Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Tampa Bay Rays (30-9) and New York Yankees (21-18) meet Friday night for the 2nd contest in their 4-game AL East series at Yankee Stadium. Game time is slated for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rays lead 3-1

Tampa Bay leads the majors in home runs with 76, but it was doubles the Rays were banging out when they took Thursday’s series opner 8-2. Tampa collected 5 doubles and 1 HR in the game.

Thursday’s loss snapped a 3-game winning streak for the Yankees. In games not played against the woeful Oakland Athletics, New York has averaged just 3 runs per game since April 28.

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Rays at Yankees projected starters

RHP Trevor Kelly vs. RHP Gerrit Cole

Kelley (0-1, 9.00 ERA) is tabbed for his 1st MLB start. He has pitched 1 game in relief this season (2 IP, 2 ER on 2H and 1 BB).

  • Owns a 7.23 ERA over 37 1/3 career innings
  • Figures to serve as an opener, and LHP Josh Fleming (4.55 ERA, 1.48 WHIP in 27 2/3 IP) could see bulk innings behind him

Cole (5-0, 2.09 ERA) takes the ball for a 9th time this season. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 51 2/3 innings.

  • Has held current Tampa Bay batters to an aggregate .608 OPS
  • Coming off his worst start of the season last Sunday at Tampa Bay: 5 IP, 8 H (2 HR), 6 R, 2 BB, 6 K in 8-7 loss

Rays at Yankees odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:04 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Rays +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Yankees -178 (bet $178 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-140) | Yankees -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -120 | U: -102)

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Rays at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, Rays 4

Moneyline

PASS.

Both sides are slight fades in a vacuum (aside from pitching, platoon factors). The Yankees are a slight lean but are approaching better value on the run line.

Run line/Against the spread

Picking the red-hot Rays to actually lose a game and to do so by a cushion is tricky business. But road setbacks have indeed been by multiple runs — 5 of the team’s 6 losses away from St. Petersburg.

An albeit-overrated-by-its-surface-ERA Tampa bullpen does have its back end intact for this game, and if the pieces come together the Rays can bullpen this game into a taut contest against Cole.

But the zag play here is on a looser score with enough win-by-2 probability for the Yankees to make them attractive at +122 or better.

PASS, but consider keeping an eye on a possible line move making for more profit on the New York side.

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Over/Under

The Yanks have played in 5 straight Overs, and the Over is 5-1 in the last 6 Tampa-New York series games.

There is enough downside to the pitching — even on Cole getting touched up by some Rays power — that on a warmed-up, wind-blowing-out-to-right night in the Bronx, the OVER 8 (-120) is a solid play.

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Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Tampa Bay Rays (29-9) will be in the Bronx for the 1st game of a 4-game series against the New York Yankees (21-17). First pitch on Thursday  will be at 7:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rays lead, 2-1

The Rays have lost their last 2 game, which is just the 3rd time this season they’ve lost back-to-back contests. They’ve yet to lose 3 in a row, so they’ll be trying to avoid a 3-game losing skid by beating the Yankees on Thursday. Having lost 3 of its last 5 games Tampa Bay’s lead in the AL East has shrunk to just 4.5 games over the Baltimore Orioles.

The Yankees are still last in the AL East, but they’ve gotten back on track recently with 6 wins in their last 8 games, including a current 3-game winning streak after sweeping the Oakland Athletics. New York is 23rd in team batting average (.235), but the pitching staff is holding up well, ranking 7th in team ERA (3.59).

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Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees projected starters

RHP Drew Rasmussen vs. RHP Domingo German

Rasmussen (3-2, 3.11 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 37 2/3 innings.

  • Has allowed 0 ER in 4 of his 7 starts; however, in the other 3 starts he’s allowed either 3 or 5 ER
  • Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 2 H., 0 ER, 2 BB, 6 K in 3-2 loss to Yankees on Saturday

German (2-2, 4.35 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 0.94 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 39 1/3 innings.

