Tag: San Diego State Air Force odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

San Diego State at Air Force odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s San Diego State at Air Force odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Diego State Aztecs (14-4, 5-1 Mountain West) will face the Air Force Falcons (12-7, 3-3) Saturday at Clune Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the San Diego State vs. Air Force odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

The Aztecs defeated Colorado State 82-76 in overtime Wednesday to cover as 4.5-point favorites on the road. San Diego State has won 8 of its last 10 games.

The Falcons won 82-74 against Wyoming Tuesday and covered as 4.5-point favorites at home. Air Force is on a 3-game winning streak, and all 3 of those wins came against Mountain West opponents.

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San Diego State at Air Force odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): San Diego State -425 (bet $425 to win $100) | Air Force +310 (bet $100 to win $310)
  • Against the spread (ATS): San Diego State -8.5 (-115) | Air Force +8.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 131.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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San Diego State at Air Force picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 71, Air Force 66

Moneyline

Way too much juice on SDSU to consider here.

PASS.

Against the spread

While I envision San Diego State winning the game, AIR FORCE +8.5 (-105) is how I’m betting the spread. San Diego State is a perfect 4-0 on the road this season, but they’ve struggled to cover the spread recently.

The Aztecs are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a win. Meanwhile, the Falcons are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games following a win and 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games overall.

Over/Under

OVER 131.5 (-110) is an intriguing wager in this contest. The Aztecs and the Falcons are both shooting 36% or better from 3-point range this season.

San Diego State has gone 4-0 to the Over in its last 4 road games and 4 of its last 5 games overall. Air Force is 7-0 to the Over in its last 7 home games.

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San Diego State at Air Force odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s San Diego State Aztecs at Air Force Falcons odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 21 San Diego State Aztecs (6-0, 2-0 MWC) and Air Force Falcons (6-1, 3-1) meet for a Saturday 7 p.m. ET game at Falcon Stadium in Colorado Springs, Colorado. Below, we look at the San Diego State vs. Air Force odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

San Diego State squeaked by San Jose State, 19-13 in overtime, last Saturday to remain unbeaten this fall. The Aztecs were outgained, 345 yards to 240, and for an undefeated team, SDSU has had its problems moving the chains all season. San Diego State heads into Saturday’s Mountain West crossover tilt ranked 103rd in total offense (348.5 yards per game).

The Falcons have their offense cranked up of late and have won four consecutive games. The nation’s leading rushing attack (336.4 yards per game) has produced 4.9-or-more yards per attempt in five of seven games this season. Air Force has also benefited from a plus-7 in turnover margin.

San Diego State at Air Force odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 6:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: San Diego State +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Air Force -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): San Diego State +2.5 (+105) | Air Force -2.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 38.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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San Diego State at Air Force odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Air Force 24, San Diego State 20

Money line

San Diego State is out too far over its skis in holding foes to a 26.7% conversion rate on third downs. The Aztecs are up against a Falcons team that can stay on schedule and one that is 12-2 straight-up over its last 14 games at home.

TAKE AIR FORCE (-160).

Against the spread

This is a strength-on-strength, run-versus-run game. These teams both rank as top-25 in rushing offense and rushing defense. But Air Force has an edge with what they do at the line of scrimmage and that includes run-stuff avoidance.

Consider a Falcons (-2.5) play only at -120 or better. Otherwise, PASS — the money line play becomes worth it with a low total looming.

Over/Under

The Over is 6-2 in the last eight San Diego State-Air Force meetings in Fort Collins. And that’s the zag lean here, with both offenses perhaps having more finishing success and getting this total into the mid-40s.

BACK THE OVER 38.5 (-107).

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