Tag: St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees odds predictions pick betting line spread

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The St. Louis Cardinals (68-68) and New York Yankees (79-57) close out their weekend series in the Bronx with a Sunday matinee. The first pitch at Yankee Stadium is slated for 1:35 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Cardinals bounced back with a 6-5 Saturday win after losing Friday’s series opener 6-3. On Saturday, St. Louis went 4-of-6 with runners in scoring position; for the series the Redbirds are 7-for-12.

The Yankees have lost 3 of their last 4 games. They have not been impressive at home. New York is just 13-16 over its last 29 games at Yankee Stadium.

Cardinals at Yankees projected starters

RHP Miles Mikolas vs. LHP Nestor Cortes

Mikolas (8-10, 5.23 ERA) is lined up for his 28th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 in 149 2/3 IP.

• Last outing: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 7-5 loss vs. San Diego Padres Tuesday
• Career vs. Yankees: 1-0, 2.45 ERA (7 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 4 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 1 game
• Making this start on 4 days’ rest and has struggled with that interval in 2024 (5.15 ERA in 9 starts)

Cortes (8-10, 3.89 ERA) is making his 28th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 155 IP.

• Last outing: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 5-2 win at Washington Nationals Monday
• Career vs. Cardinals: 0-0, 3.38 ERA (5 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 1 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 1 game
• Has allowed just 1 run over his last 20 2/23 IP; that surge comes on the heels of posting a 9.26 ERA from July 11-Aug. 8

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Cardinals at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:12 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Cardinals +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Yankees -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals +1.5 (-115) | Yankees -1.5 (-105)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Cardinals at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, Cardinals 5

Moneyline

The analytics make for some lean away from the season ERAs, toward Mikolas and away from Cortes. Given the odds on the table, PASS on the ML. Better value can be found in taking the Cards plus a cushion.

Run line/Against the spread

Cortes has benefited from a .176 batting average on balls in play over his last 3 starts. Mikolas has been undone by a .337 BABIP with runners in scoring position.

St. Louis has played a higher-than-league-average number of 1-run games and is 25-18 in those. With New York’s issues at home and with the Redbirds having a bullpen advantage, there is decent value in projecting a game flow that gets St. Louis within 1 or in the lead when this game plays out.

TAKE ST. LOUIS +1.5 (-115).

Over/Under

The weather forecast for the day game at Yankee Stadium includes an outward-blowing breeze. Cortes is a fly-ball pitcher who does fare well at home, but also figures to be recent-bias overrated without merit.

St. Louis does not hit lefties well (.656 OPS), but that’s alongside some shaky BABIP luck. The Cards’ contribution to this total is likely being overlooked.

New York’s troubles at home have largely been pitching-related, not hitting. Add in a couple or 3 bullpen arms being 2 days’ seen; advantage batters.

BACK THE OVER 9 (-105).

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The St. Louis Cardinals (67-68) and New York Yankees (79-56) meet for the 2nd game of a 3-game series Saturday. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: New York leads 1-0

New York beat St. Louis 6-3 Friday as a -178 home favorite. RHP Marcus Stroman won his 3rd straight decision in 4 games, allowing 2 earned runs on 9 hits and no walks with 5 K’s in 7 innings.

Cardinals 3B Nolan Arenado hit a solo shot in the top of the 8th inning to cut the deficit to just 1 run, but Yankees C Austin Wells homered in the bottom of the 8th — his 2nd 2-run HR of the night — to give New York a 3-run lead.

Cardinals at Yankees projected starters

RHP Kyle Gibson vs. RHP Will Warren

Gibson (7-6, 4.54 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 140 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 7 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 2 K in 7-4 home setback vs. San Diego Padres Monday
• Career vs. Yankees: 2-7, 5.94 ERA (63 2/3 IP, 42 ER), 1.49 WHIP, 6.1 K/9 across 12 starts

Warren (0-2, 9.68 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.81 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 11.7 K/9 through 17 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 9-2 home defeat vs. Colorado Rockies Aug. 24
• Has never faced St. Louis

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Cardinals at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:10 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Cardinals +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Yankees -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals +1.5 (-140) | Yankees -1.5 (+115)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Cardinals at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Cardinals 4

Moneyline

PASS.

