[mm-video type=video id=01gf8w46j28n4gta7d4s playlist_id=none player_id=none image=https://images2.minutemediacdn.com/image/upload/video/thumbnail/mmplus/01gf8w46j28n4gta7d4s/01gf8w46j28n4gta7d4s-89a7ac16563f47bcf8a7a3a10d4bb549.jpg]
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-2) visit the Pittsburgh Steelers (1-4) at Acrisure Stadium Sunday. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Buccaneers vs. Steelers odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Bucs are coming off a 21-15 victory over the Atlanta Falcons that ended up being highlighted by the roughing-the-passer call on QB Tom Brady.
Brady sits 4th in the NFL in passing yards. The Bucs have done what has been excepted of them with wins over New Orleans and Dallas, losing to Green Bay and Kansas City.
As for the Steelers, first-round pick Kenny Pickett, took over at QB and make his first start of the season against the Buffalo Bills, an absolute beatdown for Pittsburgh. It lost 38-3.
The rushing game let them down, totaling just 54 yards, and it has been a consistent issue for the Mike Tomlin-led Steelers. Getting RB Najee Harris going just hasn’t happened often this season.
Also see: All Week 6 odds and lines
FOOTBALL NEVER STOPS
Live games, analysis and more 7 days a week: Get ESPN+
Buccaneers at Steelers odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:07 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Buccaneers -450 (bet $450 to win $100) | Steelers +350 (bet $100 to win $350)
- Against the spread (ATS): Buccaneers -9.5 (-110) | Steelers +9.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 46.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)
Claim your risk-free bet up to $350. Catch the excitement and start betting with Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Bet now!
Buccaneers at Steelers key injuries
Buccaneers
- LB Shaquil Barrett (illness) questionable
- CB Sean Murphy-Bunting (quad) out
- CB Logan Ryan (foot) out
Steelers
- S Minkah Fitzpatrick (knee) out
- TE Pat Freiermuth (concussion) out
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
Buccaneers at Steelers picks and predictions
Prediction
Buccaneers 30, Steelers 21
Moneyline
PASS.
The Steelers are bad and should lose, but at -450, there’s no value in betting on the moneyline road favorite.
Against the spread
LEAN STEELERS +9.5 (-110).
Honestly, I wouldn’t play this until kickoff. The vast majority of the money (90% at time of writing) is on Tampa Bay per pregame.com and this has already blossomed from its 6.5 open.
The hold-up that should put the Bucs behind a bit is the key losses to its secondary. The Bucs’ 3rd- and 4th-best cornerbacks will be out, and one of their defensive captains is out.
While the Steelers didn’t get in the end zone last week, Pickett did total 327 passing yards.
If the Bucs are going to be without key defensive backs against a Steelers team with a rising quarterback and elite receiving weapons, they should be able to score enough to keep this game within single digits.
Pittsburgh is 76-48-2 against the spread (ATS) since 2015. Tomlin has been a covering beast throughout his career, and he should be able to get back on track here.
Over/Under
BET OVER 46.5 (-108).
If both teams were at full strength, Fitzpatrick would be arguably the best defensive player on the field. The loss of both him and DE TJ Watt will cripple the Steelers’ defense, one that allowed 38 points to Buffalo.
The Bucs are a run-heavy side and have amply skilled receivers to give the Steelers problems as well. Pittsburgh also has Pickett starting to make his presence felt, completing 34 of 52 passes.
Also, we’re seeing a “Pros vs. Joes” set up with more tickets on the under and more money on the over. In sports betting, following the money is typically smarter.
Considering the trend movement and the absentees in this battle, I’ll take points to be scored.
More NFL Week 6 odds, picks and predictions
- Parlay: Let’s make some money
- Best picks: Underdogs | Player props | Survivor
Want action on this NFL game or any other matchups? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!
If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.
Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Access more NFL coverage:
BetFTW | TheHuddle Fantasy Football | BearsWire | BengalsWire | BillsWire | BroncosWire | BrownsWire | BucsWire | CardsWire | ChargersWire | ChiefsWire | ColtsWire | CommandersWire | CowboysWire | DolphinsWire | EaglesWire | FalconsWire | GiantsWire | JaguarsWire | JetsWire | LionsWire | NinersWire | PackersWire | PanthersWire | PatriotsWire | RaidersWire | RamsWire | RavensWire | SaintsWire | SeahawksWire | SteelersWire | TexansWire | TitansWire | VikingsWire | DraftWire | TouchdownWire | ListWire
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1367]