Tag: Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins odds predictions pick betting line spread

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The Seattle Mariners (20-17) and Minnesota Twins (21-15) meet Thursday as they put a bow on a 4-game series in Minneapolis. The opening pitch in the Target Field matinee is slated for 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 2-1

Seattle is closing out a 7-game road trip. The Mariners are 9-9 across 18 road games this season.

Minnesota hit 3 HRs in Wednesday 6-3 triumph that saw the Twins lead wire-to-wire. Minnesota has 15 extra-base hits in this series and has slugged a .502 since April 22.

Mariners at Twins projected starters

RHP Logan Gilbert vs. RHP Pablo Lopez

Gilbert (3-0, 1.69 ERA) is making his 8th start. He has a 0.79 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 48 IP.

• Last outing: Win, 8 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 4 BB, 6 K in 5-0 win at Houston Astros Saturday
• Career vs. Twins: 2-0, 1.69 ERA (16 IP, 3 ER), 14 H, 3 BB, 18 K
• Has held current Twins batters to an aggregate .624 OPS
• Owns a 3.07 ERA on the road since 2022

Lopez (3-2, 4.30 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 37 2/3 IP.

• Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 3-1 win vs. Boston Red Sox Saturday
• Career vs. Mariners: 0-1, 3.00 ERA (12 IP, 4 ER), 12 H, 3 BB, 15 K

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Mariners at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:22 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Mariners +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Twins -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
• Against the spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-210) | Twins -1.5 (+170)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Mariners at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 5, Twins 3

Moneyline

The starters have some fade and play to their numbers when looking at actual-vs.-expected analytics. Its an equation favoring Lopez, who also in past match-ups with current Seattle batters has held them to a .584 OPS.

The Seattle bullpen has a 2.64 ERA, which ranks 3rd in MLB. But that figure has been propped up by a .250 batting average on balls in play.

The Mariners have been a swing-and-miss bunch against right-handers. The Twins’ run scoring and prevention so far (4.67 runs per game, 4.28 RPG allowed) is mostly supportable when looking an underlying indicators.

BACK THE TWINS (-125).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS: Better relative value can be found on the ML.

Over/Under

The Over is 2-1 in this series and 4-1 across the last 5 Seattle-Minnesota meetings.

The Twins have an .858 OPS over their last 16 games, and it’s a lean into those numbers that produces just the slightest OVER 7 (+100) lean on a day with a decent breeze expected to help the pitchers.

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The Seattle Mariners (20-16) visit the Minnesota Twins (20-15) on Wednesday night. First pitch from Target Field is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Mariners beat the Twins 10-6 on Tuesday to cover as +147 road underdogs as 5 Seattle players had at least 1 RBI, led by C Cal Raleigh‘s grand slam.

Minnesota failed to cover as a -160 home favorite in Tuesday’s loss. C Ryan Jeffers had a 3-run HR while RHP Jorge Alcala allowed 4 ER in 2 IP and took the loss.

Mariners at Twins projected starters

RHP George Kirby vs. RHP Chris Paddack

Kirby (3-2, 3.76 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 0.94 BB/9 and 9.63 K/9 in 38 1/3 IP.

• Mariners 3-4 in his 7 starts
• Has allowed 2 or fewer ER in each of his last 4 starts.
• Has given up 16 ER and 2 HR with 4 BB and 41 K

Paddack (3-1, 4.78 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.47 WHIP, 1.97 BB/9 and 7.59 K/9 in 32 IP.

• Twins are 5-1 in his 6 starts
• Has not allowed an earned run in 2 of his last 3 starts.
• Has allowed 17 ER and 5 HR with 7 BB and 27 K

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Mariners at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:06 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Mariners -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Twins -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+150) | Twins +1.5 (-185)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Mariners at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 4, Mariners 3

Moneyline

BET TWINS (-105).

Minnesota is 8-2 in its last 10 games and has won 3 of its last 5 at home. It has scored 5 or more runs in 6 of its last 10 games while allowing 5 or fewer runs in 8 of its last 10. Seattle has dropped 2 of its last 4 on the road and has scored 3 or fewer runs in 7 of its last 9.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is no value on the run line.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-115).

Seattle has failed to hit the Over in 9 of its last 10 games and has scored 3 or fewer runs in 7 of its last 9 games while allowing 3 or fewer runs in 7 of its last 10. Minnesota has hit the Under in 3 of its last 5 and has scored 3 or fewer runs in 3 of its last 4 games.

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The Seattle Mariners (19-16) and Minnesota Twins (20-14) play the 2nd game of a 4-game series at Target Field Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 1-0

The Mariners dropped Monday’s opener 3-1. The series lid-lifter was a pitchers’ duel with just 7 total hits.

