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The Calgary Stampeders (5-11) and BC Lions (12-5) meet Friday at BC Place. Kickoff is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (CFL+/TSN). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Stampeders vs. Lions odds, and make our expert CFL picks and predictions.
The Stampeders covered the spread as 3.5-point home favorites with a 26-19 win last Friday vs. the Saskatchewan Roughriders as the Under (48.5) cashed. Calgary can secure a spot in the postseason with a win Friday, coupled with a Roughriders loss vs. the Toronto Argonauts on Saturday.
The Lions failed to cover as 3.5-point favorites in a 33-30 win at the Hamilton Tiger-Cats as the Over (50) hit last Friday. If BC wins Friday — and the Winnipeg Blue Bombers lose straight up as 11.5-point favorites vs. the Edmonton Elks Saturday — it will still have a shot at hosting the Western Final.
BC is 2-0 straight up and against the spread (ATS) vs. Calgary this year, and the Under has gone 1-0-1 in those meetings.
Stampeders at Lions odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 10:53 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Stampeders +330 (bet $100 to win $330) | Lions -410 (bet $410 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Stampeders +8.5 (-110) | Lions -8.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 49.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Stampeders at Lions key injuries
Stampeders
- WR Reggie Begelton (chest) available
- QB Jake Maier (not injury related) available
- DL Terrell McClain (ankle) out
Lions
- QB Vernon Adams Jr. (knee) available
- DB Jalon Edwards-Cooper (shoulder) out
- DB Adrian Greene (shoulder) out
- WR Keon Hatcher (hamstring) questionable
- RB Taquan Mizzell (ribs) available
- OL Chris Schleuger (oblique) doubtful
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Stampeders at Lions picks and predictions
Prediction
Stampeders 23, Lions 22
Moneyline
I question BC’s focus in this game, especially after Adams Jr. sustained a knee injury late in the 4th quarter at Hamilton last time out. Winnipeg has a less than 18% chance of losing to Edmonton Saturday, and a Blue Bombers loss still wouldn’t guarantee the Lions home field in the Western Final.
What we do know is that the Stampeders will be as focused as possible Friday in order to keep their playoff hopes alive. Calgary is in a must-win game to make the postseason, while the Lions are rolling out Adams Jr. fresh off a knee injury in an unlikely attempt to host the Western Final.
SPRINKLE on STAMPEDERS (+330).
Against the spread
Taking the points is the safer option in this game, especially since the Lions have no motivation to win by margin. They won the 1st 2 meetings this season by double digits and will need to protect Adams Jr. from reinjuring his knee. While I like Calgary’s odds to win straight up at +330, it is more probable that it keeps this game close and falls short at the end.
BET STAMPEDERS +8.5 (-110).
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Over/Under
The Under has hit in 4 straight Stampeders games.
The Under has also gone 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings between these teams. Calgary will be as focused as possible to win and make the playoffs for an 18th straight season, and its defense should help the Under hit vs. Adams Jr. off a knee injury.
BET UNDER 49.5 (-110).
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