The Seattle Seahawks (6-1) play the Buffalo Bills (6-2) in a 1 p.m. ET kickoff at Bills Stadium in Week 9. Below, we preview the Seahawks-Bills betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.
Seahawks at Bills: Betting odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 5:25 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Seahawks -167 (bet $167 to win $100) | Bills +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
- Against the spread/ATS: Seahawks -3 (-115) | Bills +3 (-106)
- Over/Under: 54.5 (O: -115 | U: -106)
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Seahawks at Bills: Game notes
- Seattle effectively ended the NFC West rival San Francisco 49ers’ 2020 season by beating them 37-27 in Week 8. The win kept Seattle atop its division and the ‘Hawks moved to 5-2 against the spread on the year.
- The Bills also won a pivotal division game in Week 8, beating the New England Patriots 24-21. They failed to cover the spread as 3.5-point favorites.
- Bills QB Josh Allen had a 122.7 QB Rating and 70.9 completion percentage with 12 touchdowns and one interception through the first four games this year. In the past four games, Allen has come back down to earth with a 79.2 QB Rating and 62.8 completion percentage with four touchdowns to four interceptions.
Seahawks at Bills: Key injuries
Seahawks
- RB Chris Carson (foot) out
- RB Carlos Hyde (hamstring) out
- OG Mike Iupati (back) out
- CB Shaquill Griffin (groin) out
- DE Benson Mayowa (ankle) out
- S Ugo Amadi (hamstring) out
Bills
- TE Dawson Knox (calf) questionable
- OT Cody Ford (knee) questionable
- DT Vernon Butler (groin) questionable
- LB Matt Milano (pectoral) out
- C Mitch Morse (concussion) out
- CB Josh Norman (hamstring) out
- RB T.J. Yeldon (back) out
- RB Taiwan Jones (hamstring) out
- DE Darryl Johnson (knee) questionable
Seahawks at Bills: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Seattle 31, Buffalo 20
Money line (?)
The SEAHAWKS (-167) gameplay on defense is seemingly to make teams one dimensional by using Pro Bowl LBs Bobby Wagner and K.J. Wright to neutralize the ground game. Seattle is comfortable keeping its linebackers out there when the offense shows passing formations because they are awesome and head coach Pete Carroll wants to force teams to be accurate against his secondary.
This strategy has helped Seattle keep opponents to the lowest rushing play percentage in the NFL against them. Plus, the Seahawks hold opponents to the fifth-lowest yards per carry average.
How this hurts the Bills (+140) is they have the 25th-ranked rushing offense DVOA, according to Football Outsiders, and are 21st in yards per carry. Consequently, Seattle will most likely take away Buffalo’s weak run game and force QB Josh Allen to beat them. Allen isn’t playing nearly as well as when the Bills were 4-0.
I only LEAN SEATTLE (-167) because I’d prefer to put such a pricey money line in a parlay, but the Seahawks win in this spot enough times to play this money line.
Against the spread (?)
HAMMER SEAHAWKS -3 (-115). Seattle has won 11 consecutive games when playing in the 1 p.m ET window on the East Coast; it is also 9-1-1 ATS in those games. QB Russell Wilson and his receiving corps should have a big day against a Buffalo secondary 22nd in pass defense DVOA and 23rd in opponent’s completion percentage.
Over/Under (?)
My handicap for Seahawks-Bills is on the cusp of the 54.5-total so I can only LEAN UNDER 54.5 (-106). I like Seattle to be in firm control of this game early in the second half but I am worried about the Bills putting up garbage time points against a Seahawks secondary that still hasn’t found its footing in 2020.
Offseason trade acquisition, SS Jamal Adams, is set to return from injury and he’ll strengthen Seattle’s pass defense. Look for Seattle to control the tempo and force some bad Buffalo offense; just be wary of the backdoor Over.
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Also see:
- Wilson files trademark for phrase ‘Let Russ Cook’ (Seahawks Wire)
- 5 key takeaways from the first half of the season (Bills Wire)
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