Tag: Seattle Mariners vs. Oakland Athletics odds predictions pick betting line spread

Seattle Mariners at Oakland Athletics odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Seattle Mariners at Oakland Athletics odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Seattle Mariners (80-69) and Oakland Athletics (82-67) swing into a four-game AL West series with Monday night affair at the Oakland Coliseum. First pitch is slated for at 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Mariners vs. Athletics odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Tyler Anderson is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners. In 27 starts this season, Anderson is 6-9 with a 4.14 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 7.4 K/9, and 2.0 BB/9 in 152 1/3 IP.

  • Owns a 4.93 ERA away from home (5.52 road ERA since 2019).
  • Current Oakland bats own a .776 OPS against him.

LHP Sean Manaea is the projected starting pitcher for the Athletics. He is 10-9 with a 3.95 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 9.9 K/9, and 2.1 BB/9 in 161 2/3 IP over 29 starts.

  • Coming off a Wednesday clunker at Kansas City. Allowed 5 ER on 9 hits in 5 IP. Has had other missteps in a down period since mid-August: owns a 6.00 ERA over his last six starts.
  • Has held current Mariners batters to an aggregate .587 OPS, .106 isolated power. Owns a 16-inning 0.56 ERA against Seattle in 2021.
  • Has been hindered by the traffic of a .316 batting average on balls in play.

Mariners at Athletics odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:15 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mariners +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Athletics -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mariners +1.5 (-135) | Athletics -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Prediction

Athletics 5, Mariners 3

Money line (ML)

The Mariners are continuing with a road trip that opened by taking two of three at Kansas City over the weekend. In a stretch that includes Seattle sweeping a two-game set at Oakland Aug. 23-24, the Mariners are 12-5 over their last 17 games.

Oakland returns from a six-game road trip with a five-game win streak in tow. The Athletics have bounced back from an August slump by going 12-8 over their last 20 games.

Seattle holds an 8-4 in the season series, but the A’s are a worthy home favorite with Monday’s pitching matchup. However, ATHLETICS (-190) might be a bit too chalky. PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The batter-pitcher matchups swing much to the favor of Manaea and the Athletics. Oakland owns a .764 OPS over its last 20 games. Seattle counters with a bottom-5 offense.

The A’s have been doubled up, eight games to four, but they’ve outscored the Mariners, 52-47. They are 4-2 in their last six games kicking off home stands.

The risk here is well-rewarded. BACK THE ATHLETICS -1.5 (+110).

Over/Under (O/U)

Manaea figures as better than his surface numbers. Seattle has benefited from some elevated BABIP figures in clutch situations, and the Mariners should be considered three-quarters of the way to an Under in just about any game.

And that’s the side here: TAKE THE UNDER 8.5 (-125).

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Seattle Mariners at Oakland Athletics odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Seattle Mariners at Oakland Athletics odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Seattle Mariners (68-58) and Oakland Athletics (70-56) cap off a two-game series at Oakland Coliseum Tuesday with a 3:37 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze the lines around the Mariners vs. Athletics odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Chris Flexen is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners. He is 10-5 with a 3.65 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 6.1 K/9, and 1.8 BB/9 over 133 1/3 IP through 23 starts.

  • Owns a fine 2.92 ERA with 24 2/3 IP over four starts in August.
  • Has been much better at home (2.70 ERA) than on the road (4.92 ERA).

LHP Cole Irvin is the projected starter for the Athletics. He is 9-11 with a 3.57 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 6.2 K/9, and 1.8 BB/9 across 141 1/3 IP over 24 starts.

  • Owns a 1.71 ERA over his last three starts at home.
  • Is a fly-ball pitcher (35.9% ground balls) who has been very fortunate in keeping balls in the yard. His home run/fly ball rate is an ultra-low 6.7%.

Mariners at Athletics odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:51 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mariners +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Athletics -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mariners +1.5 (-170) | Athletics -1.5 (+133)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Prediction

Athletics 6, Mariners 5

Money line (ML)

Seattle beat Oakland 5-3 Monday and has rallied after some early-August troubles to go 9-3 over its last 12 games. The Mariners have held foes to 3 or fewer runs in eight of those contests.

Oakland is a near inverse of Seattle’s recent trend. The Athletics were 9-2 over their first 11 games this month but are 2-7 with a 4.79 ERA since Aug. 15.

There is room for regression to the mean on both sides, hurting Seattle and helping Oakland. In the broader view, the A’s have been held back by an 18-22 record in 1-run games.

TAKE OAKLAND (-155).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on pricing that figures to obscure the true odds in between.

Over/Under (O/U)

There is a significant fade lean to these starting pitchers. Both are toting around expected-ERA figures that are about a run higher than their somewhat luck-aided surface figures, and both have substandard lines against the nines they face today (Oakland .805 OPS vs. Flexen, Seattle .957 OPS vs. Irvin).

Oakland Coliseum tends to be more of a hitter’s park in day games. The weather report for Tuesday calls for cool temps but a good deal of humidity and an outward breeze.

The best play in this meeting is the OVER 8.5 (-125).

