The Florida State Seminoles (17-2) visit John Paul Jones Arena to play the Virginia Cavaliers (13-6) Tuesday at 7 p.m. ET. We analyze the Florida State-Virginia odds and betting lines, with college basketball betting advice and tips around this matchup.
Florida State at Virginia: Three things you need to know
- Florida State beat Virginia in their first meeting, 54-50, keyed by the Seminoles sinking eight 3-pointers. The Cavaliers were able to hit only three shots from behind the arc.
- Both teams are coming off thrilling wins against conference opponents—Florida State beat Notre Dame 85-84 Jan. 25, and Virginia beat Wake Forest in 65-63 overtime Jan. 26.
- Florida State’s current No. 5 AP ranking is the school’s highest in Leonard Hamilton’s 18 years as head coach.
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Florida State at Virginia: Odds, betting lines and picks
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:50 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Florida State 60, Virginia 52
Moneyline (ML)
The Seminoles have a more talented core at the moment compared to a Virginia program which lost three players to the NBA from last year’s National Championship team. Florida State has played four RSCI Top-100 recruits while Virginia has had only three of their five RSCI top-100 recruits see action.
Florida State is a much more balanced team than Virginia. The Seminoles are ranked 66th in points per game and 71st in opponent PPG. The Cavaliers allow the fewest PPG but 350 schools are scoring more points per game. In three games against ranked opponents, Florida State is 3-0 with a plus-9.3 margin of victory and Virginia is just 1-1.
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Against the Spread (ATS)
Being that the line is just +/-1.5 points, we are going to PASS on betting against the spread and put our total Florida State-Virginia gambling allowance on the moneyline. If you wanted to take Florida State (+1.5, -121) it would make sense because the total is so low and the road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five head-to-head meetings.
Over/Under (O/U)
The projected total of 115.5 total is comically low in this game and I’m going to PASS. Their combined Over/Under record is 19-19, Virginia’s O/U record is 26-42 since 2015 and in Virginia home games this season the O/U is 4-7. There’s no way I’m throwing money at this total.
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