Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Houston Astros (86-72) welcome the Seattle Mariners (81-77) to Minute Maid Park Wednesday for the finale of their 3-game series. First pitch is set for 2:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mariners vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 7-5

The Astros beat the Mariners 4-3 in the 2nd game of the series Tuesday after losing 6-1 to open it Monday.

Houston has lost 2 of its last 3 yet is 4-2 over its last 6. The Astros have found a rhythm offensively, scoring 8 or more runs in 3 of their last 5 games. They are 46-34 at home and 81-77 against the spread (ATS).

The Mariners beat the Texas Rangers in 2 of 3 prior to facing Houston after losing 2 of 3 to the New York Yankees before that. They are 35-45 on the road and 68-90 ATS.

Mariners at Astros projected starters

RHP George Kirby vs. LHP Yusei Kikuchi

Kirby (13-11, 3.60 ERA) makes his 33rd start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 1.1 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 185 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 8-2 road win over the Texas Rangers Friday
  • 2024 away stats: 7-6, 4.03 ERA (102 2/3 IP, 46 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 7.8 K/9 in 18 starts
  • Career vs. Astros: 2-0, 1.56 ERA (34 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 0.93 WHIP, 8.0 K/9 in 6 starts

Kikuchi (9-9, 4.19 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 in 169 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 3-1 home win over the Los Angeles Angels Thursday
  • 2024 home stats: 4-7, 4.13 ERA (98 IP, 45 ER), 1.15 WHIP, 10.7 K/9 in 17 starts
  • Career vs. Mariners: 1-0, 0.52 ERA (17 1/3 IP, 1 ER), 0.87 WHIP, 11.9 K/9 in 3 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Mariners at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 8:28 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Astros +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+140) | Astros +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Mariners at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 5, Astros 3

Moneyline

BET MARINERS (-135).

The Mariners have 2 things: The better starting pitching and the motivation to play their best. Houston has clinched the AL West and a playoff spot, and the Mariners are still on the outside looking in, starting the day 2 1/2 games out of the final Wild Card spot.

Seattle has won 4 of Kirby’s last 5 starts as well and has won 4 of its last 6 games. It has scored at least 5 runs in 4 of its last 5 games, so as long as Kirby can keep Houston’s offense as bay, Seattle should be able to come out on top. Back MARINERS (-135).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s no great value here.

The Mariners are too risky as a run-line favorite and aren’t worth a play while the Astros are too expensive as a run-line underdog considering they’ve already clinched a playoff spot.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7 (-105).

Both offenses have been hot over the last week. The Mariners are 3-1-1 O/U in their last 5 games, scoring at least 6 runs in 3 of those games. They have allowed at least 4 runs in 3 of their last 4 games as well.

The Astros are also 3-1-1 O/U in their last 5 and have given up at least 6 runs in 2 of their last 3 games. Considering those trends, back OVER 7 (-105).

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Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

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The Seattle Mariners (81-76) take on the Houston Astros (85-72) Tuesday in the 2nd game of a 3-game set at Minute Maid Park at 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mariners vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 7-4

The Mariners are playing with desperation, as they’re 4 games out in the AL West and 1½ games out of a Wild Card spot. They’ve won 4 of 5 after a 6-1 victory against the ‘Stros Monday. RHP Bryce Miller allowed 2 hits and struck out 5 over 7 shutout frames. OF Julio Rodriguez had 3 hits and 2 RBIs. J-Rod is 12-for-21 (.571) with 3 homers and 11 RBIs over his last 5 games.

The Astros’ magic number is 2. That means if they win Tuesday or Wednesday, they clinch the AL West. They’ve dropped 2 straight now, and they’ve given up 15 runs in the process. They’ve allowed 4+ runs in 4 straight games. That’s just something to keep an eye on down the stretch. OF Kyle Tucker is hitting .356 with 3 homers and 6 RBIs over the last 15 days.