  • Has been sharp in his last 2 starts: 13 1/3 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 11 K
  • Last starts: No-decision, 5 IP, 4 H, 2 ER, 2 BB, 5 L in 3-2 win vs. Rays on Saturday

Yankees at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:46 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rays -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Yankees -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (+145) | Yankees +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Yankees at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 5, Yankees 3

Moneyline

By the Rays’ standards, they’re struggling right now. However, their 3 recent losses have all been by 1 or 2 runs, so it’s not as if they’re getting blown out – and their pitching staff has allowed just 9 runs in those 3 losses.

With Rasmussen on the mound, I like the RAYS (-115) to win outright and beat the Yankees for the 3rd time in 4 tries this season.

Run line/Against the spread

The Rays are 23-15 ATS this season, 3 games better than the Yankees’ 20-18  ATS mark. They’ve had some narrow wins in the last week or so, with 3 of their last 4 victories coming by 1 run, but the value of taking them -1.5 at +145 is worth it.

BET RAYS -1.5 (+145) to cover and beat the Yankees by 2 or more.

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Over/Under

The total has gone Under in each of the Rays’ last 3 games, with no more than 6 runs being scored in any of those games. The Yankees’ bats have woken up, however, and pushed the total Over in each of their last 3 games.

This is a matchup between 2 good pitchers and assuming the Yankees cool off a bit after scoring 21 runs in their last 2 games, I think the total goes UNDER 8.5 (-115).

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Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Rays (78-59) and New York Yankees (84-56) wrap up a 3-game set Sunday at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Yankees lead 10-8

Rays starter Corey Kluber allowed 6 ER in the 1st inning of a 10-3 loss Saturday. The loss put Tampa Bay 4 1/2 games behind New York for the lead in the AL East.

Rays SS Wander Franco returned to the lineup and hit an RBI single after missing 2 months with a right hamate bone injury. The Rays have only lost 2 of their last 11 games.

Yankees OF Aaron Judge singled twice in the 1st inning Saturday as New York opened the game with 7 seven straight hits for the first time since 1990. New York 3B Josh Donaldson and DH Giancarlo Stanton both homered in their returns to the lineup.

New York has clinched the season head-to-head tiebreaker with the win in the event the Rays and Yankees finish tied for 1st in the division.

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Rays at Yankees projected starters

RHP Luis Patiño vs. RHP Domingo Germán

Patiño (1-1, 4.34 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.61 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 5.3 K/9 through 18 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision vs. Boston Red Sox with 3 ER allowed on 5 H and 3 BB with 4 K over 5 IP Monday
  • First start vs. Yankees this season

Germán (2-3, 3.27 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 through 55 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision vs. Minnesota Twins with 3 ER allowed on 7 H and 1 BB with 6 K across 6 IP Wednesday
  • In 2 starts vs. Tampa Bay this season: 0-1 with a 3.97 ERA through 11 1/3 IP

Rays at Yankees odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:44 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Rays +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Yankees –130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-200) | Yankees -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Rays at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 4, Yankees 2

Money line

The Rays (+102) are coming off of an uncharacteristic loss. Expect a bounce-back game from a Tampa Bay team that is 5-2 this season after losing by 7 or more runs in its previous game.

BET RAYS ML (+102).

Run line/Against the spread

We went 3-0 on the Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles Saturday, but a more conservative approach is needed for this matchup. Tampa Bay +1.5 (-200) is too expensive when the real opportunity is on the money line.

PASS.

Over/Under

The Yankees had a historic 1st inning Saturday and I’m expecting the market to overreact. The Under is still 5-2 in the last 7 head-to-head meetings.

BET UNDER 8.5 (-107).

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Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Rays (78-58) and New York Yankees (83-56) meet Saturday at 1:05 p.m. ET to continue a 3-game AL East series at Yankee Stadium. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: New York leads 9-8

Tampa Bay won Friday’s series opener 4-2. The Rays have won 4 straight games and 9 of their last 10. Over that stretch, they have outscored foes 50-19.

The Yankees — who now lead the Rays by just 3 1/2 games in the AL East standings — have lost back-to-back games after winning 4 in a row from Sunday-Wednesday.

