Golden State Warriors at Phoenix Suns odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s Warriors at Suns sports betting odds, with NBA matchup analysis and picks.

The Phoenix Suns (24-36) continue their six-game homestand with the second game of a back-to-back against the struggling Golden State Warriors (12-47). Tipoff is Saturday night at 9 p.m. ET at Talking Stick Resort Arena.

We analyze the Warriors-Suns odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.


Place a legal sports bet on this NBA action or other games at BetMGM.


Warriors at Suns: Key injuries

Warriors

  • G Stephen Curry (hand) out
  • G Klay Thompson (knee) out
  • G Ky Bowman (out) questionable
  • G Jordan Poole (ankle) questionable
  • F Andrew Wiggins (thoracic) probable

Suns

  • PF Cameron Johnson (upper body) questionable
  • F Frank Kaminsky (knee) out
  • F Kelly Oubre Jr. (knee) out

Warriors at Suns: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated Saturday at 12:10 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Suns 111, Warriors 106

Moneyline (ML)

The Suns (-455) have struggled the last two games with the loss of Oubre, losing the first two games of their six-game homestand. The Warriors (+340) have lost eight in a row. They are a terrible 5-24 on the road this season. Phoenix is only 11-20 at home this season and is very unreliable when favored. They are only 9-10 as a home favorite. So neither team is a good bet.

I would lean towards the Suns but their inconsistent play at home against teams they should beat is maddening. AVOID the money line in this game.

Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

The Suns are favorites in this game at -8.5 (-110). They have not covered the spread in their last two games, in six of their last eight and in 10 of their last 13 contests. The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in their last four games. The last time they did cover was on the road against the Suns before the All-Star Break.

The Suns are 4-6 ATS on the second night of a back-to-back. They are 6-13 ATS as home favorites. Golden State has only won five games on the road all season but has covered the spread in 15 of 29 road games as underdogs.

This feels like a slam dunk. While Golden State might not win, they will certainly cover. Take the Warriors and the points at +8.5 (-110). 

Over/Under (O/U)

The total for Saturday’s game is set at 222.5 points. The Warriors’ last three games and five of their last six have gone Under. The Suns have had two of their last three go Over but five of seven have gone Under. All three of their previous matchups this season have gone Under.

Take the UNDER 222.5 (-106) tonight.

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @senorjessroot and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Denver Nuggets at Phoenix Suns odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s Denver Nuggets at Phoenix Suns sports betting odds, with NBA matchup analysis and picks.

The Denver Nuggets (36-16) are going to the Valley of the Sun to play the Phoenix Suns (21-31) at the Talking Stick Resort Arena Saturday night at 9:00 p.m. ET. We analyze Nuggets-Suns odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.

Nuggets at Suns: Key injuries

Nuggets

  • PF Jerami Grant (ankle) probable
  • SG Will Barton (knee) out
  • PF Paul Millsap (knee) probable
  • SF Michael Porter Jr. (ankle) out
  • Bol Bol (foot) out
  • PF Mason Plumlee (foot) out

Suns

  • SF Dario Saric (ankle) questionable
  • SG Tyler Johnson (knee) questionable
  • PF Frank Kaminsky (knee) out
  • Aaron Baynes (hip) out

Place a legal sports bet on this NBA action or other games at BetMGM.


Nuggets at Suns: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 1:40 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Suns 117, Nuggets 109

Moneyline (ML)

Phoenix snapped a four-game losing streak by destroying the Houston Rockets last night, 127-91, while the Nuggets have been playing well recently winning four of their last five games.

The absence of Barton could be major for the Nuggets. Barton is third on the team in points per game and is second in Win Shares. Since the Suns +135 actually have a better winning percentage on the road (11-14) compared to home (10-17), and the Nuggets -162 is too chalky of a number, PASS on moneyline wager in Nuggets-Suns.

Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

Phoenix is 3-5 against the spread record on back-to-backs, but both sides play comparably in their given rest situations: The Suns are 7-6 ATS with a rest disadvantage and the Nuggets are 7-6-3 ATS. Also, the spread situation favors the Suns—Phoenix has a 4-3 ATS record when getting 3-4.5 points and Denver is 1-5-1 ATS when laying those range of points. But, the Suns have covered their last three home games versus Denver.