Mariners at Astros projected starters

RHP Logan Gilbert vs. LHP Framber Valdez

Gilbert (8-11, 3.24 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has an MLB-leading 0.90 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 through 197 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 9 K in 3-2 home victory Thursday against New York Yankees
  • Last 5 starts vs. Astros: 3-1, 2.45 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 26 K in 33 IP

Valdez (14-7, 2.85 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 through 170 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 4-0 defeat Wednesday at San Diego Padres
  • Last 5 starts vs. Mariners: 0-3, 6.58 ERA, 1.85 WHIP, 25 K in 26 IP

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Mariners at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 1:15 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Astros -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-200) | Astros -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Mariners at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 5, Astros 3

Moneyline

Valdez’s numbers against Seattle are glaring. The Mariners have had trouble scoring runs for a couple of seasons now, and Valdez has a 6.58 ERA against them over 26 IP.

The MARINERS +120 keep Houston’s champagne on ice one more day.

Run line/Against the spread

Gilbert has been striking out everyone and their mother of late. His last 7 GS K numbers: 9, 7, 10, 9, 10, 7, 6. Take LOGAN GILBERT OVER 5.5 K’S (-125).

Or if you wanna get wicked with it, SGP LOGAN GILBERT OVER 5.5 K’S + OVER 5.5 TOTAL RUNS (+150) and slap that Any Sport No Sweat Token sitting in most BetMGM accounts on it.

Over/Under

The wind is blowing out at 7 mph on an 85-degree evening. Add that with the Astros’ recent problems allowing runs and Valdez’s rough past against Seattle.

I’m taking the OVER 7 (-115).

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Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Houston Astros (85-71) welcome the Seattle Mariners (80-76) to Minute Maid Park Monday for the 1st game of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 8:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network/ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mariners vs. Astors odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 6-4

The Mariners lost to the Texas Rangers Sunday 6-5 to close out that 3-game series. They did win 2 of 3 against the Rangers after losing 2 of 3 to the New York Yankees in the series prior. Seattle is 6-3 over its last 9 game and is 5 games behind Houston for the AL West lead and 2 games out of the final AL Wild Card spot. The Mariners are 66-90 against the spread (ATS) and 34-44 on the road.

The Astros had their 3-game winning streak snapped Sunday, dropping the final game of their series with the Los Angeles Angels 9-8. Houston lost 2 of 3 on the road to the San Diego Padres prior to that. Houston boasts a 45-33 record at Minute Maid Park. It is 81-74 ATS.

Mariners at Astros projected starters

RHP Bryce Miller vs. RHP Hunter Brown

Miller (11-8, 3.06 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 173 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 4 BB, 8 K in 2-1 home loss to the New York Yankees Wednesday
  • 2024 away stats: 5-5, 4.44 ERA (77 IP, 38 ER), 1.14 WHIP, 6.4 K/9 in 14 starts
  • Career vs. Astros: 3-1, 3.18 ERA (28 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 0.95 WHIP, 6.4 K/9 in 5 starts

Brown (11-8, 3.57 ERA) makes his 30th start and 31st appearance. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 164 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 4-3 road win over the San Diego Padres Tuesday
  • 2024 home stats: 5-4, 3.49 ERA (80 IP, 31 ER), 1.20 WHIP, 9.1 K/9 in 14 starts
  • Career vs. Mariners: 1-2, 5.73 ERA (22 IP, 14 ER), 1.86 WHIP, 13.1 K/9 in 5 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Mariners at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated Sunday at 10:27 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Astros -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-165) | Astros -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Mariners at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 4, Astros 3

Moneyline

BET MARINERS (+125).

The Astros haven’t consistently won with Brown on the mound, going 2-3 in his last 5 starts and 14-16 in games he has pitched. They are 7-7 in his home starts.  At the same time, the Mariners have played very well on the road as of late. They won 2 of 3 at the Rangers and have won 6 of their last 8 road games. The Astros, while they have won 3 of their last 4, have allowed 20 runs in their last 3 games, so their defense has left much to be desired.

At these odds, back MARINERS (+125).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s no great value here. The Mariners are too expensive to take as a run-line underdog, and the Astros are too risky to play as a run-line favorite. Avoid this play.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-115).

The Astros, while their defense and pitching struggled against the Angels, have still gone 3-4 O/U in their last 7 games. They are 63-87-5 O/U on the season and are 1-2 O/U in Brown’s last 3 starts.

The Mariners are 1-5-2 O/U in Miller’s last 8 starts. He is among their best pitchers. Both teams have a solid starting options which should result in few runs for the 1st several innings. Seattle has allowed 16 total runs in its last 5 games.

