Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons odds predictions pick betting line spread

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-1) visit the Atlanta Falcons (2-2) Thursday. Kickoff from Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Buccaneers vs. Falcons odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Tampa Bay got back in the win column with a 33-16 victory over the Philadelphia Eagles Sunday as a 1-point home underdog. QB Baker Mayfield went 30 of 47 for 347 yards with 2 TDs, with WR Mike Evans (8 receptions, 94 yards, 1 TD) being his top receiver. On the ground, RBs Bucky Irving and Rachaad White each had 10 carries for 49 yards while Irving added a TD.

Atlanta also found its way back in the win column with a 26-24 victory over the New Orleans Saints Sunday while failing to cover as a 2.5-point home favorite. RB Kirk Cousins went 21 of 35 for 238 yards with an INT while RB Tyler Allgeier ran the ball 8 times for 60 yards.

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Buccaneers at Falcons odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Buccaneers +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Falcons -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Buccaneers +1.5 (-110) | Falcons -1.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 44 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Buccaneers at Falcons key injuries

Buccaneers

G Luke Goedeke (concussion) out
DT Calijah Kancey (calf) out
WR Jalen McMillan (hamstring) out
WR Trey Palmer (concussion) out
S Antoine Winfield Jr. (foot) out

Falcons

LB Troy Andersen (knee) out

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Buccaneers at Falcons picks and predictions

Prediction

Buccaneers 31, Falcons 23

Moneyline

BET BUCCANEERS (+105).

Tampa Bay found its offensive groove again in Week 4 scoring 33 points. It is 1-0 on the road this season and has held opponents to 16 or fewer points in 2 of its last 3 games.

The Falcons narrowly avoided a 2-game skid last week with a last-second field goal, but will struggle to go toe-to-toe against a Buccaneers team that has scored 33 or more points in 2 of its first 4 games.

Against the spread

PASS.

There is better value on Buccaneers ML.

Over/Under

BET OVER 44 (-110).

Tampa Bay has allowed 16 or more points in each of its 4 games this season. Atlanta has allowed 18 or more points in each of its 4 games, including 21 or more in each of the last 3. On offense, the Buccaneers have scored 20 or more points in 3 of their 4 games — including 33 or more in 2 of the 4 — while the Falcons have scored 17 or more in each of their last 3.

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-8) face off against the Atlanta Falcons (6-10) Sunday in a regular-season finale. Kickoff from Mercedes-Benz Stadium is set for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Buccaneers vs. Falcons, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Buccaneers beat the Carolina Panthers 30-24 last Sunday to cover the spread as 3.5-point home favorites and clinch the NFC South. In their previous 6 games, Tampa Bay is 3-2 straight up but 1-5 against the spread (ATS) and 4-11-1 ATS on the season.

The Falcons edged past the Arizona Cardinals 20-19 last week, failing to cover as 7-point home favorites. They are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games and 8-8 ATS overall — yep, they opened the season 6-0 ATS before the freefall. So, it’s no surprise Atlanta has already been eliminated from playoff contention.

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Buccaneers at Falcons odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:07 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Buccaneers +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Falcons -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
Against the spread: Buccaneers +4 (-111) | Falcons -4 (-109)
Over/Under (O/U): 40.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Buccaneers at Falcons key injuries

Buccaneers

CB Carlton Davis (shoulder) out
CB Jamel Dean (toe) questionable
S Mike Edwards (hamstring, hip) questionable
WR Julio Jones (knee, illness) questionable
LB Carl Nassib (pectoral) out
S Logan Ryan (knee) out
OL Donovan Smith (foot) out
NT Vita Vea (calf) out

Falcons

OL Elijah Wilkinson (calf) out

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Buccaneers at Falcons picks and predictions

Prediction

Falcons 20, Buccaneers 13

Moneyline

PASS.

Although the Buccaneers (+170) are without a lot of top players and the Falcons (-200) are at home, the moneyline odds do not present enough return on investment to make a play worth it.

Against the spread

LEAN FALCONS -4 (-109).

As mentioned, Tampa Bay is 4-11-1 ATS and having already clinched a playoff spot, it already has its sights beyond this Week 18 matchup.

On the flip side, with their season already all but over, the Falcons are looking to close the season on a high note and see what progress QB Desmond Ridder can make before the offseason.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 40.5 (-110).

The Falcons’ Under has hit 5 times in a row and 7 of their last 8 games. The Buccaneers’ Under has hit 5 times in their last 8 games. In a game that has no ramifications, points may be more difficult to come by.

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons Week 15 betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Atlanta Falcons (4-9) host the NFC South rival Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-5) Sunday afternoon. Kickoff at Mercedes-Benz Stadium will be at 1 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the Buccaneers-Falcons betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Buccaneers at Falcons: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 8:26 p.m. ET.

Money line: Buccaneers -275 (bet $275 to win $100) | Falcons +210 (bet $100 to win $210)
Against the spread/ATS: Buccaneers -5.5 (-115) | Falcons +5.5 (-105)
Over/Under: 49.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Buccaneers at Falcons: Game notes

The Falcons have lost back-to-back games, including a 20-17 loss at the Los Angeles Chargers last week.
The Buccaneers came out of a Week 13 bye having lost back-to-back games, but they topped the visiting Minnesota Vikings 26-14 in Week 14.
The teams split their head-to-head series in 2019 with both teams winning on the road, but those were with QB Jameis Winston under center for Tampa Bay. The two will play their second game of the 2020 season in Week 17 (Jan. 3).
The Falcons have been held to fewer than 20 points in three of their last four games, and they’re 22nd by Football Outsiders’ offensive DVOA for the season. They rank 21st in pass offense but 28th in rush offense.
Atlanta’s rushing attack, led by RB Todd Gurley, is 30th in yards per rush, while Tampa Bay’s rush defense allows the fewest yards per attempt.
Both teams have a highly-ranked pass rush with Atlanta at No. 3 by ESPN’s Pass Rush Win Rate and Tampa Bay ranked sixth. The Buccaneers have the fourth-most sacks in the league while the Falcons are just 19th.

Buccaneers at Falcons: Key injuries

Buccaneers

LB Jason Pierre-Paul (knee) questionable

Falcons

WR Julio Jones (hamstring) questionable
OT Kaleb McGary (personal) questionable
S Ricardo Allen (concussion) questionable
DB Darqueze Dennard (quadriceps) questionable
DL Marlon Davidson (knee) questionable

Buccaneers at Falcons: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Buccaneers 27, Falcons 19

Money line (?)

We won’t take the Buccaneers (-275) despite a high degree of confidence in them securing the win on the road. They’re fighting for the NFC South title while the Falcons are being featured in 2021 mock drafts.

It’s just not worth the risk to wager more than two times the potential return on a money line bet for a rivalry game.

PASS.

Against the spread (?)

The BUCCANEERS -5.5 (-115) are getting a rather conservative number coming off a 12-point win in Week 14. The Falcons had plenty of opportunities to win last week and failed to do so against a much worse defense than the one they’ll face Sunday.

Tampa Bay will win by at least 6 points, as it has in all but one of its eight victories on the year.

Over/Under (?)

Let’s take the UNDER 49.5 (-110). The Falcons have been settling for field goals all season. That’s unlikely to change with Jones expected to miss another game and the Atlanta rushing attack running into of its toughest opponents of the season.

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Also see:

OT Wirfs exceeding lofty expectations (Bucs Wire)
10 things Atlanta must figure out (Falcons Wire)

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