Euro 2024: Spain vs. Germany odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Spain vs. Germany odds and lines, with Euro 2024 expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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Spain battles Germany in a quarterfinal of Euro 2024 from Stuttgart Arena Friday. Kickoff is set for noon ET (FOX). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Spain vs. Germany odds, and make our best Euro 2024 bets, picks and predictions.

Spain, ranked No. 8 in the FIFA World Rankings,  is a co-favorite to win the tournament at +390 — England is also +390, while France is +440. Spain kicked off its Euro by dominating Croatia 3-0. It also beat Italy 1-0 and Albania 1-0, finishing the group stage as the only country to win each of its first 3 games. In the Round of 16, Spain defeated Georgia 4-1, despite going down 1-0 via an 18th-minute own goal. Spain finished with 35 shots (31 more than Georgia), including 13 shots on goal.

Germany has the 4th-best odds to win the tournament at +480. The Germans started off strong in the tourney as well, beating Scotland 5-1 and Hungary 2-01. They drew Switzerland, another quarterfinal nation, 1-1 in their final stage group match. Germany allowed 1 goal through the 3 group stage matches and was among 4 nations to allow 1 or fewer through the group stage. The host nation followed by defeating Denmark 2-0 in the Round of 16.

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Spain vs. Germany odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 7:35 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Spain +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Germany +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Draw +210 (bet $100 to win $210)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +106 | U: -130)

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Spain vs. Germany picks and predictions

Prediction

Spain 1, Germany 1

Moneyline (ML)

BET DRAW (+210).

These teams play a similar style, and both are going to allow little counterattacking. Each is technically sound in the midfield and should be able to possess well. Spain has looked dominant, but it only had 1 real challenge which resulted in a 1-0 win over Italy via an own goal for the Italians. Spain drew Brazil 3-3 in March and also lost 1-0 to Colombia in another friendly that month.

For Germany, it had a 1-1 draw in its only real challenge, Switzerland. In its other matches, it won a combined 7-1, and it had 2024 friendly wins over France and Netherlands. Germany is the host nation and has the resume to hang with a young and up-and-coming Spanish side.

These teams are as close as they come, and the odds represent that. Expect a game that hard-fought battle and back DRAW (+210).

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Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (-130).

Both teams allowed 2 or fewer goals during the group stage with neither team allowing 2 or more in a game. Germany hasn’t allowed multiple goals in any of its eight 2024 matches with games against Switzerland, Denmark, Netherlands and Germany. It has gone Under in 3 of its 4 Euro battles.

Spain has gone Under in 2 of 4 games and has allowed 1 goal through 4 games. It has scored 3 or more in 2 of 4 which gave way to the Over. However, Germany will have a defense capable of slowing down M Rodri and company.

Considering both teams’ strength defensively and the value here, back UNDER 2.5 (-130).

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2022 World Cup: Spain vs. Germany odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Spain vs. Germany odds and lines, with World Cup soccer expert picks, predictions and best bets.

Germany (0 wins, 1 loss, 0 draws) battles Spain (1-0-0) Sunday in a Group E  group stage match. Kickoff from Al Bayt Stadium is set for 2 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Spain vs. Germany odds, and make our best World Cup bets, picks and predictions.

Spain crushed Costa Rica in 1 of the more impressive 1st game displays. The No. 7 team in FIFA’s world rankings scored 7 goals on 8 shots on target while controlling possession for 82% of the time and holding Costa Rica without a single shot.

F Ferran Torres was the only player for Spain to score multiple times as 6 players managed to find the back of the net. The Spanish experience and poise looked better than ever.

Germany didn’t have similar success. FIFA’s No. 11-ranked team is considered one of the best teams in the tournament, but it lost 2-1 to Japan in their 1st game and now have their backs against the wall.

Germany had more than double the shots as Japan (26-12) and had 5 more shots on target (9-4). However, the only German goal was a penalty kick from M Ilkay Gundogan.

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Spain vs. Germany odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 6:52 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Spain +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Germany +195 (bet $100 to win $195) | Draw +275
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -135 | U: +115)

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Prediction

Spain 1, Germany 1

Moneyline (ML)

LEAN DRAW (+275).

Most of the action here should come on Spain and rightfully so. While Germany didn’t struggle in their opener, they did lose. They had 74% of possession and more than double the shots and shots on goal.

With GK Manuel Neuer and an extremely talented midfield, Germany should be able to limit Spain. Germany must get a result to stay in the tournament.

Spain is talented and has an equally impressive midfield, but considering what Germany needs and the passion they should be playing with, expect their side to push for any points.

I think they’ll get something here, and the Draw (+275) is the best money line value.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (+115).

The midfield is the strength for both sides as Spain has experience and poise in M Sergio Busquets. M Gavi, at 18 years old, is also a budding star. Expect his touch to help Spain.

While both teams did get 15-plus shots in their 1st game, the defense, and more specifically the goal keepers, should be of much higher class and help limit the goals.

Leading into the tournament, Spain’s only real competition in 2022 was a pair of matches against Portugal and Switzerland in which those games would have been 1-3 O/U.

This should be an intense game with quality touches and solid defending. I would back the Under 2.5 (+115) here.

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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