Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The St. Louis Cardinals (22-15) wrap up their three-game road set Wednesday with the Milwaukee Brewers (20-17) at American Family Field. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cardinals vs. Brewers with MLB picks and predictions.

This is the rubber match of the series with St. Louis winning Tuesday 6-1 in 11 innings and Milwaukee taking Wednesday’s game 4-1.

Season series: Brewers 3-2.

RHP Jack Flaherty makes his eighth start for the Cardinals. Flaherty is 6-0 with a 2.83 ERA (41 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 0.94 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Win, 5-0, in 7 IP with 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB and 6 K against the Colorado Rockies Friday.
  • Career vs. the Brewers: 2-6 with a 5.72 ERA (61 1/3 IP, 39 ER), 1.34 WHIP and 12.5 K/9 over 12 starts.
    • Vs. Brewers on the current roster: 101 at-bats with a .248/.339/.436 slash line, 39/13 K/BB, 5 HR and 15 RBIs.

RHP Corbin Burnes returns after a two-week stint on the IL to start for the Brewers. Burnes is 2-2 with a 1.53 ERA (29 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 0.55 WHIP, 0.0 BB/9 and 15.0 K/9 over 5 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 8-0, in 5 IP with 4 ER, 8 H, 0 BB and 9 K vs. the Miami Marlins April 26.
  • Career vs. the Cardinals: 1-2 with a 4.91 ERA (25 2/3 IP, 14 ER), 1.48 WHIP and 14.7 K/9 across 5 starts and 3 relief appearances.
    • Vs. Cardinals on the current roster: 70 at-bats with a .243/.293/.529 slash line, 33/3 K/BB, 5 HR and 10 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Cardinals at Brewers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 5:27 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cardinals +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Brewers -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Cardinals +1.5 (-200) | Brewers -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under: 6.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Brewers 4, Cardinals 0

Money line (ML)

GIMME the BREWERS (-135) for 1 unit because before Burnes was sidelined with an injury he was pitching as good as anyone not named Jacob deGrom and Milwaukee has owned Flaherty in recent meetings.

Statcast grades Burnes in the 94th percentile or higher in hard-hit rate, expected wOBA, expected slugging percentage, chase rate, whiff%, K% and BB%.

Compare that to Flaherty, who’s in the 38th percentile of hard-hit rate and 20th percentile in chase rate.

Also, Flaherty has lost four straight starts vs. the Brewers and has a 7.27 ERA (26 IP, 21 ER) in his last five starts against the Brew Crew.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS even though insurance either way would be awesome considering each ball club is sending their ace to the mound, but the +1.5 for either team is too expensive.

If Milwaukee’s lineup had OF Christian Yelich available and wasn’t bottom 10 in wOBA, wRC+ and WAR, then maybe I’d take a shot with Brewers -1.5 (+165).

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 6.5 (+100) since both starting pitchers are on top of their game and both lineups are terrible vs. right-handed pitching.

Both the Cardinals and Brewers are bottom 10 in wRC+, wOBA and BB/K against righties.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Baltimore Orioles at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Baltimore Orioles at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Baltimore Orioles (13-15) and Seattle Mariners (16-13) play the opener of a three-game set Monday at T-Mobile Park with a 10:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Dean Kremer is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles. He is 0-2 with an 8.40 ERA, 2.00 WHIP, 10.8 K/9 and 3.6 BB/9 over 15 IP through 4 starts.

Kremer was hammered for 6 earned runs on 10 hits in just 4 1/3 innings in a loss against the New York Yankees last time out. He has served up 4 homers this season.

RHP Erik Swanson is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners. He allowed no hits with just 1 walk and 1 strikeout in 2 innings out of the bullpen in his lone MLB appearance this season.

Swanson is expected to head up a bullpen game for the M’s. They’re in dire straits as they look to replace injured starters Marco Gonzalez, Nick Margevicius and James Paxton. RHP Robert Dugger also should eat some innings Monday.

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Orioles at Mariners odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Orioles +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Mariners -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Orioles +1.5 (-175) | Mariners -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under: 8 (Over -115 | Under -105)

Prediction

Mariners 7, Orioles 6

Money line (ML)

The MARINERS (-130) are the play, even though they’re expected to have a bullpen game. Even so, Kremer has been super shaky and the Seattle offense should pile up plenty of runs against him.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Mariners -1.5 (+145) are a risky play with a series of unheralded pitchers expected to toe the slab.

