The Tampa Bay Rays (30-9) and New York Yankees (21-18) meet Friday night for the 2nd contest in their 4-game AL East series at Yankee Stadium. Game time is slated for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Rays lead 3-1
Tampa Bay leads the majors in home runs with 76, but it was doubles the Rays were banging out when they took Thursday’s series opner 8-2. Tampa collected 5 doubles and 1 HR in the game.
Thursday’s loss snapped a 3-game winning streak for the Yankees. In games not played against the woeful Oakland Athletics, New York has averaged just 3 runs per game since April 28.
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Rays at Yankees projected starters
RHP Trevor Kelly vs. RHP Gerrit Cole
Kelley (0-1, 9.00 ERA) is tabbed for his 1st MLB start. He has pitched 1 game in relief this season (2 IP, 2 ER on 2H and 1 BB).
- Owns a 7.23 ERA over 37 1/3 career innings
- Figures to serve as an opener, and LHP Josh Fleming (4.55 ERA, 1.48 WHIP in 27 2/3 IP) could see bulk innings behind him
Cole (5-0, 2.09 ERA) takes the ball for a 9th time this season. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 51 2/3 innings.
- Has held current Tampa Bay batters to an aggregate .608 OPS
- Coming off his worst start of the season last Sunday at Tampa Bay: 5 IP, 8 H (2 HR), 6 R, 2 BB, 6 K in 8-7 loss
Rays at Yankees odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:04 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Rays +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Yankees -178 (bet $178 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-140) | Yankees -1.5 (+115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -120 | U: -102)
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Rays at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 6, Rays 4
Moneyline
PASS.
Both sides are slight fades in a vacuum (aside from pitching, platoon factors). The Yankees are a slight lean but are approaching better value on the run line.
Run line/Against the spread
Picking the red-hot Rays to actually lose a game and to do so by a cushion is tricky business. But road setbacks have indeed been by multiple runs — 5 of the team’s 6 losses away from St. Petersburg.
An albeit-overrated-by-its-surface-ERA Tampa bullpen does have its back end intact for this game, and if the pieces come together the Rays can bullpen this game into a taut contest against Cole.
But the zag play here is on a looser score with enough win-by-2 probability for the Yankees to make them attractive at +122 or better.
PASS, but consider keeping an eye on a possible line move making for more profit on the New York side.
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Over/Under
The Yanks have played in 5 straight Overs, and the Over is 5-1 in the last 6 Tampa-New York series games.
There is enough downside to the pitching — even on Cole getting touched up by some Rays power — that on a warmed-up, wind-blowing-out-to-right night in the Bronx, the OVER 8 (-120) is a solid play.
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