The San Antonio Spurs (21-60) visit the Dallas Mavericks (38-43) Sunday. Tip from American Airlines Center is set for 3:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Spurs vs. Mavericks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
San Antonio fell 151-131 at home to the Minnesota Timberwolves Saturday, failing to cover as a 15.5-point underdog. The Spurs are just 2-8 in their last 10 games and 2-8 against the spread (ATS) in the same span. For the season, the Spurs are 32-49 ATS.
The Mavericks were eliminated from the playoff picture after a 115-112 home loss to the Chicago Bulls Friday — Dallas was a 2-point favorite. The Mavs are also 2-8 in their last 10 games and 3-6-1 ATS in that stretch. They are 30-48-3 ATS this season.
This will be the 4th matchup between these 2 teams as Dallas aims for a 4-0 sweep. The Mavs won 126-125 but failed to cover as 7-point road favorites in a late December contest. In late February, Dallas managed to cover a 14-point spread behind a 142-116 rout at home, and most recently, in mid-March, Dallas needed overtime to win and cover as a 4-point road favorite in a 137-128 victory.
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Spurs at Mavericks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:10 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Spurs +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Mavericks -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Spurs +4.5 (-115) | Mavericks -4.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): Off the board
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Spurs at Mavericks key injuries
Spurs
- Not yet submitted
Mavericks
- F Reggie Bullock (rest) out
- G Luka Doncic (thigh) out
- G Josh Green (rest) out
- F Tim Hardaway Jr. (ankle) out
- G Kyrie Irving (foot) out
- F Maxi Kleber (hamstring) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Spurs at Mavericks picks and predictions
Prediction
Mavericks 119, Spurs 117
Moneyline
PASS.
At -175 odds, the moneyline does not present any profitable play on the Mavericks in this matchup.
Against the spread
LEAN SPURS +4.5 (-115).
With the Mavericks’ top stars out, including Doncic and Irving, they will struggle to maintain their typical competitive advantage. They are just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games against a team with a losing road record, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Sunday games, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 day’s rest. They are also just 13-25-2 ATS at home this season.
Over/Under
At the time of this publishing, the O/U line was off the board. My play is to BET a FULL UNIT on any OVER of 233.5 or lower.
The Over is 4-1 in the Spurs’ last 5 games and 7-2 in their last 9 games playing on 0 day’s rest. For Dallas, the Over is 5-0 in its last 4 games against a team with a losing outright record.
The Over is 22-17-1 in the Spurs’ road games this season and 23-16-1 in the Mavs’ home games this season. The Over is also 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these 2 clubs, including 3-0 this season.
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