Tag: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles odds predictions pick betting line spread

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The Tampa Bay Rays (28-31) and Baltimore Orioles (37-19) conclude their 3-game series Sunday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is slated for 1:35 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 2-0

Tampa Bay tries to avoid the sweep on Sunday after starting RHP Taj Bradley gave up 9 ER over 3 1/3 IP in Saturday’s 9-5 loss. 1B Yandy Diaz had 3 RBIs for the Rays, who have lost 9 of their last 12 games. Diaz homered in the Rays’ 3-1 loss on Friday.

The Orioles belted 4 HRs in the romp of their division rival. 1B Ryan Mountcastle went yard twice (4 RBIs), while RF Anthony Santander and 3B Jordan Westburg each parked one. Baltimore has won 8 of its last 9 games.

Rays at Orioles projected starters

RHP Zack Littell vs. LHP Cole Irvin

Littell (2-3, 3.47 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 62 1/3 IP

• Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 3-0 home defeat to the Oakland A’s Tuesday
• Only start vs Orioles: No decision, 4 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 5-4 road loss Sept. 17, 2023

Irvin (5-2, 2.84 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 50 2/3 IP in 10 appearances

• Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 11-3 win over the Boston Red Sox
• Career vs Rays: 1-2, 4.19 ERA (19 1/3 IP, 9 ER) in 4 games (3 starts)

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Rays at Orioles odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:01 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Rays +112 (bet $100 to win $112) | Orioles -132 (bet $132 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-188) | Orioles -1.5 (+155)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -124 | U: +102)

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Rays at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 5, Rays 2

Moneyline.

PASS.

I’m confident that the Orioles (-132) will complete the sweep on Sunday afternoon but I don’t want to pay that juice. I’ll save my wager for the run line and/or total.

Run line/Against the spread

BET ORIOLES -1.5 (+155).

I love getting those juicy plus odds to cover the run line. When Baltimore wins, it usually wins comfortably. In their last 10 wins, they have won all of them by 2-plus runs, including the first 2 games of this series. It doesn’t hurt that Irvin has also won 5 of his last 6 decisions.

The Orioles are trying to keep pace with the red-hot Yankees. This is a game they should win at home, where they are 21-11. The Rays are 11-13 away from Tampa Bay.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (+102).

I was actually pleasantly surprised to see that these 2 teams have played to the Under in 7 of their last 10 meetings. That made my decision even easier to bet those plus odds on the Under.

Irvin has been fantastic since late April. He has allowed a grand total of 2 ER over his last 5 starts (30 2/3 IP). I have no reason to believe that this Rays team will be able to break out against Cole.

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The Tampa Bay Rays (92-58) and Baltimore Orioles (92-56) wrap up a 4-game series Sunday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is slated for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 7-5

The Rays lost 8-0 Saturday but are still 7-2 over their last 9 games. Tampa has been outscored 12-11 despite winning the first 2 games of the series and is 1 game back of Baltimore for the AL East lead.

Baltimore snapped a 4-game losing skid with Saturday’s victory. The O’s got 8-scoreless innings from RHP Grayson Rodriguez in a game they needed to stop the bleeding after dropping 5 of their last 7. The Orioles are 44-30 at home this season.

Rays at Orioles projected starters

RHP Zack Littell vs. RHP Dean Kremer

Littell (3-6, 4.25 ERA) makes his 13th start and 26th appearance. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 1.0 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 78 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 8 K in 3-2 loss at Minnesota Twins Tuesday
• 2023 road stats: 2-4, 3.64 ERA (42 IP, 17 ER), .259 OBA over 7 starts and 7 relief appearances
• Never faced the Orioles as a starter

Kremer (12-5, 4.25 ERA) will make his 30th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 159 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 4 BB, 2 K in 11-4 home victory vs. St. Louis Cardinals Monday
• 2023 home stats: 7-2, 4.78 ERA (92 1/3 IP, 49 ER), .253 opponent batting average (OBA) in 17 starts
• 2023 vs. Rays: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 1 start, a 2-1 home victory May 10
• Career vs. Rays: 1-1, 3.00 ERA (24 IP, 8 ER) in 5 starts

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Rays at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:06 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Rays +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Orioles -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-200) | Orioles -1.5 (+165)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Rays at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 4, Rays 3

Moneyline

PASS.

