Seattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Seattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Seattle Mariners (63-58) and Detroit Tigers (58-63) meet Thursday to close a 3-game series. First pitch from Comerica Park is set for 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Detroit leads 4-1

Detroit escaped with a 3-2 win in 10 innings over Seattle Wednesday while covering as a +124 home underdog. After trailing 2-0 the Tigers scored 3 unanswered runs, including PH Akil Baddoo‘s walkoff double in the bottom of the 10th.

The Mariners have lost back-to-back games after entering this series on a 4-game win streak while the Tigers have won 3 straight. Detroit has won by only 1 run in 2 of its last 3 wins.

Mariners at Tigers projected starters

RHP Bryce Miller vs. RHP Alex Faedo

Miller (9-7, 3.46 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 132 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 6 K in a 6-0 win over the New York Mets Friday
  • Career vs. Detroit: 2-0, 0.00 ERA (12 IP, 0 ER), 8 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 2 starts

Faedo (5-3, 3.62 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 54 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 1 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 3 BB, 1 K in a 3-1 loss at San Francisco Giants Saturday
  • Career vs. Seattle: 0-1, 4.50 ERA (6 IP, 3 ER), 4 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 1 start

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Mariners at Tigers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:48 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Tigers +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+100) | Tigers +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Mariners at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 4, Mariners 2

Moneyline

PASS.

I slightly lean toward the Tigers to cover here as +135 underdogs, but their odds feel safer on the run line and I don’t like doubling down. If you’d like, you can divvy up units backing Detroit between both the ML and run line, but I advise betting on the spread and/or total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

BET TIGERS +1.5 (-120).

Detroit is the hotter team entering this matchup, being 6-4 in its last 10 while Seattle is only 5-5 in its last 10, and being 7-3 in the last 10 Seattle-Detroit matchups.

The Tigers have also been the much better spread team this year, being 64-57 ATS while the Mariners are only 51-70 ATS.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-105). 

The Under has hit in 2 of Seattle’s last 3 road games and is 6-4 in Seattle’s last 10 overall. For Detroit, the Under is 2-1 in its last 3 home games.

The Under has also hit in 3 of the last 4 Seattle-Detroit matchups in Detroit, being 7-3 in the last 10 meetings overall.

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Seattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Seattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Detroit Tigers (56-63) welcome the Seattle Mariners (63-56) to Comerica Park Tuesday for the 1st game of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tigers lead 2-1

The Tigers avoided a sweep in their 3-game series by beating the San Francisco Giants 5-4 Sunday. Detroit beat the Mariners in 2 of 3 on the road in the series prior. Detroit is 4-8 over its last 12 games and sits 4th in the AL Central. It is 26-31 at home and 62-56 against the spread (ATS).

The Mariners swept the New York Mets in their last series, closing that out with a 12-1 win Sunday after posting to shututs. They have scored 22 runs in their last 3 games while allowing just 1. Seattle is 6-3 over its last 9 and has jumped to 2nd in the AL West. They are 26-30 on the road and 51-68 ATS.

Mariners at Tigers projected starters

RHP George Kirby vs. LHP Tarik Skubal

Kirbe (8-8, 3.13 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 1.0 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 141 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 6-2 home loss to the  Tigers Wednesday
  • 2024 away splits: 3-5, 3.46 ERA (75 1/3 IP, 29 ER), 1.06 WHIP, 10 HR, 7.6 K/9 in 13 starts
  • Career vs. Tigers: 1-3, 6.16 ERA (19 IP, 13 ER), 1.53 WHIP, 9.9 K/9 in 4 starts

Skubal (13-4, 2.57 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 0.93 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 in 143 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 9 K in 6-2 road win over the  Mariners Wednesday
  • 2024 home splits: 7-1, 2.41 ERA (71 IP, 19 ER), 0.90 WHIP, 5 HR, 10.4 K/9 in 11 starts
  • Career vs. Mariners: 2-0, 3.00 ERA (12 IP, 4 ER), 0.92 WHIP, 13.5 K/9 in 2 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Mariners at Tigers odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:56 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners -108 (bet $108 to win $100) | Tigers -108 (bet $108 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+168) | Tigers +1.5 (-205)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -122 | U: +100)

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Mariners at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 4, Tigers 2

Moneyline

BET MARINERS (-108).

The Mariners have been on fire over the last week, winning 4 straight games and outscoring their opponents 26-4 in those. Seattle also beat the Philadelphia Phillies in 2 of 3 from Aug. 2-4.

The Tigers have been awful at home of late. They have lost 6 of their last 7 home games, with 5 of those losses coming by 4 or more runs. Detroit has struggled throughout the entire season at home.

Take MARINERS (-108).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Given how close the moneyline is, there’s no good value on the spread. The Mariners are too risky while the Tigers, as a run-line underdog, are too expensive. Avoid a play here.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7 (+100).