Play UNDER 8 (-115).

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Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Seattle Mariners (18-15) and Houston Astros (12-21) wrap up a 3-game series at Minute Maid Park on Sunday. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Mariners won 5-0 Saturday behind RHP Logan Gilbert as moderate underdogs (+125) as the Under (7.5) cashed. Seattle has won 3 of the past 5 games, while going 12-5 since April 15. The Under is 10-0-1 in the past 11 games, while the total has gone low at a 20-2-1 clip in the past 23 outings.

The Astros had won 5 of 6 games prior to Saturday’s loss, as Houston had started to show signs of life after some uncharacteristic early-season struggles. The offense has picked up the pace, averaging 7.5 runs per game in 6 outings prior to Saturday’s shutout loss. The Under is still 13-2-1 in the past 16 outings, as the pitching he allowed 5 or fewer runs in 4 straight, and 8 of the past 9 outings.

Mariners at Astros projected starters

RHP Bryce Miller vs. RHP Hunter Brown

Miller (3-2, 2.04 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 0.88 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 35 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 10 K in 2-1 home win vs. Atlanta Braves last Monday
  • 2024 road splits: 1-1, 1.64 ERA, 11 IP, 2 ER, 7 H (2 HR), 5 BB, 12 K with .179 opponents’ batting average (OBA) and 1.09 WHIP in 2 starts

Brown (0-4, 9.78 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 2.22 WHIP, 5.5 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 23 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 5 H (2 HR), 2 BB, 7 K in 10-9 home win in 10 innings vs. Houston Astros on Tuesday
  • 2024 home splits: 0-1, 4.70 ERA, 15 1/3 IP, 9 R (8 ER), 14 H (3 HR), 7 BB, 15 K with .250 OBA and 1.37 WHIP in 3 starts

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Mariners at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:08 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Astros -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-210) | Astros -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Mariners at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 5, Astros 3

Moneyline

The MARINERS (+100) are a solid play at even-money in this series finale.

It’s a simply reason to take Seattle — starting pitcher. Miller has been sharp all season, and a strong Braves offense was confounded trying to solve him last time out.

The Astros (-120) are favored despite the fact Brown is going for the home side. He has been atrocious this season, allowing 5 or more runs in 3 of his past 5 starts, while conceding 5 HR in the past 5 starts.

Run line/Against the spread

The Mariners +1.5 (-210) will cost you more than 2 times your potential return, which is way too much risk for not enough reward. If you like Seattle, play it straight up, especially behind one of its best pitchers.

PASS.

Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-105) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.

The Under has dominated for both of these teams. The total has gone low in all 6 of Miller’s starts, too, while going an amazing 20-2-1 in the past 23 games.

For the Astros, the Under is actually 2-1 in Brown’s past 3 assignments, mainly due to a lack of offensive support. The opposition has scored 5 or more runs in each of his 6 starts to date.

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Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Seattle Mariners (66-55) open a 3-game series against the Houston Astros (70-52) on Friday at Minute Maid Park. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 5-2

The Mariners picked up a 3rd straight win with a 6-4 victory over the Kansas City Royals Thursday. Seattle is in 3rd place in the AL West and is 6 games behind the Texas Rangers atop the division and 1/2 game back of the Toronto Blue Jays for the final AL Wild Card.

The Astros cruised to a 12-5 victory over the Miami Marlins Wednesday for a 2nd consecutive win. Houston is in 2nd place in the AL West, 2 1/2 games back of Texas, and holds the 2nd AL Wild Card.

Mariners at Astros projected starters

RHP Bryce Miller vs. RHP J.P. France

Miller (7-4, 4.04 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 91 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 2R (1 ER), 5 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 5-3 home loss vs. Baltimore Orioles Sunday
  • 2023 road stats: 2-2, 5.15 ERA (36 2/3 IP, 21 ER) over 7 starts
  • One career start vs. Astros: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 5 K in a 3-1 home win on May 7

France (9-3, 2.74 ERA) makes his 17th start and 18th appearance. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 through 102 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 11-3 home win vs. Los Angeles Angels Saturday
  • 2023 home stats: 4-1, 3.58 ERA (50 1/3 IP, 20 ER) in 8 starts
  • One career start vs. Mariners: No-decision, 5 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 5 K in a 7-5 road loss on May 6

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Mariners at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Astros -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-165) | Astros -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Mariners at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 4, Mariners 3

Moneyline

France has been credited with a win in each of his 4 starts since the All-Star break, so I’ll take the ASTROS (-145) at home in Friday’s divisional matchup. Both of these teams have had recent stretches of success, but Houston has the slight edge at home.

