Tag: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians odds predictions pick betting line spread

Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Tampa Bay Rays (73-76) and the Cleveland Guardians (85-64) wrap up a 4-game series on Sunday. First pitch from Progressive Field is set for 1:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Rays vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rays lead 4-2

The Rays won the 1st 2 games of this series before falling 6-1 on Saturday. Tampa Bay is just 9-14 in the past 23 games since Aug. 22, while going 6-10 in the past 16 outings on the road. The Under has cashed in 4 in a row, and 6 of the past 7 contests.

For the Guardians, they’re still 4-2 in the past 6 games, while going 4-3 in the past 7 outings at Progressive Field. The Under has cashed in 3 in a row, while going 11-1-2 in the previous 14 contests.

Tampa Bay still holds a 4-2 edge, and it clinched the season series win regardless of whatever happens Sunday. The Under has cashed in 7 straight meetings in this series since Sept. 3, 2023.

Rays at Guardians projected starters

RHP Taj Bradley vs. RHP Ben Lively

Bradley (6-10, 4.40 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 122 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 4 R (3 ER), 6 H (2 HR), 2 BB, 6 K in 9-4 road loss vs. Philadelphia Phillies Tuesday
  • 2024 road splits: 3-3, 4.82 ERA, 56 IP, 30 ER, 11 HR, 1.32 WHIP, .259 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 19 BB, 45 K in 10 starts
  • Last 7 games: 0-5, 8.42 ERA, 36 1/3 IP, 34 ER, 13 BB, 34 K, 1.71 WHIP
  • Career vs. Guardians: 1-0, 0.75 ERA, 12 IP, 1 ER, 8 H, 7 BB, 15 K in 2 starts

Lively (11-9, 4.01 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 137 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 2 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 2 K in 5-0 road win vs. Chicago White Sox Tuesday
  • 2024 home splits: 7-2, 3.93 ERA, 66 1/3 IP, 29 ER, 11 HR, 1.24 WHIP, .243 OBA, 20 BB, 49 K in 12 starts
  • Last 7 games: 1-3, 5.97 ERA, 31 2/3 IP, 21 ER, 13 BB, 20 K, 1.55 WHIP
  • Career vs. Rays: 0-1, 4.82 ERA, 9 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 2 BB, 12 K, 1.29 WHIP in 2 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Rays at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 7:03 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rays +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Guardians -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-190) | Guardians -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Rays at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 5, Rays 2

Moneyline

The GUARDIANS (-135) are a strong play in the series finale behind Lively. He has pitched well at home, posting a 7-2 record at Progressive Field this season.

The Rays (+115) are looking for the series win, while trying to keep their flickering playoff hopes alive, but it’s a tough sell with Bradley on the bump. He has fallen apart, losing his past 6 decisions, last winning on July 25. He has served up 4 HR in 13 IP in 2 September outings, while serving up 10 HR in the past 6 starts.

Run line/Against the spread

Playing the GUARDIANS -1.5 (+155) is a strong play if you’re a little more adventurous, and you want more than just the moneyline.

Cleveland is 4-2 in the past 6 games as a favorite on the run line, and each of the past 14 victories since Aug. 14 have been by 2 or more runs. So, if you like the Guardians to win, you should like them on the run line, too.

Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-120) is a strong play in the series finale Sunday. The Under is on a roll, cashing in 6 consecutive meetings with the Guardians.

The Under is 6-1 in the past 7 games for the Rays, while splitting 2-2 in the past 4 road starts by Bradley.

For the Guardians, the Under has cashed in 3 straight, while going 11-1-2 in the past 14 outings. At home, the total has gone low in 5 in a row, too.

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Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Tampa Bay Rays (72-75) and the Cleveland Guardians (84-63) play the 2nd contest of a 4-game series on Friday. First pitch from Progressive Field is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Rays vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rays lead 3-1

The Rays and Guardians swapped runs in the 1st inning, and it was 3-2 in favor of Tampa Bay after 4 innings. The Rays picked up a run in both the top of the 8th and 9th innings to pick up the 5-2 win in the series opener as the underdog (+122) while the Under (7.5) just hung on.