The Tigers are 2-4 O/U in their last 6 games, scoring 4 or fewer in 4 of those. Detroit has allowed 4 or fewer in all 6, so it has defended well recently.

The Mariners have a similar story and are 2-5 O/U in their last 7, having allowed 1 or 0 in 3 straight games. Seattle has scored more than 4 in just 2 of its last 7.

Considering those trends for both sides, take UNDER 7 (+100).

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Seattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Seattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Seattle Mariners (18-19) open a 3-game series against the Detroit Tigers (17-19) on Friday at Comerica Park. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting. The Mariners won 6 of 7 meetings in 2022.

The Mariners lost 4-3 to the Texas Rangers Wednesday. Seattle is 7-3 in its last 10 contests and had won its first 2 series of May before losing 2-1 to the visiting Rangers.

The Tigers defeated the Cleveland Guardians 5-0 on Wednesday to win the series 2-1. Detroit has won its last 3 series and is also 7-3 in its last 10 games.

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Mariners at Tigers projected starters

LHP Marco Gonzales vs. LHP Matthew Boyd

Gonzales (2-0, 4.70 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.47 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 30 2/3 IP.

  • Has given up 6-plus hits in 4 of his 6 starts
  • Has allowed a combined 8 ER on 14 H with 4 BB and 6 K in 9 IP over his last 2 turns

Boyd (2-2, 5.28 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 30 2/3 IP.

  • Has allowed multiple ER in each of his first 6 starts and has surrendered a HR in each of his last 4 starts
  • Has issued just 2 free passes over his last 3 turns after walking 9 total batters in his first 3 starts

Mariners at Tigers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Tigers +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+135) | Tigers +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Mariners at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 5, Mariners 4

Moneyline

I’ll back the TIGERS (+105) at home on Friday considering that they’ve played just as well as the Mariners over their last 10 games. Seattle owns a league-worst .193 batting average against southpaws this season, which is why I lean toward Detroit.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Tigers +1.5 (-160) getting a run of insurance is too expensive. I like the odds for them to win outright much more, so best to focus on the moneyline.

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Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-115) is the lean in this matchup with Gonzales and Boyd being susceptible to giving up multiple runs. The Tigers have also scored 5-plus runs in 7 of their last 10 games.

The Over is 3-0-2 in the last 5 meetings overall and 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Detroit.

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Seattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Seattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Seattle Mariners (72-58) take on the Detroit Tigers (50-80) Thursday in the finale of a 3-game set at Comerica Park. First pitch is set for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mariners vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Mariners lead 2-0

Seattle has taken the first 2 games of the series, 9-3 Tuesday and 5-3 Wednesday. The Wednesday affair didn’t come easy as the M’s were down 3-2 before posting 2 runs in the 7th inning and another in the 9th to seal it. The Mariners have won 3 games in a row and 5 of 6.

Detroit is 5-5 over the last 10 but has been outscored 14-6 the last 2 nights. 2B Javier Baez continues to have a rough 1st season in Detroit, hitting .223 with 11 homers and 47 RBIs. The Tigers are 29-37 at home and hope to get that 30th victory in Thursday’s matinee.

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Mariners at Tigers projected starters

RHP Logan Gilbert vs. LHP Eduardo Rodriguez

Gilbert (10-5, 3.49 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 149 2/3 IP.

  • Had a horrible August: 0-1, 6.75 ERA, 1.69 WHIP in 5 GS
  • Road warrior: 6-1, 3.15 ERA, 1.26 WHIP in 15 GS

Rodriguez (3-3, 3.60 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 50 IP.

  • In 2 Aug. starts: 11 IP, 10 H, 1 ER, 6 BB, 7 K
  • Good at home: 2-1 with a 2.84 ERA and 7.1 K/9

Mariners at Tigers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:23 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Mariners -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Tigers +133 (bet $100 to win $133)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+110) | Tigers +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

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Mariners at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 4, Mariners 2

Money line

Detroit almost got it done Wednesday before their bullpen imploded. I like them to salvage a game Thursday. E-Rod has been solid the last 2 starts, and if he can clean up the walks, this should have a pretty good shot at cashing. Seattle is just 14-18 against lefties. Take the TIGERS (+133).

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Run line/Against the spread

Since we’re taking the underdog today, I really like the price on the RL. Detroit had 5 wins in 7 games before Seattle came to town and have enough to avoid a sweep. Gilbert has allowed at least 2 ER in 7 straight starts, and he had a rough August, which means fatigue could be setting in. Take the TIGERS +1.5 (-135).

Over/Under

The number curiously dipped after almost cashing at 8.5 Wednesday and going Over Tuesday. The Over is 2-5 for Seattle over its last 7 contests. Detroit has just scored 3 runs each game this series. I look for them to add another and keep it tight defensively. LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-120).