With Monday’s win, Minnesota bounced back after having a 12-game win streak snapped Sunday. The Twins are 13-1 with a robust .861 OPS since April 22.

Mariners at Twins projected starters

RHP Emerson Hancock vs. RHP Bailey Ober

Hancock (3-3, 4.75 ERA) is making his 7th start and 10th of his career. The 24-year-old has a 1.29 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 30 1/3 innings.

• Last outing: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 5-2 loss vs. Atlanta Braves Wednesday
• Has never faced Twins before

Ober (3-1, 4.55 ERA) is lined up for his 7th start. He owns a 1.04 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 31 2/3 innings.

• Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 10-5 win at Chicago White Sox Wednesday
• Career vs. Mariners: 2-0, 4.20 ERA (15 IP, 7 ER), 12 H, 2 BB, 15 K in 3 starts

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Mariners at Twins odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Mariners +122 (bet $100 to win $122) | Twins -144 (bet $144 to win $100)
• Against the spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-164) | Twins -1.5 (+136)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Mariners at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 5, Twins 4

Moneyline

The Mariners took 2 of 3 from the Twins when these 2 clubs met at Target Field last season. Prior to Monday’s setback, Seattle had been 7-3 over its last 10 road games.

Albeit in a small sample size, current Seattle bats own an aggregate .846 OPS off Ober (ESPN). Both bullpens have been quite good through the 1st 6 weeks of the season, but Seattle’s is in better shape at the back end after Monday’s and recent-game usage.

BACK THE MARINERS (+122).

Run line/Against the spread

Would be interested in Seattle +1.5 at around -160. But PASS at the current tag.

Over/Under

Actual-vs.-expected offense produced would indicate more offense in the tank for both sides. The Twins have played a particularly tough slate of pitchers, so they are a continuing pick to click with the bats (and likely an auto Over lean in many upcoming games).

Both bullpens have top-10 ERAs. And both are in fade territory with overall expectations relative to those surface figures. And again, the back end of Minnesota’s pen is in potential fatigue mode.

TAKE THE OVER 8 (-112).

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The Seattle Mariners (19-15) and Minnesota Twins (19-14) clash Monday as they swing into a 4-game series in Minneapolis. The opener at Target Field has a scheduled start time of 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: 1st meeting of 2024; Seattle took 4 of 7 games in 2023

Seattle is coming off taking 2 of 3 games at Houston over the weekend and is 7-3 with a tidy 2.02 ERA over its last 10 games.

The Twins lost to the Boston Red Sox 9-2 Sunday, snapping a 12-game win streak. Since April 22, Minnesota has smacked an .876 OPS while scoring 6.62 runs per game.

Mariners at Twins projected starters

RHP Luis Castillo vs. RHP Simeon Woods Richardson

Castillo (3-4, 3.46 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 in 41 2/3 innings.

• Last outing: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 3-2 win vs. Atlanta Braves Tuesday
• Career vs. Twins: 1-1, 5.63 ERA (24 IP, 15 ER), 28 H, 7 BB, 31 in 5 starts
• Owns a 2.86 ERA, allowing a mere .416 OPS over his last 3 starts

Woods Richardson (1-0, 2.45 ERA) is tabbed for his 4th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 14 innings.

• Last outing: No-decision, 3 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 6-5 win at Chicago White Sox Tuesday
• Has never faced Mariners before
• Owns a 4.07 ERA in 24 1/3 career IP

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Mariners at Twins odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:43 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Mariners -126 (bet $126 to win $100) | Twins +108 (bet $100 to win $108)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+136) | Twins +1.5 (-164)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: -102)

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Mariners at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 5, Twins 4

Moneyline

The Mariners took 2 of 3 from the Twins when these 2 clubs last met at Target Field. Seattle is 7-3 over its last 10 road games.

Castillo has pitched quite well of late after a dodgy start to his 2024 campaign. He thrives on 5 days of rest, which is his interval coming into this start. Castillo gives the visiting nine a significant mound edge in this match-up, and the Twins figure to be a couple games too far out over their skis with their record.

BACK THE MARINERS (-126).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS; the Seattle side above has better relative value.

Over/Under

The Over is 5-2 across the last 7 series meetings.

Castillio is still the preferred side of this pitching match-up, but the Twins bring a lot of lefty bats to the party, and that cuts into a Castillo weakness.

Actual-vs.-expected offense produced would indicate more offense in the tank for both sides. The Twins have played a particularly tough slate of pitchers, so they are a continuing pick to click with the bats (and likely an auto Over lean in many upcoming games).

Both bullpens have top-10 ERAs. And both are in fade territory with overall expectations relative to those surface figures.

TAKE THE OVER 7.5 (-120).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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