Just play the money line and AVOID laying the run and a half.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 8 (-115) is the best play on the board. Kremer has served up at least one home run in three of his four starts. The Orioles should be able to get to the Mariners, who will be using a series of pitchers in a bullpen game. This one should see plenty of offense.

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Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Angels (13-12) meet the Seattle Mariners (15-13) Sunday for the rubber match of their three-game series at T-Mobile Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Angels vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Dylan Bundy gets the start for the Angels Sunday. Bundy is 0-2 with a 4.20 ERA (30 IP, 14 ER), 1.10 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 across 5 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision in 6 IP with 2 ER, 3 H, 1 BB and 6 K in L.A.’s 4-2 win at the Houston Astros April 25.
  • Career vs. the Mariners: 3-2 with a 2.45 ERA (40 1/3 IP, 11 ER), 0.87 WHIP and 10.0 K/9 over 5 starts and 2 relief appearances.
    • Vs. Mariners on current roster: 51 at-bats with a .176/.250/.294 slash line, 1 HR and 4 RBIs.
    • Career at Seattle’s ballpark: 1-1 with a 2.65 ERA (17 IP, 5 ER), 0.94 WHIP and 10.6 K/9 in 2 starts and 1 relief appearance.

LHP Justus Sheffield makes his fifth start Sunday for the Mariners. Sheffield is 1-2 with a 5.32 ERA (22 IP, 13 ER), 1.59 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 this season.

  • Last outing: Loss in 5 1/3 IP with 4 ER, 12 H, 1 BB and 4 K in Seattle’s 5-2 loss at the Astros Monday.
  • Career vs. the Angels: 0-2 with an 11.74 ERA (7 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 2.09 WHIP and 9.4 K/9 in 2 starts last season.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Angels at Mariners odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:44 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Angels -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Mariners +125 (bet $100 to win $125) |
  • Against the spread/ATS: Angels -1.5 (+105) | Mariners +1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Angels 6, Mariners 2

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the ANGELS (-155) for a three-fourths unit because of the vig and I’d like to parse my L.A. bet between its money line and run line.

That being said, the Angels have two bona-fide MVP candidates raking in CF Mike Trout and DH/RHP Shohei Ohtani, and the 2019 NL MVP in 3B Anthony Rendon, whose Statcast metrics suggest he’s due for a breakout.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Bundy is L.A.’s ace and despite his ho-hum ERA, he does have a lower FIP and his exit velocity and hard-hit rate are far better than the MLB average.

Furthermore, Statcast grades Bundy out in the 94th percentile of chase%, 92nd percentile of fastball spin rate—which is huge because the four-seam fastball is Bundy’s most used—and the 76th percentile of expected wOBA.

Also, L.A. lineup’s advanced hitting metrics against left-handed pitching is rather mediocre so far this season, but the Angels have drilled Sheffield in both of his starts against them in 2020.

BET ANGELS -1.5 (+105) for a half unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS on the total since I like the Angels lineup vs. Sheffield, but these teams are a combined 2-7 O/U with these two starters on the mound and we are betting L.A.’s run line in part because of the expectation Bundy pitches a quality start.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (13-3) visit the Seattle Mariners (10-6) for a short two-game series Monday. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET at T-Mobile Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

2020 season series: Dodgers 3-1

Los Angeles, which owns the best record in baseball, had an 8-game win streak snapped Sunday with a 5-2 loss at the San Diego Padres.

Seattle beat the Houston Astros 7-2 Sunday to take two of three at home over the weekend.

RHP Dustin May is projected to start for the Dodgers Monday. He is 1-0 with a 1.74 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 3 walks and 14 strikeouts in 2 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 6 K vs. Colorado Rockies Wednesday – Dodgers won 4-2
  • Career vs. Mariners: No appearances

LHP Justus Sheffield is the Mariners’ projected starter. He is 0-1 with a 4.91 ERA (11 IP, 6 ER), 1.36 WHIP, 4 walks and 10 K’s in 2 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 5 K at Baltimore Orioles Tuesday – M’s won 4-3 in 8 innings (Game 1 of a DH)
  • Career vs. Dodgers: No appearances

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Dodgers at Mariners odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:49 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dodgers -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Mariners +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -1.5 (-125) | Mariners +1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Mariners 4, Dodgers 3

Money line (ML)

It’s tough to bet against the 13-3 Dodgers, but backing them at -200 is too much chalk. The value is actually with the host MARINERS (+170).

Seattle did just take two of three from Houston and is 7-2 in its last 9 games.