Run line/Against the spread

Go ahead and PASS on wagering on the run line in this game as the Mariners should keep this game competitive. That being said, I wouldn’t take Seattle with the run of insurance unless you can get it at -160 odds or better.

Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (+100) is the play Friday with Miller and France pitching well in recent starts. Miller has given up 1 or fewer earned runs in 4 of his 6 starts since the All-Star break, while France has surrendered 2 or fewer earned runs in his last 4 starts.

The Under is also 4-1 in the last 5 meetings this season.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Seattle Mariners (44-44) and Houston Astros (50-40) wrap up a 4-game set Sunday at Minute Maid Park. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 4-2

The Mariners lost 3-2 as +122 underdogs in the 3rd game of the series on Saturday. Seattle has won 6 of its last 8 contests and is 3rd in the AL West, 7 games back of the division-leading Texas Rangers.

The Astros bounced back on Saturday after dropping the first 2 games of the series. Houston is 2 games behind the Rangers for the lead in the division.

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Mariners at Astros projected starters

RHP Logan Gilbert vs. RHP Brandon Bielak

Gilbert (6-5, 3.82 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 through 101 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 9 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 7 K in a 6-0 win at San Francisco Giants Tuesday
  • Career vs. Astros: 2-2, 4.15 ERA (39 IP, 18 ER), 39 H, 4 HR, 8 BB, 36 K across 7 starts

Bielak (4-4, 3.81 ERA) makes his 10th start and 11th appearance. He has a 1.51 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 54 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 4 BB, 4 K in a 4-1 home win vs. Colorado Rockies Tuesday
  • Career vs. Mariners: 1-1, 3.20 ERA (19 2/3 IP, 7 ER), 22 H, 2 HR, 8 BB, 13 K in 1 start and 7 relief appearances

Mariners at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Astros +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+125) | Astros +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Mariners at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 4, Astros 3

Moneyline

Seattle is 6-1 in its last 7 games vs. right-handed starters and 4-1 in its last 5 road games.

Houston should struggle to beat Seattle in back-to-back games while missing both OF Yordan Álvarez (oblique) and 2B José Altuve (oblique).

BET MARINERS (-135).

Run line/Against the spread

It’s unlikely that the Astros will go this entire series without covering the run line at least once. Houston +1.5 (-155) should hit, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the run line when Seattle ML is the better play. Bet the ML and/or the total instead.

PASS.

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Over/Under

The Under is 4-1 in Seattle’s last 5 games and 3-1-1 in Houston’s last 5 vs. starters with a WHIP under 1.15.

The Under is 5-2-1 in the Astros’ last 8 games vs. the AL West and should hit again Sunday with both starters coming off great performances last time out.

BET UNDER 8 (+100).

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Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Seattle Marlins at Houston Astros and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Seattle Mariners (44-43) and Houston Astros (49-40) meet Saturday for Game 3 of a 4-game series. First pitch from Minute Maid Park is set for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 4-1

Seattle won 10-1 as -104 road favorites to take a 2-0 series lead Friday. Houston scored the 1st run in Friday’s game during the 3rd inning thanks to a 3B Alex Bregman RBI single. That 1-0 lead didn’t last for long, as the Mariners struck back with a 9-run 4th inning to take a commanding 9-1 lead that proved to be too much for the Astros to overcome.

The Mariners have now won back-to-back games and are 6-1 in their last 7 games overall. The Astros have dropped back-to-back games but still sit at 8-4 in their last 12 overall. Houston is 24-21 at home on the season while Seattle is 20-23 on the road.