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Rays at Yankees projected starters

RHP Corey Kluber vs. RHP Jameson Taillon

Kluber (10-7, 4.00 ERA) is tabbed for his 27th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 1.1 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 through 141 2/3 IP.

  • Owns a 4.78 ERA over his last 6 road starts
  • Facing the Yankees for a 2nd straight turn: tossed 7 scoreless frames against New York Sunday

Taillon (12-4, 3.95 ERA) has made 27 starts this season. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 145 2/3 IP.

  • Tossed 8 scoreless innings when he last faced the Rays (May 27)
  • Current Tampa Bay batters own an aggregate .552 OPS against him

Rays at Yankees odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:23 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rays -108 (bet $108 to win $100) | Yankees -112 (bet $112 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (+155) | Yankees +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Rays at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 4, Rays 3

Money line

The Yankees are a walking wounded of late, with big names missing games left and right and up and down the lineup. However, New York’s offensive woes have been underpinned by support numbers that bring a lot of bad luck and timing into the picture.

NEW YORK (-112) is a sliver of a lean Saturday. Consider a partial-unit play.

Run line/Against the spread

Avoid the extra juice here. STEER CLEAR.

Over/Under

The UNDER (-107) is the strongest play in Saturday’s Rays-Yanks game. Both teams are grinding for the AL East flag, both have starters with overall numbers pointing to some ill fortune at times and both have bullpens in good shape at the back end where innings get dealt with more efficiently.

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Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Rays (77-58) and New York Yankees (83-55) meet Friday at 7:05 p.m. ET to launch a 3-game AL East series at Yankee Stadium. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: New York leads 9-7

The Rays have won 3 straight games and 8 of their last 9. Over that stretch, they have outscored foes 46-17. Tampa Bay heads into this series after a day off Thursday.

The Yankees — who lead the Rays by 4 1/2 games in the AL East standings — lost to the Minnesota Twins Thursday to snap a 4-game win streak. A struggling New York offense has come around a bit of late, at least at home. The Yanks own a .750 OPS over their last 7 at Yankee Stadium.

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Rays at Yankees projected starters

RHP Drew Rasmussen vs. RHP Frankie Montas

Rasmussen (9-4, 2.70 ERA) is tabbed for his 24th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 through 116 2/3 IP.

  • Making a return from the paternity list: last pitched Aug. 31
  • Has walked just 5 batters against 37 K while posting a 1.85 ERA over his last 39 IP

Montas (5-11, 3.79 ERA) owns a 1.18 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 135 1/3 IP over 25 starts.

  • Facing the Rays for a 2nd straight start (5 scoreless IP Sunday)
  • Current Tampa Bay batters own an aggregate .485 OPS against him
  • Making his 7th start for New York after being acquired from the Oakland Athletics at the trade deadline; posted a Boeing 7.01 ERA in his first 5 starts for the Yankees

Rays at Yankees odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:35 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rays -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Yankees -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (+160) | Yankees +1.5 (-200)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Rays at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 4, Rays3

Money line

The Yankees are a walking wounded of late, with big names missing games left and right and up and down the lineup. But New York’s offensive woes have been underpinned by support numbers that bring a lot of bad luck and timing into the picture.

Since Aug. 1, the Yanks own a .258 BABIP in high-leverage situations. They have hit .221 with runners in scoring position, but that figure is colored by a .248 BABIP. And all the while over that same time frame, New York’s contact and hard-hit rates have been right around league average.

Add in the Rasmussen-Montas matchup — one that fits as overrated-underrated, respectively — and NEW YORK (-110) is s a decent play.

Run line/Against the spread

Avoid the extra juice here. STEER CLEAR.

Over/Under

The UNDER (+100) is a slight lean.

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Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Rays (62-53) and New York Yankees (72-45) wrap up a 3-game AL East showdown Wednesday. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is at 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: New York leads 7-5. Tampa Bay has taken the first 2 games of this series.

The Rays have won 4 straight games and have allowed just 4 combined runs along the way. Tampa Bay owns a 2.66 ERA over its last 8 games.

