They’ll remain committed to RB Derrick Henry and the rushing attack, meaning but the projection of 3,449.5 passing yards is still low.

Take the OVER 3,449.5 (-110) for a $9.09 return on a $10 wager should Tannehill pass for at least 3,450 yards in 2020. He topped this total three years in a row during his time with the Dolphins.

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