Updated NFC playoff standings after Week 17: Where do the New Orleans Saints clock in?
The New Orleans Saints pulled off a badly-needed win on Sunday against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, but where do the y rank in the updated NFC playoff standings? They’re still on the outside looking in for the postseason tournament, but another win next week (combined with some big help from other games) could clinch a playoff berth for New Orleans.
Here’s how the layoff picture looks after Week 17:
Winning their remaining games won’t be enough to clinch a Saints playoff berth. They need a lot of help from other teams:
The New Orleans Saints took an important step toward reaching the playoffs by beating the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday, but that alone won’t get them over the hump. Neither will a win in the regular-season finale next week against the Atlanta Falcons.
Because they tripped up and lost games to other teams in the wild-card race earlier this year, like the Minnesota Vikings, Green Bay Packers and Los Angeles Rams, the Saints are not in control of their own fate. So how can they get into the playoffs?
They’ll need a lot of help. As has been the case all year, their easiest path runs through the NFC South. The Saints must defeat the Falcons next week and hope for a Carolina Panthers upset over the Bucs. That’s easier said than done — this same Panthers team got shut out 26-0 by the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 17.
So what if the Saints don’t win the division? Could they still get in as a wild-card team? Technically, yes, but that window is rapidly closing and becoming less likely by the minute. The Rams survived a comeback effort by the New York Giants, so they’ll win any tiebreaker with the Saints at the end of the season. That means the Saints need the Seattle Seahawks to lose twice (to the Pittsburgh Steelers today and against the Arizona Cardinals next week) while also getting some help from the NFC North. And if the Seahawks beat the Steelers on Sunday afternoon, all of this is moot.
Whichever team wins on Sunday night — the Packers or Vikings — would be in conflict with the Saints in Week 18, and they each own head-to-head tiebreakers over New Orleans. So the winner of Sunday night’s game must lose next week, with the Seahawks also losing, while the Saints beat the Falcons team that got the better of them earlier this season. The Packers will host the Chicago Bears, while the Vikings visit the Detroit Lions.
If all three of those levers are pulled, the Saints will clinch the seventh playoff seed in the NFC. So it’s possible. It could happen. Stranger things have happened before in the NFL. But it isn’t likely given all of the different factors at play and each team’s schedule. The Saints made this bed for themselves. Now they have to sleep in it.
The Saints took a tough loss in the first game of Week 16. At the conclusion of the week, where are the Saints in the NFC playoff picture?
The New Orleans Saints were starting to climb up the NFC playoff picture with consecutive victories. However, a loss to the Los Angeles Rams derailed all momentum. The Saints finally played a playoff caliber team and fell short again.
The repercussions of the defeat are felt in the Saints playoff hopes. Attention now turns completely to the divisional race. Let’s take a look at why the wild card race feels like a difficult task.
This is the NFC playoff picture after Week 16’s action:
In remote Svalbard, halfway between the Norwegian mainland and the North Pole, a mysterious bunker is carved into Plateau Mountain. If you drive between the town of Longyearbyen and the Svalbard airport, you can see the entrance poking out of the snow and permafrost. But that’s as close as you’ll get. This high-security facility is the Svalbard Global Seed Vault. It houses backup seeds from around the world to ensure crop biodiversity.
It’s been called the “doomsday vault” because the seeds are waiting patiently to repopulate fields in case of war, drought, plagues of locusts, or other manmade or natural disasters. The vault holds more than 1 million samples from almost every country.
Why Svalbard?
More than 1,700 gene banks worldwide store food crop seeds for safekeeping. But not only are they vulnerable to major catastrophes, but also to simple problems like poor management and lack of funding. A freezer breaks? There goes your country’s biodiversity backup. That’s why a well-run global seed vault is so valuable.
Svalbard is located far from the world’s other gene banks. In fact, it’s the farthest north you can fly on a scheduled flight, making it remote but still accessible. Seed shipments only have to travel 10 minutes from the Svalbard airport. The area is above sea level, geologically stable, and has low humidity. Nowhere is immune from global warming, but Svalbard is one of the world’s coldest places. The vault is further cooled down to -18 degrees Celsius (-0.4 degrees Fahrenheit). But even if the cooling system were to fail, permafrost would keep the seeds viable for a long time.
How are seeds stored?
The Nordic Genetic Resources Centre runs the seed vault. Countries around the world can store seeds in the vault for free. Construction started in 2006, and the first seeds arrived in 2008.
Workers receive sealed boxes of seeds in a portal room. From there, they wheel them down a high-tech, watertight tunnel and deposit the seeds in one of three chambers. This should be enough storage for decades to come. But there’s plenty of room in the mountain to carve out more chambers if needed. The chambers house long shelves with colorful boxes made of plastic, wood, or cardboard.
Each depositing gene bank maintains ownership of its seeds. Only that gene bank can request to have its seeds returned. In 2015, Syria made the first withdrawal. The International Center for Agricultural Research in Dry Areas, originally located in the hard-hit city of Aleppo, requested that the Svalbard vault return 130 of its 325 boxes of deposited seeds to replace those damaged by war.