The slumping Yanks are 11 games under-.500 (11-22) since July 9. New York is 2-11 with a .625 OPS since Aug. 2.

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Rays at Yankees projected starters

RHP Corey Kluber vs. RHP Domingo German

Kluber (7-7, 4.40 ERA) has posted a 1.19 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 through 116 2/3 IP across 22 starts.

  • Tagged for 7 runs in his last start Friday vs. the Baltimore Orioles.
  • Owns a 6.91 ERA and 1.50 WHIP over his last 5 games.
  • Current Yankee bats own an aggregate .792 OPS against him.

German (1-2, 4.18 ERA) has made 5 starts this season. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 through 23 2/3 IP.

  • Owns a Boeing 7.04 ERA across his last 5 efforts against Tampa Bay
  • Has been solid against lefty bats the last 2 seasons (.729 OPS allowed in 2022). Wednesday’s Tampa lineup figures to lean heavily to that side.

Rays at Yankees odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:26 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rays +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Yankees -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-180) | Yankees -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Rays at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 4, Yankees 3

Money line

The lean here is on the visitors’ side of the pitching equation and on Yankee bats just being tied in knots at the moment.

BACK THE RAYS (+115).

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS. The tag on taking the Rays with a cushion makes for too much risk.

Over/Under

The Under is 8-3 across the last 11 Tampa-New York meetings, and that’s the lean in this contest. New York’s offense has been floundering without OF Giancarlo Stanton (IL-Achilles). Wednesday’s Bronx forecast calls for cooler temperatures and a slight inward breeze.

BACK THE UNDER 7.5 (+105).

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Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Rays (61-53) and New York Yankees (72-44) tussle in a  7:05 p.m. ET game at Yankee Stadium Tuesday. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: New York leads 7-4

Tampa Bay is just 10-12 since the All-Star break, but the Rays blanked New York 4-0 in Monday’s series opener. Tampa has now won 3 straight, allowing just 3 combined runs along the way.

The Yankees are back in the Bronx after a 2-7 road trip that saw the club bat just .210/.293/.324  (.617 OPS). However, New York’s troubles run far deeper than 1 road trip. The Yanks are 10 games under-.500 (11-21) since July 9.

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Rays at Yankees projected starters

LHP Jeffrey Springs vs. LHP Nestor Cortes

Springs (4-3, 2.56 ERA) has appeared in 23 games while making 15 starts. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 84 1/3 IP.

  • The 29-year-old who has appeared in 125 career games only made 2 starts prior to 2022
  • Has held opposing batters to a .497 OPS in high-leverage situations

Cortes (9-3, 2.67 ERA) has registered a 1.00 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 through 118 IP in 21 starts.

  • Has benefited from a .253 batting average on balls in play
  • Has a 2.15 ERA in his last 5 starts at home and since 2020 he’s clocked a 2.45 ERA, 0.99 WHIP at Yankee Stadium
  • Owns a 2.96 ERA in his last 5 starts against Tampa Bay

Rays at Yankees odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:27 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rays +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Yankees -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-150) | Yankees -1.5 (+122)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Rays at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Rays 4

Money line

Heading into this series, the Yankees had posted an .839 OPS at home since July 9. The Rays had a 2nd-half OPS of .669.

Springs’ numbers have been highly influenced by some generous batting-average-on-ball-in-play figures in clutch situations. In high-leverage situations, he’s benefited from a .175 BABIP. With runners in scoring position, he’s logged a .184 BABIP.

New York’s .789 OPS versus left-handers ranks 2nd in MLB.

BACK THE YANKEES (-180).

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS. Too many questions about an underperforming-of-late Yankees  bullpen.

Over/Under

The Under is 7-3 across the last 10 Tampa-New York meetings. But the Under is undercut in this one by the ERA-vs.-expected-ERA figures for both starters. Both have gotten some generous rates around the margins and figure to be overrated in their impact.

PASS.

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Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Rays (60-53) and New York Yankees (72-43) swing into a 3-game AL East series Monday. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: New York leads 7-3 and is 5-1 over its last 6 games against Tampa Bay.