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Mariners at Astros projected starters

RHP Bryan Woo vs. LHP Framber Valdez

Woo (1-1, 4.08 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 12.2 K/9 through 28 2/3 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 7 K in a 6-5 road win Monday vs. San Francisco Giants
  • 1-1 with a 5.00 ERA, 1.28 WHIP in 4 road starts vs. 0-0, 2.53 ERA, 0.94 WHIP in 2 home starts
  • First career start vs. Houston

Valdez (7-6, 2.49 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 through 105 IP.

  • Last outing: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 3 BB, 6 K in a 4-2 road loss June 27 vs. St. Louis Cardinals
  • Career vs. Seattle: 5-0, 1.94 ERA (51 IP, 11 ER), 33 H, 20 BB, 53 K through 9 appearances (7 starts)

Mariners at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Astros -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-185) | Astros -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Mariners at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 5, Astros 4

Moneyline

LEAN MARINERS (+115). 

This is a risky bet, so bet lightly, and if you are confident in the Astros at (-140) you could place a small wager on them as well.

Both of these teams are very evenly matched, in fact they are both 5-5 in the last 10 Seattle-Houston meetings. Seattle is 6-4 in their last 10 while the Astros are 7-3 in their last 10. The Mariners are 4-1 in Woo’s last 5 starts and Houston is 3-2 in Valdez’s last 5 starts. I think the Mariners are slightly hotter in recent matchups just because they have won back-to-back games and their last 4 vs. Houston, giving them the slight edge.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I believe in the Mariners at +1.5 (-185) to cover here, but the line is simply not worth the juice. Bet on the moneyline and/or O/U instead.

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 7.5 (-105). 

For Seattle, the Over is 6-4 in their last 10 overall and 3-0 in each of Woo’s last 3 starts. For Houston the Over is 5-4-1 and 2-1 in Valdez’s last 3 starts vs. Seattle. The Over is also 3-2 in the last 5 meetings overall.

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Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Seattle Mariners (43-43) and Houston Astros (49-39) play the 2nd game of a 4-game set Friday at Minute Maid Park. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 3-1

The Mariners won 5-1 as -138 favorites in the series opener on Thursday. Seattle has won 5 of its last 6 games and is 4th in the AL West, 7 games behind the division-leading Texas Rangers.

The Astros have won 7 of their last 9 games and 6 of those wins were by multiple runs. Houston is 2 games back of the Rangers for the lead in the division.

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Mariners at Astros projected starters

RHP Luis Castillo vs. RHP Hunter Brown

Castillo (5-6, 3.05 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 in 100 1/3 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 6 R (4 ER), 7 H, 0 BB, 6 K in a 7-6 home win vs. Tampa Bay Rays Sunday
  • Has allowed more than 3 ER in just 1 of his last 8 starts
  • Career vs. Astros: 1-0, 4.15 ERA (13 IP, 6 ER), 7 H, 1 HR, 7 BB, 12 K in 2 starts

Brown (6-5, 3.76 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 in 91 innings.

  • Last outing: Loss, 4 IP, 3 ER, 10 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 5-2 loss at Rangers Saturday
  • Has allowed more than 3 ER in just 1 of his last 5 starts
  • First career start vs. Mariners

Mariners at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:05 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Astros -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+155) | Astros +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Mariners at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 5, Mariners 4

Moneyline

Houston is 4-1 in its last 5 home games and should bounce back after a bad loss in the series opener.

Seattle is just 3-8 in its last 11 games after allowing 2 or fewer runs in its previous contest, and Castillo had 1 of his worst starts of the season last time out.

BET ASTROS (-110).

Run line/Against the spread

Houston +1.5 (-190) should hit, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the run line when the Astros should win straight up. Bet the ML and/or the total instead.

PASS.

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Over/Under

The Over is 6-2 in Houston’s last 8 games after a loss and 6-2 in its last 8 at home vs. right-handed starters.

The Over has hit in 4 of Seattle’s last 5 games vs. AL West teams and should cash again Friday, especially if Castillo has another below-average performance.

BET OVER 7.5 (+100).

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Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Seattle Mariners (42-43) begin a 4-game series against the Houston Astros (49-38) on Thursday at Minute Maid Park. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 2-1

The Mariners were blanked by the San Francisco Giants 2-0 on Wednesday, snapping a 4-game winning streak. Seattle is 8 games back of the Texas Rangers in the AL West.

