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The Connecticut Sun (21-7) and New York Liberty (25-4) meet Saturday at Barclays Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Sun vs. Liberty odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Liberty lead 3-0
The Sun are on a back-to-back after squeaking by the Chicago Sky 82-80 Friday. G Marina Mabrey hit 5 triples to score 24 points off the bench, and F Alyssa Thomas had 12 points, 11 assists, 9 boards and 4 steals
The Liberty took care of the Dallas Wings 79-71 Thursday as they failed to cover as 11-point faves. That snapped a 7-game cover streak, but the team is 9-1 in their last 10. F Breanna Stewart had 19 points, 7 boards, 6 dimes and 3 steals Thursday. She has scored at least 13 points in 27 straight games.
Sun at Liberty odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:20 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Sun +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Liberty -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Sun +7.5 (-110) | Liberty -7.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 156.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Sun at Liberty picks and predictions
Prediction
Liberty 80, Sun 72
Moneyline
With the Liberty rested and at home, I don’t expect an upset here. If the Sun had not just played a barn burner Friday night, I would consider taking them since it’s really hard to beat a team 4 straight times in the regular season. In this case, it would be 9 straight times since 2023.
That said, -300 is too much for my blood. Instead, let’s SGP BREANNA STEWART 12 POINTS + LIBERTY -4.5 (-146) at a better price. As mentioned, she has 13+ in 27 straight.
Against the spread
The Liberty won by 8 on their home court against the Sun last time, and with the rest advantage, I’m pegging them to do it again.
Take LIBERTY -7.5 (-110) for a HALF-UNIT.
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Over/Under
The Liberty are averaging 85 PPG in their 8-game winning streak and really only blew that number out twice. They’re consistently in that 80-85 range, and they’d have to hit 90 to cash an Over here. New York’s last 3 games went Under, and Connecticut has cashed an Under in 2 of 3.
Take the UNDER 156.5 (-105).
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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