Tampa Bay arrives in New York after a brief 3-game home stand. The Rays went 2-1 against the Baltimore Orioles over the weekend but they are just 9-12 since the All-Star break.

The Yankees are back in the Bronx after a 2-7 road trip that saw the club bat just .210/.293/.324  (.617 OPS). However, New York’s troubles run far deeper than one road trip. The Yanks are just 11-20 since July 9.

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Rays at Yankees projected starters

RHP Jalen Beeks vs. RHP Gerrit Cole

Beeks (2-1, 2.35 ERA) makes his 7th start and 30th appearance. He’s recorded a 1.20 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 46 IP.

  • Will serve as the opener before LHP Ryan Yarbrough (5.08 ERA, 1.36 WHIP) enters the game for bulk innings.
  • Has allowed 1 run over 6 IP in 5 appearances since returning from the 15-day injured list July 30.
  • Current Yankees own a .920 OPS against him albeit in a small sample.

Cole (9-4, 3.38 ERA) has notched a 1.02 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 through 138 1/3 IP across 23 starts.

  • Pitched 7-scoreless innings in his last game Tuesday at the Seattle Mariners but has still registered a 4.20 ERA over his last 7 starts.
  • Owns a 4.25 ERA over his last 5 starts vs. Tampa Bay.
  • Has a 2.89 ERA and 0.98 WHIP at Yankee Stadium since 2020.

Rays at Yankees odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:52 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rays +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Yankees -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-108) | Yankees -1.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Rays at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 4, Rays 2

Money line

Too much juice to overcome: PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread

Since July 9, the Yanks have posted an .839 OPS at home and a .693 mark on the road.

PEG NEW YORK -1.5 (-112) as perhaps the best thing on the board for a relatively unattractive betting game.

Over/Under

The Under is 6-3 across the last 9 Tampa-New York meetings. The Under is a lean with the forecast of a crosswind hindering fly balls to the short porch in Yankee Stadium’s right field and on a cooled-off, low-humidity night in the Bronx combined with a well-rested back end of the Rays bullpen.

However, the current price is too steep. Back the Under 7.5 if it gets to -115 or better. Otherwise, STEER CLEAR.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Rays (35-27) visit Yankee Stadium Thursday to conclude a 3-game series with the New York Yankees (46-16) at 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

N.Y. has won the 1st 2 games of this series. Yankees CF Aaron Judge hit a 1st-inning solo HR and C Kyle Higashioka knocked a 5th-inning 2-run HR to key New York’s 4-3 win Wednesday after Tuesday’s 7-2 win.

Season series: The Yankees lead 4-2 with a plus-6 run differential in those meetings.

Rays at Yankees projected starters

LHP Jalen Beeks vs. RHP Luis Severino

Beeks is 1-1 with a 1.38 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 11.1 K/9 in 26 IP over 1 start and 15 relief appearances.

  • Last start: No-decision in Tampa’s 8-6 loss at the Baltimore Orioles May 20 with 2 IP, 0 R, 1 H, 1 BB and 1 K.
  • 2022 vs. the Yankees: 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA over 2 1/3-scoreless IP with 1 H, 1 BB and 1 K in 1 bullpen outing May 27.

Severino is 4-1 with a 2.80 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 in 61 IP over 11 starts.

  • Last start: No-decision in Friday’s 2-1 home win vs. the Chicago Cubs with 6 IP, 7 H, 1 ER, 1 HR, 1 BB and 10 K.
  • 2022 vs. the Rays: One start, a 4-2 loss in Tampa Sunday with 6 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 2 H, 2 HR, 2 BB and 8 K.

Rays at Yankees odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:36 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Rays +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Yankees -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-105) | Yankees -1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Rays at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, Rays 1

Money line

PASS with a heavy “lean” to a “flat-bet” on the Yankees (-250). If you do take New York’s ML, risk 1 unit instead of betting to win 1 unit because of the price.

We are getting the worst of the number and the Yankees have been steamed from a -180 ML opening favorite up to the current number, according to Pregame.com.

