Talladega Superspeedway odds Talladega Superspeedway predictions Talladega Superspeedway betting

2024 Yellawood 500: What you need to know

Hendrick Motorsports driver Chase Elliott leads all active drivers at Talladega (min. 6 starts) with a 13.7 Average-Finish Position (AFP) with 2 wins, 5 top-5 finishes and 214 laps led in 17 career Cup starts

Stewart-Haas Racing’s Chase Briscoe, currently 25 points below the cut line for the Round of 8, has a very good 14.4 AFP in 7 career Cup starts at ‘Dega, with a best finish of 4th in the 2023 spring race. He has been 13th or better in each of his past 4 starts at the Alabama superspeedway

23XI Racing’s Tyler Reddick won the GEICO 500 at the Talladega spring race on April 21, just edging out RFK Racing’s Brad Keselowski. Despite that finish, Reddick has a 19.2 AFP in 9 career Cup starts with 2 DNFs

Trackhouse Racing’s Ross Chastain, who won last week at Kansas, has a Cup win at Talladega, but he also has just 2 top-10 finishes and a poor 19.5 AFP in 9 11 career Cup starts

Joe Gibbs Racing driver Martin Truex Jr. has struggled in his career at Talladega, with no wins and just 3 top-5 finishes in 39 Cup starts with 13 DNFs and a dismal 21.0 AFP

SHR’s Noah Gragson finished 3rd in the GEICO 500 in April, his best Cup finish at the superspeedway in 4 tries

Mississippi native Ricky Stenhouse Jr. has a win at Talladega in 22 career Cup stats, with 7 top-5 finishes and 118 laps led with a 15.1 AFP

Hendrick’s Kyle Larson has had a tough time at Talladega over the years, posting just a single top-5 finish, 3 top-10 runs and 6 DNFs in 19 career Cup starts at the superspeedway

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2024 Yellawood 500 – Expert pick

CHASE ELLIOTT (+1600) is a tremendous value at this price. He has managed to stay pretty clean at Talladega in his career, managing just 3 DNFs in 17 career Cup starts with 2 wins, 5 top-5 finishes and 214 laps led with a 13.7 AFP.

Elliott finished 15th in the spring race at Talladega, so look for improvement on Sunday, especially as he checks in 7th in the playoff standings, and he needs a good finish to keep his Championship 4 hopes alive and well.

ELLIOTT TOP-10 FINISH (-130) isn’t priced out of line if you’re a little more conservative and you’d like to go that route, too.

2024 Yellawood 500 – Contender

CHASE BRISCOE (+3000) is driving a throwback paint scheme car to honor former NASCAR driver and current SHR team owner Tony Stewart at Talladega. Briscoe’s playoff hopes are on life support, too, as he sits 11th in the standings with just 2 races until the Round of 8. He needs a strong finish, and he could get one at the superspeedway.

Briscoe has been 13th or better in each of his past 4 starts at the track, including a run of 4th in the spring race in 2023. He is fighting to keep his title hopes alive, hoping to get to at least the Round of 8 for the 2nd time in his career. And, he has the hopes of SHR on his shoulders, too, as that team looks to finish strong before closing up shop at the end of the current season.

BRISCOE TOP-10 FINISH (+160) is still an extremely strong value if you don’t want to roll the dice on an outright victory.

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The NASCAR Cup Series heads back to Talladega Superspeedway for the 2023 YellaWood 500 Sunday afternoon. The green flag is set to drop shortly after 2 p.m. ET (NBC). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the 2023 YellaWood 500 odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.

2023 Yellawood 500: What you need to know

Hendrick Motorsports driver Chase Elliott leads all active drivers with a 14.1 Average-Finish Position (AFP) at Talladega (minimum 3 Cup starts)
Elliott has 2 wins, 5 top-5 finishes and 7 top-10 runs in 15 career Cup starts with 201 led, while posting 3 DNFs
Team Penske driver Ryan Blaney has 2 Cup wins at Talladega, while posting 5 top-5 results and 7 top-10 finishes with 275 laps led and 4 DNFs with a 15.2 AFP
RFK Racing’s Brad Keselowski leads all active drivers with 6 checkered flags at Talladega, with all of those victories coming in the No. 2 machine as a member of Team Penske
Penske’s Joey Logano has won checkers 3 times at Talladega, posting an 18.3 AFP with 9 top-5 finishes in 29 career Cup starts, while also posting 9 DNFs
Hendrick’s Kyle Larson needs a good showing to avoid elimination from the playoffs. He has a dismal 23.4 AFP in 17 career Cup starts at Talladega, with just 1 top-5 finish and 3 top-10 runs with 6 DNFs
The past 4 winners at Talladega have started 16th or lower in the grid, so don’t put too much stock into pole winners or starting starts
Only Ford and Chevrolet have won races on the superspeedways since the NextGen car was introduced

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2023 Yellawood 500 – Expert pick

Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:03 a.m. ET.

JOEY LOGANO (+1300) is a good value at this price. He has won 3 times at Talladega Superspeedway in the past, and he seems to have a knack of laying back in the weeds, playing it safe and letting the rest of the field knock itself out, while being an opportunist and moving up through the field at the right time.

Even playing LOGANO TOP-10 FINISH (-140) isn’t terribly expensive. He has finished in the top 10 on 11 different occasions in 29 career Cup starts, or 37.9% of his runs at the track.

Picking a winner at the superspeedway is like picking a needle out of a haystack. A non-playoff driver has won at Talladega just once since 2014, and that’s when 23XI Racing’s Bubba Wallace claimed checkers in 2021.

If there is a non-playoff driver, or eliminated playoff driver, to throw a monkey wrench into things, RICKY STENHOUSE JR. (+2500) is the guy. He won the Daytona 500 (in 2017) — the Olive Branch, Miss., native is a master on the superspeedways.

A STENHOUSE TOP-10 FINISH (+125) at plus-money is also a very good play. He has finished 10th or better in 9 of his 20 career Cup starts at what is essentially his home track, which equates to 45.0% of his starts.

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2023 YellaWood 500 – Long shot

AUSTIN DILLON (+3500) is another one of those long-shot plays worth paying some mind.

The driver of the No. 3 machine is a good value. While he has never won in 20 career Cup starts, he has managed 2 top-5 runs and 5 top-10 finishes with a respectable 18.8 AFP, which is better than the likes of Kyle Busch (19.9 AF), Chris Buescher (19.9) and Martin Truex Jr. (21.4) to name a few.

2023 YellaWood 500 – Props

FORD (+110) is a decent play at plus-money to be the winning manufacturer, as Logano is my top pick to earn checkers at Talladega.

In addition, playing RYAN BLANEY (-144) in a head-to-head matchup over Richard Childress Racing’s Kyle Busch (+112). Blaney has 2 wins in 18 career Cup starts at the superspeedway, while posting a 15.2 AFP with 275 laps led. Busch has 2 wins at ‘Dega, but he also has 7 DNFs, with just 8 of his 36 career Cup starts resulting in top-5 finishes. Blaney is by far more consistent at this track in his career.

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