MWC Tournament: San Jose State vs. San Diego State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s San Jose State vs. San Diego State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The 5th-seeded San Jose State Spartans (20-12) and No. 1 San Diego State Aztecs (25-6) meet in a Friday Mountain West Conference Tournament semifinal in Las Vegas. The contest at the Thomas & Mack Center will tip off at 9:30 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the San Jose State vs. San Diego State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

San Jose State defeated No. 4 Nevada 81-77 Thursday. The win marked the Spartans’ 4th in a row. SJSU has been in quite a few close games recently, but it lost by 21 points the last time these 2 Golden State foes locked horns (72-51 SDSU win Jan. 28).

San Diego State topped Colorado State 64-61 Thursday and is 11-2 over its last 13 games. The 20th-ranked team in the nation is looking to even its neutral-floor record; the Aztecs are just 2-3 in such games.

Rankings courtesy the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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San Jose State vs. San Diego State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:10 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: San Jose State +310 (bet $100 to win $310) | San Diego State -390 (bet $390 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): San Jose State +8.5 (-110) | San Diego State -8.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 126.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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San Jose State vs. San Diego State picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 72, San Jose State 55

Moneyline

San Diego State is huge favorites here, and we’re refraining from the juice box that is its moneyline.

PASS.

Against the spread

SDSU covered a -13.5 when these 2 met Jan. 28, and the Aztecs have covered handily in back-to-back games against SJSU.

San Diego has played the tougher slate and is far superior defensively. The Aztecs are a top-15 squad in defending the 3-ball (29.7% accuracy), and they fare well against teams content to launch a lot from distance. Against the 4 MWC teams that shoot the most 3s (Air Force, SJSU, Utah State, Wyoming), SDSU went 5-2 ATS.

Fast teams can sometimes make dents in the Aztec defense, but the Spartans play at a turtle tempo.

Despite that SJSU slow-down effect, expect a big win for the Aztecs in this one. BACK SAN DIEGO STATE -8.5 (-110).

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Over/Under

A lot of defense and not much pace. And it’s well reflected in this number: PASS.

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San Jose State at San Diego State odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Friday’s San Jose State Spartans at San Diego State Aztecs sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and predictions.

This week’s Friday night action includes a Mountain West battle between the San Jose State Spartans (2-0 overall, 2-0 MWC) and San Diego State Aztecs (2-0, 2-0). The Spartans and Aztecs will put their unbeaten records on the line in a 9 p.m. ET contest in Carson, Calif. We analyze the SJSU-SDSU college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

San Jose State at San Diego State: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 12:15 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: San Jose State +290 (bet $100 to win $290) | San Diego State -358 (bet $358 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: San Jose State +9.5 (-110) | San Diego State -9.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 48.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

San Jose State at San Diego State: Three things to know

  1. San Jose State is very much a pass-first offense. Through two games, the Spartans rank fifth in the nation in passing yards per game (353.5) and 100th nationally in rushing yards per contest (89.2). Both figures are in line with last year’s full-season numbers. In 2020, Arkansas transfer QB Nick Starkel has stepped in as SJSU’s new signal-caller, and the results have been stellar: 73.7% completion percentage, 693 yards passing, 7 touchdowns and one interception.
  2. San Diego State makes its bones on defense. The Aztecs ranked fifth in the nation a year ago, yielding just 287.8 yards per game. Through two games this fall, SDSU has allowed just 200.5 YPG. The Aztecs have a new head coach (Brady Hoke) and a new defensive coordinator (Kurt Mattix) in 2020, but the defense returns 8 of 11 starters.
  3. The Aztecs are 7-0 straight up and 6-1 against the spread over the last seven games in this series. San Diego took last year’s meeting (Oct. 19) by a score of 27-17. San Jose State has scored just 45 points over the last five games combined.

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San Jose State at San Diego State: Odds, prediction, betting lines and picks

Prediction

San Diego State 34, San Jose State 24

Money line (ML)

PASS on a well laid-out money line. The Aztecs to win by about 10 points with a 75-80% chance of victory leaves no room on the sides.

Against the spread (ATS)

San Diego State is the lean, but the line is well made. When the public has you boxed in, LOOK ELSEWHERE.

Over/Under (O/U)

San Diego State hasn’t exactly played stifling defenses in averaging 36 points per game over its first two contests, but the Aztecs offense has been encouraging. San Jose State has scored just 45 points over the last five games of this series. Peg the Spartans as having a decent shot and enough points Friday to drive the final total into the 50s. BACK THE OVER 48.5 (-110).

Consider an initial bet with some held in reserve in waiting out an even lower total.

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