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The Connecticut Sun (27-10) and Las Vegas Aces (24-13) meet Sunday at Michelob Ultra Arena at Mandalay Bay Hotel and Casino. Tip-off is scheduled for 6 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Sun vs. Aces odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Aces lead 2-0
The Sun sit in 3rd place in the overall standings, so this is an important game for playoff seeding. The Aces are 3 games behind the Sun, while Connecticut is 1 game behind 2nd-place Minnesota.
Las Vegas has dominated this series, winning 5 of the past 6 in the series, while also going 5-1 against the spread (ATS) since 2022. That includes this season, as the Aces are 2-0 SU/ATS, while the Under has cashed in both outings.
Connecticut has won and covered 3 in a row, while the Under is 4-1 in the past 5 outings. The last loss for the Sun was Sept. 6 at Mohegan Sun Arena, 72-67, against the Aces as the Under (164.5) cashed.
Las Vegas has won 2 in a row, and 6 of the past 7 games. The Aces are an impressive 6-0-1 ATS in that span, while the Under has cashed in 5 straight outings.
Sun at Aces odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 2:37 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Sun +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Aces -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Sun +4.5 (-110) | Aces -4.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 159.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Suns at Aces picks and predictions
Prediction
Aces 82, Sun 75
Moneyline
Las Vegas (-225) will cost you more than 2 times your potential return. While the Aces have dominated this series this season, and in recent seasons, that’s way too much risk for not nearly enough reward.
Connecticut (+180) still has a lot to play for, as it jockeys for better playoff seeding. It’s tempting to play the Sun, but not against a red-hot Aces team which seems to be their kryptonite.
PASS.
Against the spread
Back LAS VEGAS -4.5 (-110) at home laying the points. The Aces were on an 0-9 ATS skid from July 12-Aug. 28, but they’ve turned things around with a 6-0-1 ATS run since Aug. 30, including a 72-67 win at Connecticut Sept. 6 as a 1.5-point favorite.
The Sun have pieced things together with 3 straight wins and covers, but all of those games have been against teams with a losing record, including a back-to-back at Los Angeles.
Over/Under
UNDER 159.5 (-110) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.
For Connecticut, the Under is 4-1 in the past 5 games, while going 8-4 across the previous 12 outings. The Under is 5-2 in the past 7 road contests for the Sun, too.
As far as Las Vegas is concerned, the Under has cashed in 5 straight outings, while going 13-4 across the past 17 meetings since July 10.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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