Those Syrian seeds were safely stored in Svalbard, alongside cowpea from Sudan, pearl millet from Zambia, heirloom seeds from the United States, and barley from the remote Pamir Mountains of Tajikistan, among about a million others.
Can you visit?
While tourists aren’t allowed inside this high-security facility (for obvious reasons), several tours take visitors to see the entrance. If you find yourself in remote Longyearbyen, consider booking a guided Seed to Summit hike, where you’ll learn all about the town’s coal mining history and pass the vault entrance. Or see the area by car on the two-hour Longyearbyen in a Nutshell tour.
Let’s try and find the silver lining on this storm cloud. The New Orleans Saints picked a good time to drop maybe their most frustrating loss of the season, with almost every other team ahead of them in the NFC playoff picture also coming up short. With the exception of the Arizona Cardinals, currently projected to win the No. 1 seed and the only postseason bye week that comes with it, the teams currently slotted in at Nos. 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6 are each coming off of a loss.
Here’s a quick look at the projected NFC playoff picture:
The New Orleans Saints beat the Seahawks head-to-head, and share records with the Green Bay Packers. So why are they the NFC’s third seed?
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The New Orelans Saints improved to an 11-3 record with their win over the Indianapolis Colts in Week 15, tying with one team they’ve already beaten (the Seattle Seahawks) and one that they haven’t (the Green Bay Packers) on top of the NFC playoff standings.
But the Saints are the third seed, not the first or second. If the playoffs started today, they would be hosting the sixth-seeded Minnesota Vikings while the Seahawks and Packers rest during their bye week. What gives?
It comes down in-conference win percentage. The Seahawks have the same record against other NFC teams as the Packers (8-2); they are both in better standing than the Saints (8-3). Normally, tiebreaking procedure for playoff seeding would go by overall record, and then head-to-head results. If it were just the Saints and Seahawks involved, the Saints would rank ahead.
But because the Packers are in the mix, that head-to-head ruling is thrown out the window. And because the Packers have earned a stronger record against NFC opponents than the Saints, they get the second seed behind Seattle. Because Green Bay is tied with the Seahawks and there is no head-to-head tiebreaker, the next step is to examine common opponents. And that’s where Seattle has an edge, having gone 4-0 against teams the Packers have a 2-2 record with.
This is why Saints fans should be pulling for the Seahawks to win the NFC West instead of the San Francisco 49ers, and why they should root for the Packers to drop another game (maybe next week, against the Vikings). If the Saints and Seahawks finish the year with identical records as the top two teams, the Saints can get the first seed and home-field advantage throughout the playoffs.
If it’s San Francisco instead, their head-to-head win over the Saints gives them that first seed. On top of that, the Packers have an easier road to claiming the first seed over the Saints, so for at least the next two weeks, Saints fans are pulling double-duty and backing up the 12’s. The Vikings could theoretically unseat the Packers on top of the NFC North and shake it all up, but that’s unlikely given Green Bay’s regular season finale with the lowly Detroit Lions.
For the curious, here’s how each of these teams looks against in-conference, plus the wild-card Vikings and 49ers. We aren’t going to worry about the NFC East winner, because the Dallas Cowboys and Philadelphia Eagles are both terrible (and mathematically don’t matter; the best record either of them can finish with is 9-7). Overall records are in bold text:
The New Orleans Saints strength of schedule is mediocre. The Green Bay Packers have it easy but the San Francisco 49ers are in for a shock.
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The second half of the NFL regular season is upon us, and it couldn’t have started worse for the New Orleans Saints. They air-balled what should have been an easy win over the Atlanta Falcons last Sunday, losing their grip on the second playoff seed in the NFC as the Green Bay Packers beat the Carolina Panthers and the top-ranked San Francisco 49ers suffered their first setback of the year to the Seattle Seahawks.
But Saints fans should feel optimistic about their fortunes moving forward, and their team’s chance to recover. New Orleans has just four games against opponents with winning records, including the 49ers (8-1), Panthers twice (5-4), and Indianapolis Colts (5-4), as well as the middling Tennessee Titans (5-5). There’s plenty of time for correction and improvement ahead of them.
According to NFL Research, the Saints’ second half schedule ranks near the middle of the pack, with their remaining opponents sharing a combined record of 33-31-0 (.516). Here’s how they rank among their peers:
Compare that to what other NFC playoff contenders are facing. The San Francisco 49ers are set to play the second-toughest schedule down the stretch, with their future opponents having gone 40-25-1 (.614); their odds of holding onto the top playoff seed in the conference are slim. However, the Green Bay Packers are in good position to maintain their one-game lead on the Saints in playoff seeding, with a relatively weak strength of schedule of 25-30-1 (.455) ahead of them. That’s the ninth-easiest second half schedule in the NFL.
As for the two-team race in the NFC South: the Carolina Panthers are still a few games behind the Saints, but their remaining strength of schedule at 32-32 (.500) is slightly easier to navigate than what New Orleans will see. If Carolina handles its business and the Saints continue to play down to their competition, it’s not impossible to see a path for the Panthers to steal a divisional title in the season’s final weeks. If New Orleans plays like they did last Sunday, they could be in for a rude awakening no matter how favorable their schedule looks on paper.