I like the Yankees to pick up the win as -175 home favorites, but with such a high theoretical hold, it is not worth the risk of betting on. Bet on the spread and/or total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

LEAN CARDINALS +1.5 (-140).

The Cardinals and Yankees are both 6-4 in their last 10 games overall, but St. Louis has a 5-2 edge over New York in the last 7 meetings.

This is a lean because New York is 72-63 ATS on the year, while the Cardinals are only 67-68.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 9.5 (-105).

The Under has hit in 3 of St. Louis’ last 4 road games and is 2-1 in the Cardinals’ last 3 overall. The Under is also 6-4 in the Cardinals’ last 10 games.

The Under is 3-1 in New York’s last 4 outings.

The Under has also hit in 2 of the last 3 meetings between these teams and is 6-4 in the last 10.

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The St. Louis Cardinals (67-67) and New York Yankees (78-56) open a 3-game series Friday at Yankee Stadium at 7:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Cards won 2-1 last year

The Cards won 2 straight to split a 4-game set with the San Diego Padres. They won 4-1 Thursday as SS Masyn Winn hit his 12th homer of the season. He doesn’t get enough recognition nationally because of how blah the Cards have been, but the 22-year-old is hitting .287 with 12 homers, 47 RBIs, 10 steals and a 4.8 WAR.

The Yanks dropped 2 of 3 in the nation’s capital against the Washington Nationals. They scored 2 runs Tuesday and Wednesday and fell 4-2 and 5-2. OF Juan Soto went 0-for-12 in the series against his former squad. The Yanks remain 1½ games in front of the Baltimore Orioles in the AL East.

Cardinals at Yankees projected starters

RHP Erick Fedde vs. RHP Marcus Stroman

Fedde (8-7, 3.31 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 149 1/3 IP with the Cardinals and Chicago White Sox.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 3-2 victory Sunday at Minnesota Twins
• 1-3, 4.23 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 6.8 K/9 in 5 GS with Cards
• 0-1, 5.02 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, 10 K in 14 1/3 IP over 3 career GS vs. Yankees

Stroman (9-6, 3.88 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 in 132 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Win, 5 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 10-3 home victory Sunday against Colorado Rockies
• Last 5 starts vs. St. Louis: 0-4, 5.04 ERA, 1.72 WHIP, 18 K in 25 IP

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Cardinals at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:05 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Cardinals +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Yankees -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals +1.5 (-140) | Yankees -1.5 (+115)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Cardinals at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 4, Yankees 3

Moneyline

The Cards and Yankees have squared off 6 times over the last 2 years, and the Cards won 5 of those meetings. That’s a little misleading because they were all at Busch Stadium. The Cards went to Yankee Stadium in 2017 and got swept.

The silver lining for me, though, is Stroman faced the Cards 3 times last year and went 0-3 with a 6.23 ERA. That team was one of the worst in baseball, and this offense isn’t much better, but some of the pieces that have haunted him remain. 1B Paul Goldschmidt is 11-for-27 (.407) with 3 homers lifetime against Stroman. OF Tommy Pham is 4-for-9 (.556) and 2B Brendan Donovan is 5-for-14 (.357).

If Fedde can limit the walks and keep the ball in the park, the CARDINALS +155 is a solid underdog play Friday.

Run line/Against the spread

I’m going to take a chance on ERICK FEDDE OVER 4.5 K’S (-110). He had 7 K’s in his last outing, and OF Aaron Judge is 1-for-6 with 4 K’s against Fedde lifetime. And that was before Fedde went overseas and became a much better pitcher.

Over/Under

It’s slated to be 71 degrees with a 7-mph breeze blowing in from right-center. The Cards are 3-7 O/U in their last 10, and the Yankees are 4-6. With both offenses kind of missing gears, I’m going with the UNDER 8.5 (+100).

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