On Wednesday, the Astros defeated the Colorado Rockies 6-4, extending their winning streak to 4 games. Houston is 8-2 in its last 10 contests and is only 2 games back of the Rangers atop the division.

The Astros are expected to call up RHP Ronel Blanco to start Thursday’s series opener.

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Mariners at Astros projected starters

RHP George Kirby vs. RHP Ronel Blanco

Kirby (7-7, 3.21 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 0.8 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 101 innings.

  • Has pitched at least 6 innings in 13 of his 16 starts
  • Has walked 1 or fewer batters in 38 of his 41 career starts

Blanco (2-0, 4.73 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.53 WHIP, 5.0 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 40 innings.

  • Has allowed multiple runs and walks in each of his 5 starts
  • Has surrendered 2 HRs in 4 of his 5 starts

Mariners at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:18 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners -115 (bet $115 to win $100 | Astros -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+140) | Astros +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Mariners at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 4, Mariners 3

Moneyline

Even with Kirby on the mound for the Mariners, I’ll side with the ASTROS (-105) at home. The Mariners are 14-37 in the last 51 road meetings against the Astros and 21-52 in the last 73 meetings overall.

Houston is also 42-19 in its last 61 games against a team with a losing record.

Run line/Against the spread

The Astros should win Thursday’s divisional matchup outright, so I’ll PASS on their run line at the current odds (-165).

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Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-120) is the play in this contest despite the Astros swinging a hot bat and Blanco consistently giving up runs. Houston is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games overall and in its last 5 games against teams in the AL West.

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ALDS Game 2: Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros Game 2 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Seattle Mariners and the Houston Astros will square off Thursday at Minute Maid Park in Game 2 of a best-of-5 AL Division Series. First pitch is scheduled for 3:37 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mariners vs. Astros odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Series: Astros lead 1-0; they won the regular-season series 12-7

The Mariners suffered a heartbreaking loss in Game 1 on Tuesday as SP Robbie Ray gave up a walk-off HR to OF Yordan Alvarez to erase a 4-run deficit in the later innings for the Astros. Seattle was coming off of an impressive comeback win over the Toronto Blue Jays in an AL Wild Card Series, so Tuesday’s loss could be demoralizing.

Despite the Astros getting a forgettable outing from SP Justin Verlander (6 ER in 4 IP), they still managed to come away with an 8-7 victory at home thanks to Alvarez’s heroics in the 9th inning. Houston looks to take a 2-0 lead heading to Seattle for Game 3.

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Mariners at Astros projected starters

RHP Luis Castillo vs. LHP Framber Valdez

Castillo (8-6, 2.99 ERA) makes his 27th start (13th with the Mariners). He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 10 K/9 in 150 1/3 IP.

  • Started Game 1 of the Wild Card Series vs. Blue Jays: 7 1/3 IP, 6 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 5 K
  • The Mariners have gone 7-5 in his first 12 starts with the team

Valdez (17-6, 2.82 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 3 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 201 1/3 IP.

  • Has been credited with the win in 8 of his last 11 starts
  • July 30 vs. Mariners: 7 IP, 5 H, 3 ER, 1 BB, 7 K

Mariners at Astros odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:11 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners +133 (bet $100 to win $133) | Astros -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-165) | Astros -1.5 (+127)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -120 | U: -101)

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Mariners at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 6, Mariners 4

Moneyline

I’ll just go ahead and PASS on the moneyline in this game as I believe the Astros will jump out to a 2-0 lead in the series. Even though I think Houston wins, the odds aren’t worth taking straight up.

Run line/Against the spread

ASTROS -1.5 (+127) is an enticing wager with it being plus odds for them to win by multiple runs at home. Houston has won by 2-plus runs over Seattle in 10 of its 13 wins against the Mariners this season.

You can take ASTROS -0.5 FIRST 5 INNINGS (-105) as an alternative if you don’t believe they’ll win Thursday by multiple runs.

Over/Under

No pitcher is safe in this series if Verlander is giving up 6 ER in a game. Even with 2 stud pitchers taking the mound Thursday, both teams are swinging hot bats right now.

OVER 6.5 (-120) is the ideal choice in this game after the Mariners and Astros combined for 15 runs in Game 1. The Over is 12-5 in the last 17 meetings in Houston.

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