Tampa Bay rebounded from a sweep at the hands of the Philadelphia Phillies on the road earlier this week, but it is still 8-13 in the past 21 outings. The Rays have hit the Under at a 6-3-1 clip in the past 10 contests.

Despite the loss, Cleveland still has an AL-best 43-26 record at home. The Guardians have managed just 3 victories in the past 8 tries at Progressive Field, however. The Under is on a 9-1-2 run in the past 12 outings since Aug. 31.

Rays at Guardians projected starters

RHP Zack Littell vs. RHP Tanner Bibee

Littell (6-9, 3.89 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 138 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 2-0 road victory vs. Baltimore Orioles Sunday
  • 2024 road splits: 3-4, 4.91 ERA, 58 2/3 IP, 32 ER, 10 HR, 1.57 WHIP, .319 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 13 BB, 49 K in 12 starts
  • Last 7 games: 3-3, 2.89 ERA, 37 1/3 IP, 12 ER, 12 BB, 28 K, 1.23 WHIP
  • Career vs. Guardians: 3-0, 2.01 ERA, 22 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 21 H, 8 BB, 9 K in 10 appearances (2 starts)

Bibee (11-7, 3.56 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 154 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 2 ER, 4 H (1 HR), 3 BB, 4 K in 4-0 road setback vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Sunday
  • 2024 home splits: 4-3, 4.54 ERA, 69 1/3 IP, 35 ER, 9 HR, 1.23 WHIP, .245 OBA, 19 BB, 78 K in 13 starts
  • Last 7 games: 3-3, 3.76 ERA, 38 1/3 IP, 16 ER, 10 BB, 36 K, 1.25 WHIP
  • Career vs. Rays: Win, 7 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 9-2 road win Aug. 13, 2023, in only start vs. TB

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Rays at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 6:44 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rays +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Guardians -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-150) | Guardians -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Rays at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 4, Rays 3

Moneyline

The GUARDIANS (-175) are a little bit on the pricey side, but they’re a solid play to bounce back from the series opening loss with Bibee on the hill.

Bibee wasn’t at his best last time out, but that was on the road against the high-octane LA Dodgers. He should get it together, as long as the offense can provide him with a little something. Cleveland is 6-3 across Bibee’s past 9 starts. Look for a nice bounce-back game from the home side.

Run line/Against the spread

If you like the RAYS +1.5 (-150), but can’t back them straight up, consider the run line at a moderate price. Tampa Bay has won 3 of 4 games against Cleveland this season, and 2 of the past 3 losses have been by a single run.

In addition, Tampa Bay is 9-2 on the run line as an underdog, with 4 outright wins in the stretch.

Over/Under

UNDER 7.5 (-115) is worth playing again on Friday.

In the series opener, the Under came in by a half-run after a quick start by these 2 teams. The Under is now 9-1-2 in the past 12 games for the Guardians, including 3-0 in the past 3 outings at Progressive Field.

For Tampa Bay, the total has gone low in 4 of the past 5 games, with the offense producing 2.8 runs per game in the span, while allowing 3 or fewer runs in 6 of the past 7 contests.

The Under is also a perfect 4-0 in 4 meetings between the Guardians and Rays this season.

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Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Tampa Bay Rays (71-75) and the Cleveland Guardians (84-62) open a 4-game series on Thursday. First pitch from Progressive Field is set for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Rays vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rays lead 2-1

Tampa Bay won 2 of 3 games against Cleveland at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg back on July 12-14. The pair of victories were each 2-0 shutouts against the Guardians, while Cleveland had a 4-2 win for its lone victory. The Under cashed in all 3 meetings, and the total has gone low in 4 straight in this series.

The Rays were swept in 3 road game against the Philadelphia Phillies earlier this week, while the Under cashed in 2 of those outings. Since Aug. 22, Tampa Bay is just 7-13 in the past 20 games, while the Under is on 5-3-1 run across the previous 9 contests.

The Guardians open the series 4 1/2 games clear of the 2nd-place Kansas City Royals in the AL Central with 14 regular-season games remaining. Cleveland returns home, where it is 43-25, the best record in the AL.

Cleveland swept the lowly Chicago White Sox earlier this week, outscoring them 16-7, with the Under going 2-1. The Over (7.5) cashed in Wednesday’s 6-4 series finale, halting a 8-0-2 run to the Under in the 10 games prior.

