The Dallas Stars (29-18-4) visit the New York Rangers (25-21-4) Monday night at 7 p.m. ET at Madison Square Garden. We analyze the Stars-Rangers odds and lines, while providing NHL betting tips around this matchup.
Stars at Rangers: Projected starting goalies
Ben Bishop vs. Henrick Lundqvist
Bishop is expected to make what would be his fourth start off the Stars’ bye week. Over the first three, he logged a .910 save percentage while picking up two wins. Bishop stopped 29 of 31 shots against the New Jersey Devils Saturday. For the season, he has registered a 2.31 goals against average and .925 save percentage over 34 starts and one relief appearance.
Lundqvist has posted a 3.05 GAA and .910 SV% across 26 games. He pitched a 33-save shutout against the Detroit Red Wings Saturday.
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Stars at Rangers: Odds, picks and betting tips
Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access them at USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 12 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Dallas 4, New York 1
Moneyline (ML)
Saturday, I noted there seemed to be “something” about Bishop starts in the Northeast. They don’t come around very often, but I decided to qualify that observation. Over his last nine starts (over three-plus seasons), Bishop has recorded a sparkling .940 SV% in such games.
With that comfort level between the pipes and some expected-goal statistics backing the Stars (-154), that’s the lean. The price isn’t quite right, so we’ll PASS in favor of the puck line.
Puck Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
Dallas has the puck-possession analytics pointing to more goal scoring. Some of that potential is tangled up with youth in the lineup. It’s a lineup that hasn’t exhibited dynamic scoring ability (C Tyler Seguin is the only player with more than 30 points), but there are some 20-, 22-, 23- and 24-year-olds showing the underlying skills backing more goals.
The likable side is most certainly the STARS (-1.5, +180). The price here is influenced by the fact the Stars haven’t logged a multi-goal margin in a road win since Jan. 9. Dallas was a play in this same corner — on the puck line — two nights back when the Stars had to sneak past the Devils, 3-2, in overtime.
Over/Under (O/U)
The Under is 18-6-3 in the Stars’ last 27 games as a road favorite, 5-1 in Dallas’ last five road games, 4-0-1 over New York’s last five games and 4-0 in the last four meetings between the Stars and Rangers.
The projected total of 5.5 is an equitable deal on both sides (-110). PASS.
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