The Denver Nuggets (36-16) are going to the Valley of the Sun to play the Phoenix Suns (21-31) at the Talking Stick Resort Arena Saturday night at 9:00 p.m. ET. We analyze Nuggets-Suns odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.
Nuggets at Suns: Key injuries
Nuggets
- PF Jerami Grant (ankle) probable
- SG Will Barton (knee) out
- PF Paul Millsap (knee) probable
- SF Michael Porter Jr. (ankle) out
- C Bol Bol (foot) out
- PF Mason Plumlee (foot) out
Suns
- SF Dario Saric (ankle) questionable
- SG Tyler Johnson (knee) questionable
- PF Frank Kaminsky (knee) out
- C Aaron Baynes (hip) out
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Nuggets at Suns: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 1:40 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Suns 117, Nuggets 109
Moneyline (ML)
Phoenix snapped a four-game losing streak by destroying the Houston Rockets last night, 127-91, while the Nuggets have been playing well recently winning four of their last five games.
The absence of Barton could be major for the Nuggets. Barton is third on the team in points per game and is second in Win Shares. Since the Suns +135 actually have a better winning percentage on the road (11-14) compared to home (10-17), and the Nuggets -162 is too chalky of a number, PASS on moneyline wager in Nuggets-Suns.
Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
Phoenix is 3-5 against the spread record on back-to-backs, but both sides play comparably in their given rest situations: The Suns are 7-6 ATS with a rest disadvantage and the Nuggets are 7-6-3 ATS. Also, the spread situation favors the Suns—Phoenix has a 4-3 ATS record when getting 3-4.5 points and Denver is 1-5-1 ATS when laying those range of points. But, the Suns have covered their last three home games versus Denver.
When you factor in the Suns’ 5-4 ATS record as a home ‘dog and the Nuggets’ 6-8-1 ATS record as a road favorite then I like SUNS +3.5 (-110) in this game.
Over/Under (O/U)
The officiating crew assigned to Nuggets-Suns leans me to BETTING OVER 218.5 (-106). Their combined Over/Under record on the season is 45-32 with an average total score of 223.9. Furthermore, Phoenix has a 6-2 O/U record on the second game of back-to-backs, the Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Phoenix and the Over is 6-0 in Nuggets last six games as a road favorite.
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