I lean to the Orioles (-120) to win this game, but I don’t feel confident enough to make this bet. These two teams have played basically even this season and this is mostly a coin flip.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

You should never force bets and I don’t love the Orioles enough — like I said in the moneyline section — to bet them to cover this run line. I would not mind taking the Rays getting the run and a half but not at -200 odds. Just avoid this and focus on the total.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-105).

These teams have gone under this run total in 6 of their last 7 meetings.

Kremer has pitched 6 scoreless innings in two of his last 3 starts against this Rays squad. He has also allowed 1 earned run or less in 3 of his last 4 starts overall.

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The Baltimore Orioles (91-56) welcome the Tampa Bay Rays (92-57) to Oriole Park at Camden Yards Saturday for the 3rd game of a 4-game set. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 6-5

The Orioles suffered a 4th straight loss with a 7-1 defeat Friday, closing as +112 underdogs. Baltimore also lost the series opener 4-3 Thursday and is now tied with Tampa Bay atop the AL East, despite doing 5-5 over its last 10 games.

The Orioles are 43-30 at home on the year while the Rays are 42-32 on the road and have surged as of late, winning 8 of their last 10 games.

Rays at Orioles projected starters

RHP Tyler Glasnow vs. RHP Grayson Rodriguez

Glasnow (9-5, 3.15 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 12.1 K/9 through 105 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 7-5 road win vs. Minnesota Twins Monday
• 2023 road stats: 5-3, 3.48 ERA in 54 1/3 IP in 9 starts

Rodriguez (5-4, 4.88 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 103 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 7-3 road loss vs. Boston Red Sox Sunday
• 2023 home stats: 2-2, 5.65 ERA in 51 IP in 10 starts

Rays at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:17 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Rays -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Orioles +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (+140) | Orioles +1.5 (-165)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Rays at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 5, Orioles 3

Moneyline

BET RAYS (-125).

The Rays have been on fire as of late, winning 7 of their last 8. They have won 2 of the last 3 times Glasnow has been on the mound. Tampa Bay is the 2nd-best team in the MLB following a win at 56-35, and it is the best team in the MLB as a favorite in at least 10 games at 81-42.

That dominance, and the recent struggles of Baltimore, make this a reasonable play. The pitching discrepancies help as well given Rodriguez has allowed at least 7 hits in 3 of his last 4 starts. Expect Tampa Bay to stay hot and take RAYS (-125).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The value on either side isn’t great.

The Rays have had 3 of their last 4 games finish within a run, so the (+140) line to win by margin isn’t enough.

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 7.5 (-115).

The Rays are 79-66-4 O/U on the season, and they have gone Over in 4 of their last 8 games. Outside of their 2 losses to Tampa Bay, Baltimore’s offense has been hot lately.

Over their last 8 games, the Orioles have scored 10 or more runs 3 times. They have gone Over in 6 of their last 10 games. For a partial unit, take OVER 7.5 (-115).

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The Tampa Bay Rays (91-57) and Baltimore Orioles (91-55) tussle Friday as they continue their key 4-game AL East series. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is slated for 7:05 p.m. ET (AppleTV+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 6-4

Tampa Bay took Thursday’s opener 4-3, and the Rays are now just 1 game behind Baltimore in the AL East. That marks the closest Tampa has been to Baltimore since July 22 which was just a couple days after the Rays had been overtaken by the Orioles for the division lead.

Baltimore has lost 3 straight games. The Birds own a .561 OPS and are just 2-for-21 with runners in scoring position over the 3 setbacks.

Rays at Orioles projected starters

RHP Zach Eflin vs. RHP Jack Flaherty

Eflin (14-8, 3.53 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 160 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Win, 5 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 6-3 home win vs. Seattle Mariners Sunday
• 2023 Road stats: 3-4, 3.92 ERA in 62 IP across 11 starts
• Career starts vs. Orioles: 2-2, 3.46 ERA in 26 IP across 4 starts (2018-23)

Flaherty (8-8, 4.98 ERA) is tabbed for his 27th start. He has logged a 1.57 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 137 1/3 IP for the Orioles and St. Louis Cardinals.