Back the MARINERS (+170) with 0.75 UNITS.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Both teams have been superb ATS to open the season. Seattle is tied with the Boston Red Sox for the best ATS record in the majors at 12-4. The Dodgers are third at 11-5.

With no real value on either Dodgers -1.5 (-125) or Mariners +1.5 (+105), I’m taking a PASS.

If you prefer some insurance by taking the +1.5 runs with the Mariners, I wouldn’t blame you for divvying up some of the Seattle ML play with an M’s ATS wager.

Over/Under (O/U)

Wait to see if the O/U line climbs, but the play is UNDER for 0.25 UNITS. Currently, the line is UNDER 8.5 (-105).

The starting pitchers are both 1-1 O/U this season, and the Dodgers are 3-7 O/U in their last 10 games. The fear is that the Mariners are 5-3-1 O/U at home so far this season.

Seattle was 11-12-1 O/U at home in 2020 but 41-35-5 O/U at home in 2019.

O/U records: Dodgers 6-10 | Mariners 9-6-1

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Note: There is no STRONGEST PLAY on this card.

JOHNNY RECORD W-L SP ROI
2021 MLB 22-15 8-3 +9.1025
2020 MLB 80-59-1 39-21 +24.79
2021 (all sports) 125-100-1 57-44 +22.6525
*SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Houston Astros (6-7) and Seattle Mariners (9-5) play the second game of a three-game set Saturday at 9:10 p.m. ET at T-Mobile Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Astros vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Zack Greinke is the projected starting pitcher for the Astros. He is 1-1 with a 4.08 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 5.1 K/9 and 2.0 BB/9 over 17 2/3 IP through three starts. Greinke allowed just two earned runs with eight hits and one walk across his first two road starts over 13 innings. He was 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA across eight innings in two starts against the M’s in 2020.

RHP Chris Flexen is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners. He is 1-0 with a 4.50 ERA, 1.60 WHIP, 9.9 K/9 and 3.6 BB/9 through 10 IP across two starts. Flexen will be making his first start against a divisional opponent. He allowed four hits and two walks with six strikeouts in five scoreless innings April 3 against the Giants in a win in his only previous home start.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Astros at Mariners odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:25 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Astros -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Mariners +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Astros -1.5 (+110) | Mariners +1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Astros 5, Mariners 4

Money line (ML)

The ASTROS (-140) will look to bounce back after dropping the opening game of the series against the Mariners (+115) by a 6-5 score. Behind Greinke, expect Houston to level the series 1-1. He has been money on the road so far this season.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The MARINERS +1.5 (-140) aren’t a bad play on their home field, as catching a run-and-a-half and only laying this little amount is worth the risk. The Astros are also without star 2B Jose Altuve and 3B Alex Bregman. Each of Seattle’s past two games have been one-run games, both wins, and four of the past five have been decided by one run.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 8.5 (-105) is the lean in this AL West battle in Seattle. The Over has cashed in five of the past six games on the road, while cashing in eight of the past 11 division battles. The Over is 5-2 in the past seven home outing for the M’s and 6-2 in the past eight as an underdog. The Over is also 7-3-1 in Seattle’s past 11 vs. RHP.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Chicago White Sox at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Chicago White Sox at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (1-3) and Seattle Mariners (2-1) play the first game of a three-game set Monday at 10:10 p.m. ET at T-Mobile Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the White Sox vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Carlos Rodon is the projected starting pitcher for the White Sox. He was 0-2 with an 8.22 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, 7.0 K/9 and 3.5 BB/9 in 7 2/3 IP over two starts and two relief appearances in 2020. Rodon hasn’t faced the Mariners since Aug. 28, 2016, when he allowed one earned run on 5 hits and a walk with 6 strikeouts over six innings in a win in Chicago.

LHP Justus Sheffield is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners. He was 4-3 with a 3.58 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 7.8 K/9 and 3.3 BB/9 in 55 1/3 IP over 10 starts in 2020. The last time he faced the White Sox was Sept. 15, 2019, when he allowed 6 earned runs on 7 hits and a walk with 8 strikeouts across 4 1/3 innings in a no-decision.

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White Sox at Mariners odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:05 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: White Sox -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Mariners -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: White Sox -1.5 (+135) | Mariners +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Mariners 7, White Sox 4

Money line (ML)

The MARINERS (-105) are short underdogs at home, but they’re the play here. Rodon has been terrible for the White Sox, and until he is able to start showing some consistency you have to fade him.

