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Spain battles Italy in the 2nd matchday of Euro 2024 from Veltins-Arena in Germany Thursday. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Spain vs. Italy odds, and make our best Euro 2024 bets, picks and predictions.
Spain was a favorite in its 1st match against Croatia, but it wasn’t expected to come away from that battle with a 3-0 victory. Despite having 46% possession and 5 fewer shots, Spain made the most of its efforts. Spain is led by an ultra-talented midfield of Rodri, Pedri, and Fabián Ruiz. It sits 8th in the FIFA World Rankings and was 2-1-1 in its 4 friendlies prior to Euro 2024.
Italy, the nation that reigned supreme in the last Euro which technically took place in 2021, also came out on top in its 1st action, beating Albania 2-1 despite allowing a 1st-minute goal. It was a sizable favorite and ended with 9 more shots and 4 more on frame, also ceasing 69% of the possession. Italy has a slew of talented players, but is mainly run through Chelsea M Jorginho.
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Spain vs. Italy odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11:08 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Spain +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Italy +270 (bet $100 to win $270) | Draw +210 (bet $100 to win $210)
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +134 | U: -162)
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Spain vs. Italy picks and predictions
Prediction
Spain 2, Italy 1
Moneyline (ML)
BET SPAIN (+115).
Spain put on a dominant performance Saturday which was more about its younger generation taking over and less about Croatia’s struggles to possess. Spain has won 3 straight games in total and has tallied 13 goals in those. It won at least its last 6 EURO qualifiers and beat Italy 2-1 in the Nations League semifinal on June 15, 2023.
Italy, in its last 5 qualifiers, drew North Macedonia and Ukraine along with losing to England. In its 2 friendlies leading up to Euro, Italy drew Turkey 0-0 and beat Bosnia 1-0, 2 unimpressive efforts. It almost lost to Albania in its opener as well.
Considering those trends and for the value here, take SPAIN (+115).
Over/Under (O/U)
BET OVER 2.5 (+134).
Both teams scored earlier and often in their 1st match. Italy put in 2 goals in the first 20 minutes while Spain tallied all 3 in the 1st half. Italy has scored at least 2 goals in 3 of its last 5 international matches.
Meanwhile, Spain has tallied at least 3 goals in 4 straight games and in 6 of its last 7. It has a strong veteran forward in Alvaro Morata, who netted a goal in the 1st match for Spain.
Considering the success both sides had offensively, back OVER 2.5 (+134).
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