Rays at Guardians projected starters

RHP Ryan Pepiot vs. RHP Gavin Williams

Pepiot (8-6, 3.66 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 113 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 6 H (1 solo HR), 2 BB, 4 K in 7-1 road victory vs. Baltimore Orioles Saturday
  • 2024 road splits: 5-3, 3.23 ERA, 47 1/3 IP, 17 ER, 8 HR, 1.14 WHIP, .223 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 14 BB, 48 K in 9 starts
  • Last 7 games: 4-1, 2.17 ERA, 37 1/3 IP, 9 ER, 12 BB, 35 K, 1.18 WHIP
  • Career vs. Guardians: 1-0, 0.90 ERA, 10 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 10 K in 2 appearances (1 start)

Williams (3-8, 5.25 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 60 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 0 K in 7-2 road setback vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Saturday
  • 2024 home splits: 0-5, 7.54 ERA, 22 2/3 IP, 19 ER, 4 HR, 1.76 WHIP, .316 OBA, 10 BB, 30 K in 5 starts
  • Last 7 games: 2-5, 6.68 ERA, 31 IP, 23 ER, 15 BB, 33 K, 1.39 WHIP
  • Career vs. Rays: 0-0, 1.80 ERA, 10 IP, 2 ER, 8 H, 3 BB, 12 K in 2 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Rays at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 6:41 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rays +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Guardians -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-185) | Guardians -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -145 | U: +110)

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Rays at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 6, Guardians 3

Moneyline

The RAYS (+125) are a strong play as an underdog in this series opener behind Pepiot.

The Guardians (-150) are coming off a 3-game sweep of the White Sox, but even though Cleveland is at home, it’s a bad choice with Williams on the hill. He has struggled with an 0-5 record and 7.54 ERA at home this season, and he has a 2-5 record and 6.68 ERA in his past 7 starts at all venues. Williams just cannot be trusted, and only due to injuries, he remains in the rotation.

Run line/Against the spread

The Rays +1.5 (-185) will cost you nearly 2 times your potential return, and that’s way too expensive if you require insurance. Back Tampa Bay straight up on the moneyline for a much better value.

PASS.

Over/Under

OVER 7.5 (-145) is the play due to the poor pitching of Williams lately. His splits at home, as well as his production in the past 7 starts, suggest its possible for Tampa Bay to cash high all on its own.

While the Under is 8-1-2 in the past 11 games for the Guardians, go high, and feel confidently in doing so.

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Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Tampa Bay Rays (82-54) and the Cleveland Guardians (66-70) wrap up a 3-game series Sunday at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Guardians lead 3-2

The Rays have dropped a pair of 1-run games in the 1st 2 games of this series, including a 3-2 loss in the series opener Friday with ace RHP Tyler Glasnow on the bump.

The Guardians posted the 7-6 win in 11 innings on Saturday, as OF Steven Kwan had a sacrifice fly to drive in the winning run. The Guardians have won 4 straight games, all as an underdog, tying the longest win streak of the season.

Cleveland has climbed back to within 5 games of the Minnesota Twins in the AL West Division. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay has slipped 2 1/2 games back of the Baltimore Orioles for 1st place in the AL East.

Rays at Guardians projected starters

RHP Taj Bradley vs. RHP Xzavion Curry

Bradley (5-7, 5.67 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 11.9 K/9 in 74 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 3 H, 4 BB and 4 K in a 17-4 road loss vs. the Houston Astros on July 29
  • 2023 road splits: 2-4, 5.49 ERA (41 IP, 25 ER), 8 HR, 1.51 WHIP, .267 opponent batting average (OBA) in 9 starts

Curry (3-3, 4.10 ERA) makes his 9th start and 34th overall appearance. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 79 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 2 IP, 6 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 2 K in a 10-6 road loss vs. the Minnesota Twins Monday
  • 2023 home splits: 2-1, 3.00 ERA (42 IP, 14 ER), 2 HR, 1.17 WHIP, .240 OBA in 4 starts and 13 relief appearances

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Rays at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rays -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Guardians +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (+120) | Guardians +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Rays at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 6, Rays 4

Moneyline

The GUARDIANS (+120) are a solid play behind Curry, as Cleveland looks to cap off the surprising 3-game sweep of the contending Rays (-145).