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Seattle Mariners at Oakland Athletics odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Seattle Mariners at Oakland Athletics odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Seattle Mariners (67-58) visit the Oakland Athletics (70-55) Monday to begin a three-game set at Oakland Coliseum. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Mariners vs. Athletics odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Seattle prevented a three-game sweep by the Houston Astros with a 6-3 extra-innings victory Sunday and has won seven of the last 10 games.

Oakland dropped the last two of a three-game interleague set with the San Francisco Giants this past weekend and is just 3-7 over the past 10 games.

Season series: Mariners lead 6-4.

LHP Marco Gonzales makes his 18th start for the Mariners. Gonzales is 5-5 with a 4.10 ERA (94 1/3 IP, 43 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Win, 3-1, with 5 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 6 H, 1 BB and 3 K Wednesday at the Texas Rangers.
  • Gonzales is 1-0 with a 2.79 ERA (9 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 7 H, 3 BB and 10 K in two starts against Oakland this season.

RHP Paul Blackburn makes his second start for the A’s. Blackburn lost his first outing at the Chicago White Sox 3-2 Wednesday with a stat line of 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 3 BB and 3 K.

Mariners at Athletics odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:25 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mariners +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Athletics -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mariners +1.5 (-175) | Athletics -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Prediction

Mariners 4, Athletics 3

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the MARINERS (+115) for a half unit because they have the edge in starting and bullpen pitching.

For instance, Blackburn only gets the nod because A’s starting RHP Chris Bassitt is on the IL after taking a line drive off the head. Also, Gonzales is 2-0 in August with a 0.67 ERA (27 IP, 2 ER) and 21/4 K/BB.

Furthermore, Oakland’s lineup has been mediocre at home (23rd in wOBA and 14th in wRC+). On top of that, the A’s are just 5-7 with a minus-21.5% return on investment in home games against lefty starters as -140 favorite or less.

Lastly, I’m cool with fading the market with Seattle because the Mariners are just 3 games back of the A’s in the AL Wild Card standings, but I don’t think the betting public is hip to how feisty the Mariners are.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Even though Seattle has been money as an underdog this year with a 62.9% cover rate at 61-36 ATS, we still have to PASS on the Mariners +1.5 (-175) because their implied win probability is 63.64% at this price point. Maybe I’d lay it with Seattle’s run line if it were priced south of -160.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 8.5 (+100) for a quarter unit because the presumed sharp side of the market is backing the Under while the average Joe is betting the Over (according to Pregame.com)

In addition, Mariners are 5-12 O/U when Gonzales is on the mound, and the A’s are 4-8 O/U at home when facing a left-handed starter as a -140 favorite or lower.

However, my hesitancy is due to the slight “reverse line movement” we are seeing in the betting market. Despite more money being on the Under, the Over has the higher vig, which is a red flag.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Seattle Mariners at Oakland Athletics odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Seattle Mariners at Oakland Athletics odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Seattle Mariners (21-26) and Oakland Athletics (28-20) play the first of a three-game set Monday at RingCentral Coliseum with a 9:40 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mariners vs. Athletics odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Yusei Kikuchi is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners. He is 1-3 with a 4.32 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 9.5 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9 over 50 IP through 8 starts.

Kikuchi was pushed back by manager Scott Servais, giving the southpaw an extra day of rest since he hasn’t been feeling well recently. He has posted four straight quality starts, but he hasn’t won since April 29. The Mariners offense has provided him with just 6 runs of support during the four-game span.

RHP Frankie Montas is the projected starting pitcher for the Athletics. He is 5-3 with a 4.79 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 and 2.5 BB/9 over 47 IP through 9 starts.

Montas has allowed three or fewer runs in each of his past 5 starts. He coughed up 2 earned runs, 7 hits and 2 walks with 6 strikeouts in 5 innings in a loss against the Astros, snapping a three-start win streak.

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Mariners at Athletics odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:45 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mariners +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Athletics -155 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mariners +1.5 (-150) | Athletics -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (Over -105 | Under -115)

Prediction

Athletics 6, Mariners 3

Money line (ML)

The ATHLETICS (-155) are the play, as they have been fire in the first game of a new series lately. They’re 11-1 in the past 12 tries in Game 1 of a new set. They have also won five of the past seven divisional games.

Conversely, the Mariners have dropped six in a row, while going 0-7 in the past seven as road dogs, and 3-8 in the past 11 overall as an underdog. They have also dropped four straight series openers.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The ATHLETICS -1.5 (+125) are worth a look at home, based on their solid numbers in the series. They have won four of the past five meetings with the Mariners in the Bay Area, and Seattle is also 0-4 in their past four series openers, too.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 7.5 (-105) has consistently cashed for both of these teams recently. Yes, the Mariners have not given Kikuchi very good run support of late, but the Over is 7-0-1 in the past eight games on the road for the M’s. The Over is also 5-1 in the past six games inside the division.

The Over is still 7-1 in the past eight games overall for the A’s, and 4-1 in the past five games at home. The Over is also 19-7-1 in the past 27 divisional games for the A’s.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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