The ChiSox also won just one of their past five meetings with the M’s, dating back to April 2019. They won just once in the first four games against the Los Angeles Angels, and they’re just 2-10 across their past 12 games away from the south side of Chicago.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The MARINERS +1.5 (-165) will cost you if you’re looking for a little insurance and aren’t sold on Sheffield turning in a strong performance; however, I like the M’s catching a run and a half here. I just like them even better straight up.

For me, Rodon just cannot be trusted, as he hasn’t had a quality start since April 19, 2019 prior to Tommy John surgery.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 8.5 (-105) is the lean.

Again, not trying to pick on Rodon, but he cannot be trusted to avoid the crooked numbers on the scoreboard. The Mariners offense is averaging 4.82 runs per game so far this season, and they hit the Over in each of the first two outings while allowing 6.5 runs per game.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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San Francisco Giants at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s San Francisco Giants at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (1-1) and Seattle Mariners (1-1) continue their lid-lifting series with a Saturday 9:10 p.m. ET game at T-Mobile Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Logan Webb gets the nod for the visiting Giants. He was 3-4 with a 5.47 ERA, 1.56 WHIP, 7.6 K/9 and 4.0 BB/9 in 54 1/3 IP over 13 appearances, including 11 starts. The young hurler faltered down the stretch after posting a 3.29 ERA through his first 27 1/3 innings.

RHP Chris Flexen is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners. Last season with the New York Mets, he went 0-3 with a 6.59 ERA, 2.05 WHIP, 6.6 K/9 and 8.6 BB/9 in 13 2/3 IP over nine games, which included just one start. In his three-year career – all with the Mets – Flexen started 11 games and came out of the bullpen 16 times.

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Giants at Mariners odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Mariners +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants -1.5 (+135) | Mariners +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Giants 4, Mariners 3

Money line (ML)

San Francisco bounced back from an Opening Day, extra-inning setback to defeat the Mariners 6-3 Friday. Look for the Giants to make it two in a row Saturday.

Webb had a solid spring in Arizona (0.53 ERA in 17 IP), and he’s up against a Seattle nine which was woeful in its home yard a year ago (.655 OPS, 30th MLB).

The Giant’s season O/U is 74.5. They’re a club that registered a robust .834 OPS in going 21-15 over their last 36 games in 2020. If they can make enough hay when they aren’t playing the division rival and NL favorites Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres, the Giants can clear that O/U with relative ease.

Back the GIANTS -120.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS. This play adds juice, and with a likable Under, the extra-run cushion isn’t palatable.

Over/Under (O/U)

Both teams finishing in the bottom-third in offense this season is a solid possibility. Neither pen has been overwrought through two games, and T-Mobile is certainly a pitcher’s yard.

Take the UNDER 8.5 (-105).

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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San Francisco Giants at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s San Francisco Giants at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants and Seattle Mariners open their respective 2021 MLB seasons in a Thursday night game at 10:10 p.m. ET at T-Mobile Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Kevin Gausman is the projected starting pitcher for the Giants. A year ago, the veteran right-hander went 3-3 with a 3.62 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 11.92 K/9 and 2.41 BB/9 over 59 2/3 IP spanning 12 appearances. Albeit in a shortened season, Gausman enjoyed a skills-breakout year in many respects.  He does, however, have a history of being a slow starter out of the gate with a .801 OPS allowed with lesser command in the first half.

LHP Marco Gonzales is the projected starter for the Mariners. His 2020 line included a 7-2 record with a 3.10 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 8.27 K/9 and 0.90 BB/9 over 69 2/3 IP in 11 starts. The 29-year-old southpaw owns a career 3.69 ERA at Seattle’s home park.

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Giants at Mariners odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Mariners -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants -1.5 (+145) |  Mariners +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Giants 5, Mariners 4

Money line (ML)

Gonzales was buoyed by a .263 opponent batting average on balls in play last season. Look for regression in those numbers in 2021. The Giants figure to be at their best against lefty pitching.

Peg the visitors as worthy of being about a 10-to-15-cent favorite. There is value in SAN FRANCISCO (-105).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS.

The Giants are a solid play as a side and the run line here has added juice.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Giants have more of an offensive attack than one might think. Their .785 OPS ranked sixth in the league last summer.

In terms of expected fielding-independent ERA (xFIP), both clubs ranked in MLB’s bottom-5 a year ago. Peg Gonzales as being severely overrated by his 2020 surface ERA.

It all adds up to value on the OVER 8 (-115).

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