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The Seattle Mariners (83-68) will go for a 3-game sweep of the Oakland Athletics (46-105) on on Wednesday afternoon. First pitch at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum is 3:37 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Athletics odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Mariners lead 11-1
Seattle is in a tight 3-team battle for the final 2 Wild Card spots, a race in which they are a game behind the Toronto Blue Jays and tied with the Texas Rangers for the final spot. After losing 7 of 9, they’ve won 2 straight and look for a 3rd before heading into a big weekend series at Texas.
Oakland has dropped 6 straight games and appear destined to finish with the worst record in baseball.
Mariners at Athletics projected starters
RHP George Kirby vs. RHP Joey Estes
Kirby (10-1, 3.57 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 0.9 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 171 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 6-3 loss to the Los Angeles Dodgers on Friday
- Road stats: 4-6, 3.99 ERA (90 1/3 IP, 40 ER) with 7.3 K/9 across 15 starts
- Career vs. Oakland: 2-0, 4.28 ERA (27 1/3 IP, 13 ER) with 8.9 K/9 in 5 starts; beat them May 4 this year (7 IP, 3 H, 3 ER, 1 BB, 2 K)
- Has had an excellent season, but has hit a bit of a rough patch with 18 ER allowed in 27 IP over his last 5 starts.
The 21-year-old Estes will be making his Major League debut.
- In 17 starts and 3 relief appearances at Double-A and 6 starts at Triple-A he has a 3.74 ERA, 2.8 BB/9, and 8.4 K/9 in 137 IP
- In his last start he allowed just 1 ER in 5 IP with 6 K, but had some issues with the long ball in the hitter-friendly PCL, where he surrendered 10 HR in 32 2/3 IP (2.8 HR/9)
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Mariners at Athletics odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:13 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mariners -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Athletics +195 (bet $100 to win $195)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -2.5 (+110) | Athletics +2.5 (-135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Mariners at Athletics picks and predictions
Prediction
Mariners 6, Athletics 2
Moneyline
Through his recent struggles, Kirby’s skills have held up well, as he boasts a 27/4 K/BB in 27 IP over his last 5 starts. He gets a juicy matchup against an Oakland offense that has really been struggling lately but this line is a little too steep to gamble on. PASS and find better value elsewhere.
Run line/Against the spread
Oakland has scored a league-worst 3.32 runs per game at home this season, and they have scored a total of just 10 runs over their past 6 games. Kirby should get back on track, with a chance to completely shut down his opposition.
Estes will be making his debut against a Seattle team that is 8th in runs per game on the road, and in a fight for their playoff lives. His skills have been pretty mediocre and given the plus odds, MARINERS -2.5 (+110) is worth a small play, or consider moving it to MARINERS -1.5 (-140).
Over/Under
Seattle has had their way with Oakland this year and their bats should have success against Estes. But the A’s have really struggled to score lately and will have their hands full against Kirby. This line appears to be set about right so SKIP the total.
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