I don’t trust Bradley, who returns from Triple-A Durham to make the start Sunday. He hasn’t pitched in the bigs since late July. After being banished to run with the Bulls, Bradley had a modicum of success, posting a 2.91 ERA in 21 2/3 IP in 5 minor-league starts. Still, we need to see him do it at the major-league level on a consistent basis before trusting him again.

Run line/Against the spread

The GUARDIANS +1.5 (-145) is a decent play if you just can’t fathom the idea of another Cleveland win for the 3-game sweep. I like Curry, and think the pitching edge is tipped in Cleveland’s favor. However, if you would like a little insurance, the Guardians aren’t priced out of line.

Over/Under

OVER 9 (+100) is the lean, but go lightly.

No one will confuse a Bradley vs. Curry matchup for a pitcher’s duel. Both of these pitchers should cough up plenty of runs.

The Over is 3-2 in the last 5 games for Tampa Bay and 9-4 in the last 13 games. For Cleveland, the Over has a slight 4-3 edge across the last 7 games. The Over cashed in Curry’s start in St. Petersburg against the Rays on Aug. 11, too.

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Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Tampa Bay Rays (82-52) and Cleveland Guardians (64-70) start a 3-game series at Progressive Field Friday. First pitch is slated for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rays lead 2-1

The Rays won their 10th game in the last 12 on Wednesday in Miami against the Marlins. Tampa Bay has scored over 7 runs per game over this stretch. They are 20-6 against the AL Central this season.

Cleveland begins a 6-game homestand on Friday after going 4-2 on their road trip. Despite losing 2 of their 3 to the Rays this season, the Guardians have outscored Tampa Bay 22-17. The Guardians are 12-13 against the AL East this season.

Rays at Guardians projected starters

RHP Tyler Glasnow vs. RHP Cal Quantrill

Glasnow (7-4, 3.12 ERA) will make his 16th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 11.8 K/9 in 86 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 3-0 home victory vs. New York Yankees Saturday
  • Last start vs. Guardians: No-decision, 3 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 2-1 road loss on Sept. 28, 2022
  • 2023 road stats: 4-2, 3.27 ERA (41 1/3 IP, 15 ER), .234 OBA in 7 starts

Quantrill (2-6, 6.45 ERA) will make his 14th start. He has a 1.57 WHIP, 3 BB/9 and 5.1 K/9 in 67 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 11 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 8-1 home loss vs. Atlanta Braves on July 5
  • Last start vs. Rays: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 2-1 home win on Sept. 29, 2022
  • 2023 home stats: 1-4, 6.67 ERA (29 2/3 IP, 22 ER), .308 OBA in 6 starts

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Rays at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 10:47 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rays -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Guardians +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (+100) | Guardians +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Rays at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 6, Guardians 2

Moneyline

PASS.

I like the Rays to win this game but not enough to bet nearly 2 units to win back 1. I’ll look toward the run line in this game.

Run line/Against the spread

BET RAYS -1.5 (+100).

There is no question the Rays are the better team. Tampa is red hot and they’ve got one of their studs on the mound for the opener of this series.

Quantrill is making his 1st start since coming off the IL and I expect him to get beat up like he did before the injury. Batters are hitting over .300 against him this season.

Over/Under

LEAN THE OVER (-115).

I have full confidence in Glasnow getting the job done for the Rays but I just don’t know what to expect from Quantrill. He will likely struggle against this lineup that can hit anyone. That’s why I lean to the over but not enough to fully endorse the bet. It all depends on how many runs the Rays can produce, and they average nearly 5 1/2 runs per game on the road this season.

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AL Wild Card Series Game 2: Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians Game 2 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Rays and the Cleveland Guardians meet in Game 2 of an AL Wild Card Series Saturday. First pitch is scheduled for 12:07 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Guardians lead playoff series 1-0.

The Rays put up a good fight in Game 1, falling 2-1 in a well-pitched game on both sides. Tampa Bay picked up right where it left off in the regular season, however, and has now lost 6 games in a row and 8 of its last 9.

The Guardians won a 3rd consecutive 1-run game against the Rays, as it continues to be just a tick better than their counterparts.

