In a middleweight bout on Saturday’s main card, Sean Strickland and Krzysztof Jotko meet at UFC on ESPN 23 – also known as UFC Vegas 25 – at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The prelims kick off at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN2/ESPN+, with the main card on ESPN2/ESPN+ at 10 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the UFC on ESPN 23 Strickland vs. Jotko odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
UFC on ESPN 23 Strickland vs. Jotko: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:35 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Strickland -300 (bet $300 to win $100) | Jotko +240 (bet $100 to win $240)
- Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -190 | Under +160)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -150 | No +125)
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UFC on ESPN 23 Strickland vs. Jotko: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Strickland 22-3 | Jotko 22-4
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
This one has fight-of-the-night potential, and it’s rather surprising Strickland (-300) is considered such a heavy favorite considering the strong and fairly similar records of both fighters.
It might be because Strickland has a 5.09-to-2.98 significant-strikes-landed-per-minute advantage, and while each fighter is very similar in takedown average, Strickland has a 60.0-to-35.0 takedown-accuracy-percentage lead, too.
While Jotko has three straight wins via decision, Strickland should be able to end this one early. Two of Strickland’s past three fights have been KO/TKO victories. I like STRICKLAND BY KO/TKO, DQ OR SUBMISSION (+190) on the 5-way line with a chance to double up.
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Over/Under (O/U)
I like Strickland to post the stoppage, and as such, NO +125: WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is the play here. In fact, UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (+160) might also be a nice small-unit play, too.
In addition, playing a two-round block on STRICKLAND IN ROUND 1 (+450) and STRICKLAND IN ROUND 2 (+700) is a good play. Yes, you’ll lose one of the ends even if Strickland wins in one of the first two rounds, but you will still be well ahead.
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Want some action on UFC on ESPN 23? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
MMA Junkie:
- UFC on ESPN 23 weigh-in results: Two heavy; Reyes vs. Prochazka clear (usatoday.com)
- Photos: UFC on ESPN 23 ceremonial weigh-ins and faceoffs (usatoday.com)
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