When you factor in the Suns’ 5-4 ATS record as a home ‘dog and the Nuggets’ 6-8-1 ATS record as a road favorite then I like SUNS +3.5 (-110) in this game. 

Over/Under (O/U)

The officiating crew assigned to Nuggets-Suns leans me to BETTING OVER 218.5 (-106). Their combined Over/Under record on the season is 45-32 with an average total score of 223.9. Furthermore, Phoenix has a 6-2 O/U record on the second game of back-to-backs, the Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Phoenix and the Over is 6-0 in Nuggets last six games as a road favorite.

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @Geoffery_Clark and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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New York Knicks at Phoenix Suns odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Friday’s New York Knicks at Phoenix Suns sports betting odds and lines, with NBA betting picks, tips and best bets.

The New York Knicks (10-24) head to the Grand Canyon State to play the Phoenix Suns (13-21) at Talking Stick Resort Arena at 9 p.m. ET Friday. We analyze the Knicks-Suns odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.


Place a legal sports bet on this NBA action or other games at BetMGM.


Knicks at Suns: Key injuries

Knicks

  • SF Elfrid Payton (personal) questionable
  • PG Dennis Smith Jr. (oblique) questionable

Suns

  • PG Ricky Rubio (hip) probable
  • PF Frank Kaminsky (knee) doubtful

Knicks at Suns: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated Friday at 12:30 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Knicks 117, Suns 113

Moneyline (ML)

People are stuck on the early season horribleness of the Knicks (BetMGM oddsmakers included) and haven’t adjusted their power rankings on them since firing former head coach David Fizdale, and replacing him with interim bench boss Mike Miller Dec. 6. Under Miller, the Knicks have markedly improved, going 6-6 outright and 8-4 against the spread.

The Knicks have improved drastically in points per game, opponent’s PPG, field-goal percentage, margin of victory, opponent’s 3-point percentage, defensive rating, offensive rating, defensive rebounding percentage, and then I stopped tracking them. Point is, the Knicks were awful under Fizdale and they are respectable under Miller (through 12 games).

If you like an underdog to cover then there has to be a chance they win outright. Making a smaller wager on the moneyline, but a bigger bet on the spread, is a gambling angle I’ll take to maximize return on investment when betting underdogs. For example, place 30-50% of your total wager on the KNICKS (+225) because we’re going to take the Knicks with the points, as well.

New to sports betting? A $50 bet on the Knicks to win returns a profit of $112.50.

Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

Let’s back the Knicks in this matchup because they have recent success in their betting position compared to the Suns. To elaborate, the Knicks are 4-2 when they are 5-7-point underdogs, whereas the Suns have a 0-2 record as 5-7-point favorites. Also, the Knicks are 9-7 as road dogs and the Suns are 5-5 as home favorites.

Recent trends also give the Knicks a slight edge: They are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games while the Suns are 5-4-1. Combining these factors, and the moneyline handicap above, there is a ton of line value in the number. HAMMER the KNICKS (+6.5, -110).

New to sports betting? A $110 bet on the Knicks to lose by 6 or fewer points or win outright returns a profit of $100.

Over/under (O/U)

Neither team plays good defense. The Suns rank 19th in opponents’ PPG and defensive rating while the Knicks rank 17th in opponents’ PPG and 21st in defensive rating. Also, the Suns have the most Overs when playing at home in the NBA (12-5 Over/Under record).

Furthermore, I expect some revenge motivation from Knicks PF Marcus Morris who played for the Suns from 2012-2015. Morris has played above his averages in eight games he’s played against the Suns—16.5 PPG, .536 field-goal percentage and .452 3-point percentage (career averages: 11.9 PPG, .431 FG% and .367 3-point%). Finally, the Suns’ 20-14 Over/Under record (12-5 at home) has me leaning toward a tiny wager on OVER 224.5 (-121).

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @Geoffery_Clark and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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