Cleveland is on a roll. The Guardians have won 23 of their last 28 games overall and snapped an 8-game losing skid in the postseason. Friday’s win was the first in the last 5 playoff games at Progressive Field.

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Rays at Guardians projected starters

RHP Tyler Glasnow vs. RHP Triston McKenzie

Glasnow (0-0, 1.35 ERA) had a 0.90 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 13.5 K/9 through 6 2/3 IP across 2 regular-season starts.

  • Returned from Tommy John surgery to make a pair of appearances down the stretch
  • Was 0-0 with a 1.29 ERA, 0.71 WHIP and 14 K across 7 IP in 4 appearances for the national champion Triple-A Durham Bulls in his rehab assignment

McKenzie (11-11, 2.96 ERA) made 30 regular-season starts and 1 relief appearance. He had a 0.95 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 through 191 1/3 IP.

  • Posted a 2-0 record and .210 opponent batting average with 36 K through 33 IP across 5 starts over the last 30 days
  • Was 5-3 with a 2.77 ERA with a .196 opponent BA and 96 K across 81 1/3 IP in 13 home starts

Rays at Guardians odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:36 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rays -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Guardians -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (+165) | Guardians +1.5 (-220)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Rays at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 3, Guardians 2

Moneyline

The RAYS (-105) have really struggled, dropping 6 contests in a row, but the percentages say they’ll snap out of it. It also helps to have Glasnow on the bump, as he has been lights out in his time with Triple-A Durham and the big club as he works his way back from TJS. He won’t go super deep into the game, but the Guardians will be held at bay when he is on the hill.

Run line/Against the spread

Guardians +1.5 (-220) is just too expensive, costing you more than 2 times your potential return. If you like Cleveland just bet it straight up — but I don’t like them in Game 2.

PASS.

Over/Under

UNDER 5.5 (+105) cashed in Game 1, as we had a total of just 3 runs. Under bettors never had to sweat at all.

We should have another well-pitched game with Glasnow and McKenzie putting up a lot of donuts in Game 2.

I am not comfortable betting a full unit on such a very low total, but it’s worth playing lightly.

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AL Wild Card Series Game 1: Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians Game 1 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Rays (86-76) and the Cleveland Guardians (92-70) meet in Game 1 of an AL Wild Card Series Friday. First pitch is scheduled for 12:07 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Guardians won 4-2

The Rays limped to the finish line of the regular season, dropping 5 straight, and 7 of their final 8 games. Two of those losses came at Progressive Field in Cleveland Sept. 28-29, a pair of 2-1 setbacks. Each of the 3 meetings in that late September series were decided by 1 – Tampa Bay needed 11 innings to win the opener 6-5.

The Guardians finished up strong, winning 22 of the final 27 games to run away with the AL Central Division crown.

Cleveland will be at home this entire Wild Card Series, but that hasn’t been a good thing in recent playoff history. The Guardians have dropped 8 straight playoff games, including each of the past 4 at Progressive Field.

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Rays at Guardians projected starters

LHP Shane McClanahan vs. RHP Shane Bieber

McClanahan (12-8, 2.54 ERA) made 28 regular-season starts. He had a 0.93 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 through 166 1/3 IP.

  • Was 3-3 with a 2.08 ERA, .167 opponent batting average and 67 K with 11 BB across 60 2/3 IP in 10 road outings in 2022
  • Went 7-3 with a 2.39 ERA with 87 K across 71 2/3 IP in 12 daytime starts this season

Bieber (13-8, 2.88 ERA) made 31 regular-season starts. He had a 1.04 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 through 200 IP.

  • Was just 5-5 with a 3.22 ERA and .223 opponent BA with 77 K across 81 IP over 13 starts at Progressive Field this season
  • Posted an 8-4 record with a 3.29 ERA with 99 K across 106 2/3 IP in 17 daytime starts with 1 complete game in 2022

Rays at Guardians odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 9:43 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rays +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Guardians -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-240) | Guardians -1.5 (+175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Rays at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 4, Guardians 2

Moneyline

The Guardians (-125) have plenty of recent playoff history, but none of it is very good. Cleveland has dropped 8 in a row in the postseason, including the past 4 in this venue.