But, N.Y. has a decisive 3-phase edge over the Rays (+200) in starting and relief pitching and hitting. Severino has some of the nastiest stuff in the MLB, the Yankees bullpen is a top-3 unit in baseball and the Yankees sluggers are raking this year.

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Run line/Against the spread

BET a half-unit on the YANKEES -1.5 (-115) only because spending a tax on a RL doesn’t have a good return on investment.

However, N.Y.’s lineup lights up left-handed pitching and Severino’s advanced pitching numbers vs. the Rays +1.5 (-105) are impressive.

Severino has a .186/.254/.325 expected batting average, wOBA, slugging percentage slash line with a 36.0 K% and 86.5 mph exit velocity in 50 plate appearances against Tampa, per Statcast.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-105). 

Most of the market is betting the Over 7.5 (-120) according to Pregame.com so we have a contrarian angle. Also, both bullpens are elite, Severino has been dominant and the Under has cashed in Severino’s last 4 starts and Rays-Yankees are 1-4 O/U in their last 5 meetings.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (45-16) host the Tampa Bay Rays (35-26) Wednesday at Yankee Stadium for the 2nd of their 3-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

New York’s pitching staff shut down Tampa in a 2-0 series-opening victory Tuesday as Yankees SP Gerrit Cole pitched 6 scoreless innings with 5 H, 1 BB and 7 K. Yankees closer Clay Holmes earned his 10th save and extended his scoreless inning streak to 27.

Season series: The Yankees lead 3-2 with a plus-5 run differential in those meetings.

Rays at Yankees projected starters

LHP Shane McClanahan vs. LHP Nestor Cortes

McClanahan is 7-2 with a 1.87 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 12.2 K/9 in 72 1/3 IP over 12 starts.

  • Last start: Won 2-1 at home Thursday vs. the St. Louis Cardinals with 8 IP, 1 R (0 ER), 2 H, 1 BB and 9 K.
  • 2022 vs. the Yankees: One start, a 4-2 home win May 29 with 6 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 1 HR, 0 BB and 7 K.

Cortes is 5-2 with a 1.96 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 64 1/3 IP over 11 starts.

  • Last start: Lost 8-1 Wednesday at the Minnesota Twins with 4 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 2 HR, 0 BB and 3 K.
  • 2022 vs. the Rays: One start, a 7-2 win in Tampa May 26 with 8 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB and 5 K.

Rays at Yankees odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:53 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Rays +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Yankees -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-190) | Yankees -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Rays at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 3, Yankees 1

Money line

LEAN RAYS (+115).

Wednesday’s meeting is one of the few times N.Y. doesn’t have a 3-phase edge over its opponent. The reason is Tampa has the better starter on the mound.

Cortes’ numbers are phenomenal this year and he’ll be on the AL All-Star team, but McClanahan is a legit ace and more of a Cy Young contender than Cortes.

McClanahan’s fastball velocity grades in the 93rd percentile (per Statcast) and he has elite movement to his pitches. Also, McClanahan ranks higher than Cortes in K%, BB%, hard-hit rate, exit velocity, whiff and chase rates.

More importantly, there’s reverse line movement headed toward Tampa in the betting market. More than 80% of the bets placed are on the Yankees (-140) according to Pregame.com, but N.Y. opened as -150 ML favorites. It would appear as though the oddsmakers are laying a trap for bettors.

It’s only a LEAN to the RAYS (+115) because they are 3-7 overall as road underdogs and the almighty Yankees are 27-7 as home favorites.

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW22 for 20% OFF full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 6/30/2022. Subscribe today and start winning!

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Rays +1.5 (-190) are far too expensive considering the Yankees -1.5 (+155) are 18-16 RL as home favorites and all 5 Rays-Yankees meetings in 2022 have been decided by at least 2 runs.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 6.5 (+100).

There are a lot of Under-friendly trends for this matchup such as Rays-Yankees going Under the total in 4 consecutive meetings and having a combined 7-13 O/U record when these starters get the nod. Also, sharp action has steamed this total down from the 7.5-run opener (per Pregame.com).

But, we are getting to the party late on the total so a lot of the value for the UNDER 6.5 (+100) is already gone.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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