Switzerland takes on Spain in the Round of 16 Saturday. Kickoff from Eden Park is set for 1 a.m. ET (FS1) Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Switzerland vs. Spain odds, and make our best Women’s World Cup bets, picks and predictions.
Switzerland finished atop Group A with 5 points from 1 win and 2 draws and a +2 goal differential. It opened the group play with a 2-0 victory over the Philippines before notching 2 scoreless draws with New Zealand and Norway. This game should closely resemble its match with Norway, in which it had 49% possession and 8 shots. Switzerland, coming into the World Cup, placed as the 20th-best team per FIFA Women’s Ranking.
Spain entered ranked 6th and is among the favorites to win the tournament. It finished 2nd in Group C, finishing with 6 points via 2 wins and a loss. It opened with a 3-0 win over Costa Rica and a 5-0 victory over Zambia before being blanked 4-0 by Japan. It did end with 3 more shots than Japan and 77% possession, so from a technical perspective it was a fine performance outside of the final on the scoreboard.
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Switzerland vs. Spain odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 10:40 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Switzerland +675 (bet $100 to win $675) | Spain -255 (bet $255 to win $100) | Draw +360
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -105 | U: -135)
Switzerland vs. Spain picks and predictions
Prediction
Spain 1, Switzerland 0
Moneyline (ML)
PASS.
Many nations haven’t found it easy to score goals in the Women’s World Cup, and Switzerland is one of them, notching just 2 goals in 3 games.
That’s going to be problematic against Spain (-255), who scored 8. Spain might have been blown out in a game that didn’t impact if it would advance, but it is still the more technically sound and should be able to handle the pressure better.
Nonetheless, there’s no value in betting it to win outright. If anything, a Draw (+360) makes some sense considering the Swiss drew 2 top-30 nations, but I would pass here.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET UNDER 2.5 (-135).
There were 8 shots on goal against Switzerland throughout its Group Stage matches. That is mighty impressive defense and should serve as the key reason why Spain may be limited.
Despite Spain’s dominant efforts so far, it tallied all of its goals against Costa Rica and Zambia in one of the weaker groups. Against a nation that can possess like Switzerland, it may struggle to produce as many opportunities.
On the flip side, the Swiss had just 3 shots on goal against New Zealand and Norway combined. It should struggle to get quality chances as well.
Considering how both teams played in the group stage, take UNDER 2.5 (-135).
Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.
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