Phoenix Suns at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Phoenix Suns at Atlanta Hawks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Phoenix Suns (30-26) battle the Atlanta Hawks (27-28) Thursday. Tip from State Farm Arena is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Suns vs. Hawks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Hawks and Suns played Feb. 1 for the first time this season with Atlanta winning 132-100, covering as a 1.5-point road underdog. The Over 231.5 hit.

Phoenix is coming off a 116-112 win over the Brooklyn Nets Tuesday, failing to cover as a 7-point road favorite. The Suns are 4-2 against the spread (ATS) over their last 6 and are 30-26 ATS on the season.

The Hawks return home after going 2-3 on a 5-game Western Conference road trip, covering 3 of the 5 outings. They are coming off a 116-107 loss to the New Orleans Pelicans Tuesday, failing to cover as a 1-point road underdog. Atlanta is 24-31 ATS this season.

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Suns at Hawks odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Suns +225 (bet $100 to win $225) | Hawks -270 (bet $270 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Suns +6.5 (+100) | Hawks -6.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 228.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Suns at Hawks key injuries

Suns

  • G Devin Booker (groin) out
  • G Cameron Payne (foot) out

Hawks

  • None

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Suns at Hawks picks and predictions

Prediction

Hawks 120, Suns 112

Moneyline

PASS.

The Suns (+225) are too risky following their trade for F Kevin Durant. Phoenix will be without many key rotation pieces and Booker, who is injured. However, you can’t risk nearly 3 times your potential return with the Hawks (-270), either.

Against the spread

LEAN HAWKS -6.5 (-120).

While the Hawks haven’t been great for bettors throughout the season, they have performed well recently, covering 3 of their last 5. They are also coming off 9-point and 20-point losses, and are 14-12-1 ATS following a loss.

Atlanta has the pieces to neutralize C Deandre Ayton as well. With Booker and Durant not with Phoenix and Atlanta’s success after losing, back HAWKS -6.5 (-120).

Over/Under

BET OVER 228.5 (-110).

The Hawks have gone Over their projected total in 5 of their last 7 games. They have allowed at least 115 points in their last 2 and in 4 of their last 6 while also averaging the league’s 6th most points per game (116.1). They are 32-23 O/U this season.

The Suns have gone Over in 4 of their last 6 games as well. They have scored 116 points in 2 straight games. Given the recent success offensively for both teams, back the OVER 228.5 (-110).

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Phoenix Suns at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Phoenix Suns at Atlanta Hawks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Phoenix Suns (41-9) travel to the Big Peach Thursday to play the Atlanta Hawks (24-26). The tip-off at State Farm Arena is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Suns vs. Hawks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Phoenix has won 11 consecutive games with the latest being a 121-111 home victory over the Brooklyn Nets Tuesday as a 7-point favorite. The Suns have a 3-game cushion on the Golden State Warriors for first place in the West.

A Trae Young-less Atlanta had its 7-game win streak snapped Monday by losing 106-100 to the Toronto Raptors at home as a 2.5-point underdog. The Hawks are 5-1 straight-up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) over the last two weeks.

The Suns won their first meeting with the Hawks 121-117 Nov. 6 as 3.5-point home favorites. Phoenix G Devin Booker scored a game-high 38 points on 14-for-21 shooting (including 55.6% from behind the arc).

Suns at Hawks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:15 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Suns -180 (bet $180 to win $100) | Hawks +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
  • Against the spread: Suns -4.5 (-107) | Hawks +4.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 226.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Suns at Hawks key injuries

Suns

  • Deandre Ayton (ankle) probable
  • PF Jae Crowder (wrist) probable

Hawks

  • PG Trae Young (shoulder) questionable
  • SF De’Andre Hunter (ankle) probable

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Suns at Hawks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Suns 118, Hawks 109

Money line

PASS ON THE MONEY LINE.

