Tag: Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers odds predictions pick betting line spread

Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Seattle Mariners (64-61) and Los Angeles Dodgers (73-52) play the opener of a 3-game set at Dodger Stadium Monday at 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Dodgers won 3-0 last year

The Mariners snapped a 5-game losing streak with a 10-3 laugher against the Pittsburgh Pirates Sunday. C Cal Raleigh stroked his 27th homer of the season in the win. The M’s are 4 games out in the AL West and 5½ out of a Wild Card.

The Dodgers took 2 of 3 in St. Louis over the weekend with a 2-1 nailbiter victory Sunday. DH Shohei Ohtani hit homers No. 38 and 39 Saturday and Sunday as he closes in on a 40-40 season. They’ve won 7 of 10, but the NL West race has tightened with San Diego just 3 games out.

Mariners at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Bryan Woo vs. RHP Gavin Stone

Woo (5-1, 2.06 ERA) makes his 15th start of the season. He has a 0.85 WHIP, 0.8 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 74 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 3-2 setback in 10 innings Wednesday at Detroit Tigers
  • Has never faced Dodgers
  • Last 7 starts: 2-0, 2.45 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 32 K in 36 2/3 IP

Stone (10-5, 3.63 ERA) makes his 23rd start of the season. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 121 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 7-2 victory Tuesday at Milwaukee Brewers
  • Has never faced Seattle
  • Home/road splits: 3-1, 3.68 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 6.4 K/9 in 11 home starts; 7-4, 3.59 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 7.6 K/9 in 11 road starts

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Mariners at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:05 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Dodgers -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-190) | Dodgers -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Mariners at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 3, Mariners 1

Moneyline

I’m really high on Woo, and he will keep his team in the game. However, I’m fading the Seattle offense. Before yesterday’s 10-run output, they scored 2, 3, 1, 2 and 1 in the previous 5 games.

Take the DODGERS -145.

Run line/Against the spread

Speaking of Woo, he has fanned 5+ batters in his last 3 starts and 4 of 5. They’re giving us plus-money for him to do it again. Take BRYAN WOO OVER 4.5 K’S (+115).

Over/Under

The only way this goes Over is if Woo implodes, and I just don’t see that happening. He has allowed 10 ER in his last 7 starts combined. The Dodgers scored 2 runs in each of Saturday and Sunday’s tilts with 1B Freddie Freeman nursing a finger injury.

Take the UNDER 8 (+100).

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Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The St. Louis Cardinals (22-15) wrap up their three-game road set Wednesday with the Milwaukee Brewers (20-17) at American Family Field. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cardinals vs. Brewers with MLB picks and predictions.

This is the rubber match of the series with St. Louis winning Tuesday 6-1 in 11 innings and Milwaukee taking Wednesday’s game 4-1.

Season series: Brewers 3-2.

RHP Jack Flaherty makes his eighth start for the Cardinals. Flaherty is 6-0 with a 2.83 ERA (41 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 0.94 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Win, 5-0, in 7 IP with 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB and 6 K against the Colorado Rockies Friday.
  • Career vs. the Brewers: 2-6 with a 5.72 ERA (61 1/3 IP, 39 ER), 1.34 WHIP and 12.5 K/9 over 12 starts.
    • Vs. Brewers on the current roster: 101 at-bats with a .248/.339/.436 slash line, 39/13 K/BB, 5 HR and 15 RBIs.

RHP Corbin Burnes returns after a two-week stint on the IL to start for the Brewers. Burnes is 2-2 with a 1.53 ERA (29 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 0.55 WHIP, 0.0 BB/9 and 15.0 K/9 over 5 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 8-0, in 5 IP with 4 ER, 8 H, 0 BB and 9 K vs. the Miami Marlins April 26.
  • Career vs. the Cardinals: 1-2 with a 4.91 ERA (25 2/3 IP, 14 ER), 1.48 WHIP and 14.7 K/9 across 5 starts and 3 relief appearances.
    • Vs. Cardinals on the current roster: 70 at-bats with a .243/.293/.529 slash line, 33/3 K/BB, 5 HR and 10 RBIs.

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Cardinals at Brewers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 5:27 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cardinals +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Brewers -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Cardinals +1.5 (-200) | Brewers -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under: 6.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Brewers 4, Cardinals 0

Money line (ML)

GIMME the BREWERS (-135) for 1 unit because before Burnes was sidelined with an injury he was pitching as good as anyone not named Jacob deGrom and Milwaukee has owned Flaherty in recent meetings.

Statcast grades Burnes in the 94th percentile or higher in hard-hit rate, expected wOBA, expected slugging percentage, chase rate, whiff%, K% and BB%.

Compare that to Flaherty, who’s in the 38th percentile of hard-hit rate and 20th percentile in chase rate.

Also, Flaherty has lost four straight starts vs. the Brewers and has a 7.27 ERA (26 IP, 21 ER) in his last five starts against the Brew Crew.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS even though insurance either way would be awesome considering each ball club is sending their ace to the mound, but the +1.5 for either team is too expensive.

If Milwaukee’s lineup had OF Christian Yelich available and wasn’t bottom 10 in wOBA, wRC+ and WAR, then maybe I’d take a shot with Brewers -1.5 (+165).

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 6.5 (+100) since both starting pitchers are on top of their game and both lineups are terrible vs. right-handed pitching.

Both the Cardinals and Brewers are bottom 10 in wRC+, wOBA and BB/K against righties.

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