These teams actually faced each other in the postseason once before with Tampa Bay winning 4-0 in the 2013 AL Wild Card Game – when the format was just 1 game.

The RAYS (+100) are a strong play Friday at even-money, as the Guardians just cannot be trusted when the playoffs begin.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

However, the alternate line of RAYS -1.5 (+185) is worth a roll of the dice, although play this one very, very lightly. As mentioned, the most recent 3-game series in Cleveland between these teams saw a 1-run game in each of outing. So, tread lightly.

Over/Under

PLAY OVER 5.5 (-125).

I get that it’s the postseason, and I get that we have some tremendous pitchers on the hill, but this total is super low.

To cash on an Over 5.5, it won’t take much of a rally, even in just an inning or two, to quickly flip the total from an Under to an Over in a hurry.

The Over is 4-1 in Tampa’s past 5 road playoff games, too, and 7-3 in the past 10 overall in the postseason.

The Over is also 6-0 in Cleveland’s past 6 at home, and 5-1-1 in the past 7 postseason games, while going 4-0-1 in the previous 5 playoff games at Progressive Field.

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Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Rays (85-70) and the Cleveland Guardians (87-68) wrap up a 3-game set at Progressive Field Thursday. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Guardians lead series 3-2

The Rays welcomed back RHP Tyler Glasnow Wednesday, for the first time since June 2021 after a lengthy recovery from Tommy John surgery. He pitched well but the Rays came up just short, 2-1.

The Guardians look to win its 2nd series this season from the Rays, a team they could potentially face in the postseason at some point. Both teams have scored 7 runs through the first two games of this set, but Cleveland has outscored Tampa Bay by a slim 20-17 margin overall on the season.

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Rays at Guardians projected starters

LHP Jeffrey Springs vs. RHP Cal Quantrill

Springs (9-4, 2.56 ERA) makes his 24th start and 32nd appearance. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 through 126 1/3 IP.

  • Has posted a 5-2 record, 2.88 ERA and .228 opponent batting average with just 6 HR allowed across 65 2/3 IP through 12 starts and 3 relief appearances on the road
  • Allowed 3 ER on 6 H and 1 BB with 5 K across 5 IP in a home loss to the Guardians July 29

Quantrill (14-5, 3.49 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 through 175 1/3 IP.

  • Is a perfect 8-0 with a 3.46 ERA and .240 opponent BA through 101 1/3 IP across 17 starts at Progressive Field
  • Has made 15 consecutive starts without a loss dating back to his last setback July 5 at the Detroit Tigers

Rays at Guardians odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:51 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Rays -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Guardians  -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (+155) | Guardians +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +112 | U: -140)

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Rays at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 3, Rays 2

Money line

The GUARDIANS (-105) are a solid value at home as short ‘dogs, as Quantrill just doesn’t lose at home, and he hasn’t lost anywhere since early July.

The Rays will definitely give Q a run, and it will be a well-pitched matchup on both sides, but the Guardians should come out on top in the end in yet another 1-run game.

Plus, Cleveland is a sparkling 5-0 in the past 5 tries against southpaws, while going 4-1 in the past 5 at home vs. LHP.

Run line/Against the spread

The Guardians +1.5 (-190) are a little too pricey for my liking, costing nearly 2 times your potential return. They’re at home, and it has one of their most consistent pitchers on the bump, but runs will be at a premium here.

AVOID.

Over/Under

UNDER 7.5 (-140) is a tad expensive, but it’s the best play here. Springs and Quantrill will keep the bats quiet in the early going. We saw a total of just 3 runs in Wednesday’s middle game, and there won’t be much more scoring here in a playoff-like atmosphere.

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Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Rays (85-69) and the Cleveland Guardians (86-68) play the middle contest of a 3-game set at Progressive Field Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Series tied 2-2

The Rays picked up the 6-5 victory in 11 innings in a seesaw affair as moderate underdogs Tuesday. It was especially impressive considering the players and coaches likely had their minds on family and friends back in the Tampa Bay/St. Petersburg area with Hurricane Ian approaching.

The Guardians saw their 7-game win streak go up in smoke with the extra-innings loss, but Cleveland likely took its foot off the gas a little after clinching the AL Central Division over the weekend.