Even though Phoenix is obviously the right side, and 16-2 SU as a road favorite while Atlanta is 1-3 SU as a home underdog, the -180 tag is just too pricey.

Against the spread

BET the SUNS -4.5 (-107) for 1 unit.

Phoenix has edges in the pick-and-roll (PnR), “clutch” situations and this is a better spot for the Suns, especially since they dominate bad defenses.

Both teams run a ton of PnR action through their All-Star point guards but I’ll literally take Suns’ Chris Paul over any other point guard in NBA history in a PnR battle. Phoenix also has better offensive efficiency than Atlanta in PnR action through the ball handler.

The Hawks are 27th in defensive rating and the Suns beat up on bad defenses. Phoenix is 15-2 SU versus bottom-10 defenses with the best adjusted net rating (plus-13.8) and the second-best ATS margin (plus-5.3), according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

The Suns will also blow past the Hawks if this game is close late. Phoenix is 20-3 SU in the “clutch” with the best net rating (plus-45.1) whereas Atlanta is 9-13 SU with the second-worst net rating (minus-21.2). “Clutch” is defined by games within a 5-point margin with five minutes remaining.

Finally, the Suns are 12-3 ATS as a road favorite with a plus-6.2 ATS margin and 6-3 ATS on the road versus teams with a winning record whereas the Hawks are 1-3 ATS as a home underdog with a minus-4.1 ATS margin.

BET 1 unit on the SUNS -4.5 (-107).

Over/Under

PASS ON THE TOTAL.

For what it’s worth, I “lean” towards the Over 226.5 (-108) because the Over has cashed in five straight Suns-Hawks meetings and Atlanta is 4-0 O/U in its last four home games versus a team with a winning record.

However, I’m staying away because we’d be getting to the party late since the Suns-Hawks total has been steamed up from the 224.5-point opener.

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Phoenix Suns at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Wednesday’s Phoenix Suns at Atlanta Hawks NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Phoenix Suns (47-18) wrap up their three-game road trip Wednesday night against the Atlanta Hawks (36-30). Tip-off is at 8 p.m. ET at State Farm Arena. Below, we analyze the Suns-Hawks odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

The Suns have won five straight games, including a 134-118 overtime win over the Cleveland Cavaliers Tuesday. They are currently in first place in the Western Conference.

The Hawks won the first two games of their three-game homestand. Currently in fifth place in the Eastern Conference, they are only 1.5 games ahead of the No. 7 seed, which would have to participate in the play-in games to make the postseason.

Suns at Hawks: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Suns -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Hawks -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Suns +1 (-115) | Hawks -1 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 229.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Suns at Hawks: Key injuries

Suns

  • PF Jae Crowder (ankle) out
  • SF Abdel Nader (knee) out
  • PG Cameron Payne (knee) questionable

Hawks

  • SG Bogdan Bogdanovic (hamstring) probable
  • SF De’Andre Hunter (knee) out
  • SF Cam Reddish (Achilles) out

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Suns at Hawks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Hawks 119, Suns 115

Money line (ML)

The Suns have allowed weaker opponents to stay close in recent games. Playing with the same energy and effectiveness will not work against a Hawks team trying to stay above the seven seed.

The Suns have won five straight games and three straight on the road, and they have the most road wins in the NBA this season. Atlanta is 20-11 at home and they will pick up the win.

Take the HAWKS (-110).

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Against the spread (ATS)

Both the Suns and Hawks have performed well against the spread. The Suns have the second-highest cover percentage in the league at 62.5%. The Hawks are eighth at 55.4%.

The Hawks won and covered the spread in six straight home games. The Suns covered the spread in four of their last five games.

Take the HAWKS -1 (-105).

Over/Under (O/U)

The Suns’ last three games and five of their last six went Over the projected total. They are 36-29-0 O/U this season and are allowing 119 points per game on this road trip.

The Hawks are allowing 105.5 per game in their current homestand. Take OVER 229.5 POINTS (-110).

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