2023 Women’s World Cup: South Korea vs. Germany odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s South Korea vs. Germany odds and lines, with Women’s World Cup soccer expert picks, predictions and best bets.

South Korea (0-0-2) takes on Germany (1-0-1) in each nation’s final Group H match Thursday. Kickoff from Brisbane Stadium is set for 6 a.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the South Korea vs. Germany odds, and make our best Women’s World Cup bets, picks and predictions.

Germany entered the World Cup as one of the favorites to come out with the trophy. It looked every bit of that in a 6-0 win over Morocco to open up its tournament play on July 24. However, it lost 2-1 against Columbia Sunday, despite finishing with 5 more shots and 2 fewer shots on target. It also dominated possession with the ball for 68% of the match. Germany is FIFA’s 2nd ranked team in the world and will need a win to secure its advance to the knockout stage.

South Korea has disappointed with a 2-0 tournament-opening loss to Colombia on July 24 and a 1-0 loss to Morocco Sunday. It had just 2 fewer shots on goal than Colombia and managed just 43% possession. Against Morocco, it finished with 16 shots but none on frame. South Korea sits 17th in the FIFA World Rankings and cannot advance past this round even with a massive upset of Germany.

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South Korea vs. Germany odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 6:51 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: South Korea +1200 (bet $100 to win $1,200) | Germany -500 (bet $500 to win $100) | Draw +575
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -160 | U: +115)

South Korea vs. Germany picks and predictions

Prediction

Germany 4, South Korea 1

Moneyline (ML)

PASS.

While I wouldn’t call it a must-win scenario for Germany it could still be a vital game that it wouldn’t want to risk losing. Germany should be at the top of its game and is among the best nations in the world. It is a justified (-500) favorite but is far too expensive to play outright.

South Korea has lost both games and not even a draw is worth backing here.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET OVER 2.5 (-155).

Germany should be able to easily break through a porous South Korea defense. Germany will also have a physicality edge which should help it get more opportunities in front of goal. It scored 6 on Morocco.

Germany’s defense has also been subpar this year. It has allowed a goal in 4 of its last 5 games and allowed a goal to Vietnam and 3 to Zamia in summer friendlies. South Korea hasn’t scored yet in this tournament, but it managed 3 shots on goal against Colombia and 16 shots against Morocco. It could slip one past Germany here.

Expect a high-scoring game as South Korea should be playing with nothing to lose and Germany should want to dominate for the sake of its spot in the next round. Bet OVER 2.5 (-155).

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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