• Last start: No-decision, 3 1/3 IP, 5 R (4 ER), 8 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 13-12 win at Boston Red Sox Saturday
• 2023 Home stats: 4-4, 5.54 ERA in 52 IP across 10 starts
• Has never faced the Rays as a starter
• Has been hurt by a .350 batting average on balls in play (BABIP)

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Rays at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:17 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Rays -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Orioles +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (+125) | Orioles +1.5 (-155)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Rays at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 4, Orioles 3

Moneyline

There has been some aggregate team lean on the Rays (everything but starting pitching) for several weeks now, so it’s not a big surprise they might be tied for the AL East lead after this one.

Tampa would be a play at -115, but there is some bullpen-fatigue edge on the home side and a bit more to like in Flaherty than what pops on the surface.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Same as above but add more juice and say no that much quicker. PASS.

Over/Under

The Under is 4-1 across the last 5 Tampa-Baltimore games.

Flaherty owns a Boeing 7.16 ERA over his last 6 starts, but that has come alongside some shaky, hard-to-repeat marginal rates that affect run scoring a great deal (.363 BABIP for instance). There are warts to his line to be sure, but Flaherty may be unfairly faded here by some.

Both offenses are a bit too far out over their skis as far as production vs. expected performance. The price here offers good leverage.

BACK THE UNDER 8.5 (-105).

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The Tampa Bay Rays (90-57) and Baltimore Orioles (91-54) tussle in the Thursday night opener of a 4-game series in Charm City. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is slated for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 6-3

Tampa is continuing a road trip that opened with the club taking 2-of-3 games at the Minnesota Twins to start the week. The Rays have batted .269/.351/.493 (.843 OPS) while going 5-1 over their last 6 games.

Baltimore, which leads Tampa Bay by 2 games in the AL East, won 7 straight games from Sept. 2-9. However, the Orioles have gone just 1-3 since. They are looking to win their first season series against Tampa since 2016.

Rays at Orioles projected starters

RHP Aaron Civale vs. RHP Kyle Bradish

Civale (7-3, 2.96 ERA) is making his 21st start this season. He has registered a 1.12 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 through 112 2/3 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 4 H, 4 R, 3 BB, 3 K in 7-5 home win vs. Seattle Mariners Saturday
• 2023 Road stats: 4-2, 2.03 ERA in 53 1/3 IP across 10 starts
• Career starts vs. Orioles: 2-0, 7.36 ERA in 11 IP over 2 starts

Bradish (11-6, 3.03 ERA) is tabbed for his 27th start. He has logged a 1.09 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 145 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 4 H, 2 R, 0 BB, 9 K in 11-2 win at Bost Red Sox Friday
• 2023 Home stats: 4-3, 2.26 ERA in 59 2/3 IP across 10 starts
• Career starts vs. Rays: 1-2, 6.53 ERA in 20 2/3 IP across 4 starts

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Rays at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:21 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Rays +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Orioles -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-175) | Orioles -1.5 (+145)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Rays at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 5, Orioles 4

Moneyline

Civale’s surface numbers have fallen off of late but perhaps unfairly with some unkind rates around the margins.

Both bullpens have had good numbers over the last month or so. For the Rays, that performance exhibits some real growth, and the Tampa ‘pen looks to be a strength heading down the stretch. Baltimore relievers have clocked a 2.95 ERA since Aug. 1, but that figure has been artificially tamped down by a .269 batting average on balls in play and a kind rate of fly balls leaving the park.

The Rays are 7-1 in their last 8 road-series openers and they are the lean with plus-money odds. However, Bradish is a tough customer, especially at Camden Yards where he owns a 2.26 ERA and 1.01 WHIP.

FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best price here: BET TAMPA BAY (+118). Consider some partial-unit outlay unless the tag reaches +122.

Run line/Against the spread

Attractive pricing on the Rays here. Some bettors may want to consider a RAYS +1.5 (-165) play if they cannot get the visitors at +120 on the moneyline.

Over/Under

Tip of the cap to the market here. There is some reason to project this one getting well past the combined starter and bullpen ERAs, but bettors pounced but the profit air is out of the balloon.

PASS.

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