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Rays at Guardians projected starters

RHP Tyler Glasnow vs. RHP Triston McKenzie

Glasnow (5-2, 2.66 ERA in 2021) had a 0.93 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 12.6 K/9 through 88 IP in 2021 before suffering an elbow injury that required Tommy John surgery.

  • Comes off the 60-day IL for his first appearance since June 14, 2021
  • Allowed just 1 R on 1 H and 4 BB with 14 K over 7 IP during his rehab stint with Triple-A Durham

McKenzie (11-11, 3.04 ERA) makes his 29th start and 30th appearance. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 180 1/3 IP.

  • Has a 5-3 record, 2.94 ERA and .198 opponent batting average over 70 1/3 IP across 11 home starts
  • Is 2-0 with a 2.28 ER, just 4 BB and 31 K across 27 2/3 IP in 4 September outings

Rays at Guardians odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:51 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Rays +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Guardians -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-220) | Guardians -1.5 (+175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Rays at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 3, Guardians 2

Money line

The RAYS (+102) are worth playing again Wednesday as they look for their 2nd win in as many nights.

The Guardians obviously haven’t seen Glasnow this season, and he has electric stuff capable of confusing them. While it’s likely Glasnow will be on a rather strict pitch count after such a long layoff, Tampa has just this opportunity — and perhaps one more — to see what he has to offer heading into the postseason.

Run line/Against the spread

The Rays +1.5 (-220) will cost you more than 2 times your potential return, and that’s just too expensive in a game that will be close and well-pitched. If you like Tampa, just play it straight up.

AVOID.

Over/Under

UNDER 6.5 (-107) is risky business at this low, low number, but McKenzie has thrown peas this season, especially at home, and Glasnow could sparkle. He is a Cy Young caliber talent when he is 100 percent healthy. If he is anything near what he was prior to TJS, he will be special down the stretch for the Rays.

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Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Rays (84-69) and the Cleveland Guardians (86-67) open a 3-game set at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Guardians lead 2-1

The Rays currently sit 10 games back in the AL East, but it looks like they will be headed for the playoffs barring a disaster. Tampa Bay ranks 5th in the AL with a plus-62 run differential and holds the second AL wild-card spot.

The Guardians wrapped up the AL Central Division title over the weekend, and currently sit 10 games ahead of the Chicago White Sox. Cleveland has won 7 straight games, doing most of its damage on the road. The Guardians are 46-35 on the road, as opposed to just 40-32 at home.

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Rays at Guardians projected starters

RHP Corey Kluber vs. RHP Shane Bieber

Kluber (10-9, 4.30 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 1.1 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 through 155 IP.

  • Has allowed 11 ER across 13 1/3 IP across his past 3 starts, as his ERA has risen from 4.00 to 4.30
  • Allowed 4 ER on 8 H and 0 BB with 10 K across 6 IP in a home win over his former team July 30

Bieber (12-8, 2.81 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 189 IP.

  • Is just 4-5 with a 3.09 ERA across 70 IP over 11 starts at Progressive Field this season
  • Yielded just 1 ER on 5 H and 2 BB with 8 K across 7 IP in a road win over the Rays July 29

Rays at Guardians odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Rays +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Guardians -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-175) | Guardians -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +112 | U: -140)

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Rays at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 4, Guardians 2

Money line

The RAYS (+130) are a strong value play at plus-money. Yes, the Guardians have been red-hot lately, winning 7 straight, but how hungry will this team be now that they have clinched the division title?

Tampa Bay is still jostling for playoff positioning, and it has a little more to play for. The Guardians are locked in and can take it easy for the next week before the games start to count again.

Run line/Against the spread

The RAYS +1.5 (-175) isn’t priced terribly out of line, although I’d prefer going straight up instead. Tampa Bay is just 2-5 in its last 7 road games, and 4-10 in the past 14 against teams with a winning record, so it is understandable to be a little nervous taking the ‘dog.

However, Kluber will be working against his former team and could bring a little something extra to The Land on Tuesday.

Over/Under

UNDER 7.5 (-140) is the play here with two double-digit winners on the bump, but you’ll have to pay dearly for it. I don’t like paying more than -120 on a total, but this should be a lower-scoring game, so have at it.

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