Tampa Bay Lightning at Philadelphia Flyers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Tampa Bay Lightning at Philadelphia Flyers odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Tampa Bay Lightning (13-8-1) and Philadelphia Flyers (8-10-5) meet Thursday at Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia. Puck drop is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Lightning vs. Flyers odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

The Lightning lost 3-1 on the road against the Boston Bruins Tuesday. It was just the 2nd time in the last 21 games that Tampa Bay scored just 1 goal in a  game. The Under result snapped a 3-0 Over run.

The Flyers posted a 3-1 victory against the New York Islanders at home on Tuesday, snapping an 0-7-3 slide. Philadelphia has gone ice cold after firing out of the chute with 3 straight victories, including a 3-2 win in Tampa on Oct. 18.

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Lightning at Flyers odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:21 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Lightning -220 (bet $220 to win $100) | Flyers +190 (bet $100 to win $190)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Lightning -1.5 (+115) | Flyers +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: +105 | U: -125)

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Lightning at Flyers projected goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (8-7-1, 2.88 GAA, .906 SV%) vs. Carter Hart (7-5-4, 2.73 GAA, .917 SV%)

Vasilevskiy has been stubbing his toe this season, struggling by his standards. However, he has started to show some signs of life, allowing just 2 goals in each of his last 2 outings, winning 5-2 against the St. Louis Blues, while falling 3-1 in Boston against the Bruins, mostly due to a lack of offensive support.

Vasilevskiy allowed 3 goals on 24 shots in the Oct. 18 loss in Tampa, as Hart allowed just 2 goals on 38 shots to best the former Vezina winner.

Hart allowed just 1 goal on 24 shots in a victory over the Isles, snapping a 7-start winless skid. He was 2-5-3 with a 3.00 GAA and .901 SV% in 10 starts in November.

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Lightning at Flyers picks and predictions

Prediction

Lightning 5, Flyers 2

Moneyline

The Lightning (-220) will cost you more than 2 times your potential return, and that’s a little on the expensive side, especially since the Flyers (+190) won the 1st meeting this season.

PASS.

Puck line/Against the spread

The LIGHTNING -1.5 (+115) are worth a roll of the dice on the puck line instead. Yes, Tampa did fall at home to Philadelphia earlier this season, but the Flyers are a shell of their former selves. While the Flyers topped the Isles last time out, Philly has been atrocious lately, especially on the offensive end, totaling just 23 goals across the last 11 contests.

Over/Under

OVER 6.5 (+105) is a value play at plus-money.

While Philly has struggled to light the lamp lately, it has allowed 46 goals in the last 11 games. The Over has cashed at an 11-5-1 clip in the last 17 games against teams with a winning overall record for the Flyers, while going 6-1 in the last 7 meetings at home against the Lightning.

For the Lightning, the Over has hit at a 9-4-1 clip in the last 14 games overall, while going 7-1-1 in the last 9 inside the Eastern Conference.

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Tampa Bay Lightning at Philadelphia Flyers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Tampa Bay Lightning at Philadelphia Flyers odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Tampa Bay Lightning (14-5-4) visit the Philadelphia Flyers (8-9-4) Sunday at Wells Fargo Center. Puck drop is scheduled for 6 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Lightning vs. Flyers odds and lines, and make our expert NHL picks, predictions and bets.

The Lightning picked up a 3-2 win in overtime at the Boston Bruins Saturday behind G Andrei Vasilevskiy. These teams have met twice since Nov. 18, with the Lightning winning both outings while outscoring the Flyers 8-3.

The Flyers have gone 0-5-2 over their last seven games. That span includes the two losses to the Lightning — 4-3 shootout loss Nov. 18 in Philadelphia and a 4-0 result in Tampa.

Lightning at Flyers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:37 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Lightning -117 (bet $117 to win $100) | Flyers -103 (bet $103 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Lightning -1.5 (+200) | Flyers +1.5 (-290)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Lightning at Flyers projected goalies

Brian Elliott (2-1-1, 3.16 GAA, .887 SV%) vs. Carter Hart (5-6-3, 2.70 GAA, .919 SV%, 1 SO)

Elliott allowed three goals on 33 shots in a shootout loss Tuesday at St. Louis. He is anticipated to make his first-career start against his former team, the Flyers, in the second game of a back-to-back set. He has allowed three or more goals in each of his four outings.

Hart has allowed 13 goals across three straight losses. That losing skid includes a start Nov. 23 in Tampa when he allowed four goals on 35 shots in a 4-0 loss. He also stopped 29 of 32 shots in the Nov. 18 shootout loss to the Lightning.

Lightning at Flyers odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Lightning 4, Flyers 2

Money line

The LIGHTNING (-117) are expected to use their backup goalie after a back-to-back, but who knows the Flyers better than Elliott? He is well-rested and he should have plenty of offensive support against the shaky Hart. Tampa Bay has won five straight starts in this series, with the favorite 9-1 in the previous 10 meetings, too.

Against the spread

The LIGHTNING -1.5 (+200) are worth a roll of the dice for a chance to nearly double up. Five of Tampa’s last nine victories have been by two or more goals, including a Nov. 23 victory against the Flyers.

Over/Under

OVER 5.5 (-125) is worth a small-unit play. The Over has cashed in three of the last four for the Lightning while hitting in two of the last three for the Fly Guys. The Over is also 5-1 in the past six meetings between the two teams in Philadelphia while going 38-18-4 in the past 60 meetings overall in this series.

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