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Seattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Seattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Seattle Mariners (71-58) take on the Detroit Tigers (50-79) Wednesday in the 2nd game of a 3-game set at Comerica Park. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mariners vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Mariners lead 1-0

The Mariners rolled the Tigers 9-3 in the series opener Tuesday and have won 4 of 5 games. Seattle’s bats had cooled as they have plated just 4.3 runs per game over the last 10, but that includes a 9 and 10 spot. 1B Ty France is one of the few streaking M’s, going 5-for-11 (.455) with 2 homers and 3 RBIs over the last week.

The Tigers have 5 wins in their last 10 games, which is half of what they accumulated over the last 30, with a 10-20 record. Entering Tuesday, they came off a 3-game series in Texas where they scored 26 runs. They came back home and got throttled.

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Mariners at Tigers projected starters

LHP Marco Gonzales vs. LHP Tyler Alexander

Gonzales (9-12, 3.97 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 5.1 K/9 in 140 2/3 IP.

  • Turning around a rough patch, last 2 starts: 11 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 10 H, 3 BB, 5 K
  • Struggles on the road: 4.60 ERA,1.61 WHIP vs. 3.46 ERA, 1.21 WHIP at home

Alexander (3-8, 4.83 ERA) makes his 11th start and 21st appearance. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 4.7 K/9 in 63 1/3 IP.

  • Has a 6.40 ERA in his last 7 GS and has given up at least 3 ER in 3 straight starts
  • Better at home: 3.53 ERA, 1.12 WHIP vs. 6.51 ERA, 1.63 WHIP on road

Mariners at Tigers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:37 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Mariners -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Tigers +133 (bet $100 to win $133)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+102) | Tigers +1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Mariners at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 6, Tigers 3

Money line

Seattle isn’t as steep of a favorite as one might expect. Alexander has been better at home, but he’s still likely to spot Seattle 3-4 runs. With that, let’s take MARINERS (-165) and MARINERS OVER 2.5 TOTAL RUNS FIRST 5 INNINGS (-114).

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Run line/Against the spread

Nine of Seattle’s last 10 wins have been by more than 1 run. The real question is: Do we trust Gonzales to limit the traffic on the bases enough for Seattle to cash a RL bet? He has 4 wins in his last 7 starts, and all of them were multi-run wins. We’ll take the plus-money here, but just take MARINERS -1.5 (+102) for a HALF-UNIT.

Over/Under

The wind is blowing out to left-center field at 12 mph. We have a pair of pitch-to-contact left-handers on the mound. Comerica isn’t a hitters’ park, but it could be for right-handers today.

The only real question is whether we can count on Seattle to get 6 because we can count on Detroit for 3. They scored 3 runs off a long-relief guy Tuesday after being down 9-0 for most of the game. They had 5 other home games over the last 10 (which they were 5-5 during), and they scored 15 runs. So a baseline for them is 3 runs. LEAN OVER 8.5 (-112).

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Seattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Seattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Seattle Mariners (31-32) and Detroit Tigers (25-36) play Thursday at 1:10 p.m. ET at Comerica Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mariners vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Justus Sheffield is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners. He is 5-4 with a 4.77 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, 6.9 K/9 and 3.8 BB/9 across 54 2/3 IP over 10 starts.

Sheffield’s recent road starts have been an adventure, and he totes a road ERA of 6.00 into Thursday’s matinee in the Motor City. The 25-year-old lefty walked 10 batters in his last 15 2/3 IP.

LHP Tyler Alexander is the projected starter for the Tigers. He is a relief pitcher serving as an opener for what will be a bullpen game for Detroit. Through 15 relief outings and 1 start, Alexander is 0-0 with a 4.56 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 9.1 K/9 and 1.9 BB/9 over 23 2/3 IP.

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Mariners at Tigers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:12 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mariners -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Tigers -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mariners -1.5 (+150) | Tigers +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Tigers 5, Mariners 3

Money line (ML)

Seattle is 3-5 over its last 8 games and is currently on an unwieldy Los Angeles-to-Detroit-to-Cleveland-to-Seattle trip. The Tigers are 6-5 over their last 11 contests.

Sheffield has not impressed thus far in 2021. His road work has been iffy, and he’s susceptible to right-handed bats to more than an average degree. Detroit swings it from the right side in 92% of plate appearances vs. lefties.

The Tigers going with a bullpen game looks iffy with the club’s 5.25 relief ERA. Detroit has been undone somewhat, though, by unkind rates around the margins, such as a .310 BABIP and 17.3% home run to fly-ball rate.

Consider partial-unit action here, but DETROIT (-115) is a decent play.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

STEER CLEAR of the extra juice.

Over/Under (O/U)

With a sliver of respect due to the Tigers bullpen, two shaky offenses, a pitchers’ park and the forecast of an inward breeze on a get-away day, TAKE THE UNDER 9 (-110).

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